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Form Analysis: Redcliffe Nov 15

15 November 2018

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RACE TWO

GOALKICKER (5) was 2nd up in Qld last start when settling back in the pack and charging home to score a tidy 2m victory with a further 24m back to 3rd place. Her 1st outing here on the triangle was in strong company when making an error and with even luck can look to go back-to-back.

IFYOUBELIEVE (7) was a nice Marburg winner 3 starts back when circling the field early and pressing on to find the front off a 2nd line gate. He was charging home last start when beaten a neck behind FAKEROCKNROLL and if able to sight space with track to work with can feature in this.

JUST TOMMY (10) has placed in both Qld runs and will take further benefit after spending over 12 months on the sidelines. He has no luck from this gate again but he can place here and is worth following.

VELOCE BELLA (4) started off the 2nd line at Marburg last start and was looking to work home in the closing stages in a race dictated from the front. 3rd here 2 starts back she is in the mix from this gate.

SELECTIONS: GOALKICKER (5), IFYOUBELIEVE (7), JUST TOMMY (10), VELOCE BELLA (4)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE THREE

ARBIT MAJOR (2) has been runner-up at his past 5 in succession, not beaten far on each occasion. Last start from gate 1 when he started in red figures and using the passing lane went within 5m of the winner ONLY ONE PROMISE. From the gate he can hustle to find the pegs and gets his chance.

WAVEDANCER (3) dropped to the pegs last start from the 2nd line and with a strong finishing burst arrived to score a tidy victory. He has drawn some tough gates in recent outings- wider than gate 4 in his past 9 in succession- and with the improved gate can look to go back-to-back.

TAFFY BOY (1) took them all the way from this gate 2 starts back, controlling the tempo in front to score a big win. There were a bit too slick last start but from the alley can find the podium.

VINNIE THE POET (7) was a winner here 2 starts back when squeezing in behind the leader and finishing best to score a 2m victory. Luckless last start he can get the cheap run here.

SELECTIONS: ARBIT MAJOR (2), WAVEDANCER (3), TAFFY BOY (1), VINNIE THE POET (7)
SUGGESTED BET: ARBIT MAJOR (2) to win

RACE FOUR

RITCHIE BEE (7)
hit the line in good style here 2 starts back when having his 1st start following a stable switch and was only 5m from the winner BEEF CITY BLAZE in claiming the silver. Denied a fair start last time out when sent to the post as fav at Marburg, with a touch of luck he can take this.

GOTOTHEMOON (10) was a tidy winner here 3 starts back from the 2nd line when working home over the top and forging clear to a big win. Working hard in the run 2 starts back his latest effort was solid when a 4m 2nd to HAPPY FEELINGS from gate 5. Despite the gate he is right in the fight.

TELL THE FUTURE (1) will be 1st up off a freshen and has featured in a stable switch and steps out for Rossco Fletcher. Winless since Jul 2017, she can use her early speed to find a position and can be an improver.

SNAKES N LADDERS (4) sat in the pocket trail last start and closed out in good order to grab the bronze behind the all-the-way winner. Never far away he can settle handy and has place hopes.

SELECTIONS: RITCHIE BEE (7), GOTOTHEMOON (10), TELL THE FUTURE (1), SNAKES N LADDERS (4)
SUGGESTED BET: RITCHIE BEE (7) to win

RACE FIVE

BONNIE JUJON (4) started fav here 2 starts back over the 1780m when buried away from gate 1 and finding the line nicely to grab the bronze behind WERELIVINGTHEDREAM. Forced to work hard in the run in a mares qualifier last start when 5m from NOVENA ROSE, she can look to take her chances here.

WILLSINTOWN (3) was a winner 3 starts back when firing out from gate 3 to find the pegs before releasing and making the winning shot up the passing lane. Following that with a 2nd in the same race as BONNIE JUJON his latest effort was sound off the 2nd line. Back to the front is a big plus.

PADDINGTON CENTRAL (9) finished best of the chasing pack behind the big winner OUR MAJOR DAY at Armidale 2 starts back and then last start chased gamely behind JOSSIE JAMES. He has place claims here.


RED LUCK (1) did the heavy lifting at Marburg last start when cutting the breeze and fading late behind JAX NAVARO. From the gate he will get a cosy trip and can look to chime in late.

SELECTIONS: BONNIE JUJON (4), WILLSINTOWN (3), PADDINGTON CENTRAL (9), RED LUCK (1)
SUGGESTED BET: BONNIE JUJON (4) to win

RACE SIX

FEEL THE REIGN (4)
has been in great touch since returning from a spell with a top 3 finish in 9 of 10 appearances including 3 victories. Last start from gate 6 he worked across to find the pocket trail and fought on well for the bronze behind the in-form REAL KNUCKY. He looks hard to stop in this.


HERITAGE BEACH (5) will strip fitter from his latest start when 1st up off a 9 month break. That was in a qualifier where the effort from gate 5 was full of merit over the 1780m when working home wide off the track. With even luck in transit he will play a big role in proceedings in this.

MACH SAM (8) lands another 2nd line gate and has been no closer than gate 6 at his past 5 starts. Starting fav here last start he was working home well behind JAX NAVARO and will be swooping late.

GLASSCUTTERSPIRIT (1) returned a top run at Marburg last start from the 2nd line when doing plenty of work wide out in the closing stages. With a cosy trip he can be ready to take a snipers shot.

SELECTIONS: FEEL THE REIGN (4), HERITAGE BEACH (5), MACH SAM (8), GLASSCUTTERSPIRIT (1)
SUGGESTED BET: FEEL THE REIGN (4) to win

RACE SEVEN

IMPETUOSO (5) found the pegs from gate 2 over the sprint trip here last start and once in front was never in danger scoring a comfortable 19m victory. A winner 3 starts back at Marburg in strong fashion he did plenty of work in the run behind NEWPORT DREAMZ 2 starts back. This looks within reach.

WEASEL (3) wasn’t too far off TASSINI last start off the 2nd line which followed a tough run from the breeze. Only beaten a neck when grabbed in the shadows of the post 4 starts back when trying to lead throughout, he can look for the pegs here and will be in for the fight.

KYLIE BROMAC (10) has a tricky gate to overcome after being banished for a starting error last time out. A nice winner here 2 starts back when 1st up from a spell, she has podium claims in this.

OOZINVILLE (7) was 1st up for the Greg Franklin barn last start and will take great benefit from that run when grabbed late by HUNTER RED. That was a mammoth improvement off recent form and he can look to follow it on here.

SELECTIONS: IMPETUOSO (5), WEASEL (3), KYLIE BROMAC (10), OOZINVILLE (7)
SUGGESTED BET: IMPETUOSO (5) to win

RACE EIGHT

RUTHLESS ARMBRO (3)
started from inside the 2nd line last start in a 2nd division qualifier and after being buried in the run was looking for the gaps when finishing 3m from the winner RAFFERTY DELIGHTS. Luckless the start prior after ending up a long way back, he will be hard to hold out here.

IM FREE FALLING (10) will strip fitter from his run at Marburg last time out when 1st up from a break. Forced to work hard in the breeze he was in for the fight when 4m from the winner REAL KNUCKY after starting as the fav. With even luck he won’t be far away.


MAMMALS MAGIC (8) started in red figures here 2 starts back from gate 9 and finished over the top to score a nice win. Leading them up last start she was nabbed late and has place hopes in this.

DOOLITTLE DANDY (1) will be tightened from his Marburg start when grabbing the bronze behind SIR SEMPER FIDELIS. That was his 1st run back from a break and from this gate can feature.

SELECTIONS: RUTHLESS ARMBRO (3), IM FREE FALLING (10), MAMMALS MAGIC (8), DOOLITTLE DANDY (1)
SUGGESTED BET: RUTHLESS ARMBRO (3) to win

RACE NINE

MR MEDDLE (1)
didn’t have much luck last start at Marburg when ending up wide off the track when working into the contest from the 2nd line gate. He hit the line strongly here 3 starts back to grab the silver off gate 5 and only beaten a half-neck. With the options from the gate he will be hard to stop.


LURAH (3) made his Qld debut a winning one at Marburg when pressing on to find the front over the 1850m trip and once in control held on to score by a head. His closing quarter was solid on the tight track and taking benefit from that run can look to capitalise in this.

JAX NAVARO (7) shoots for the hat-trick after a win over this trip was followed with a Marburg 1850m win when leading throughout. With a cosy run in transit he will be ready to take the closing shot.

REAL KNUCKY (4) continues to race in great form with 3 wins and 3 2nds in his past 6 outings. Holding on to score an all the way win last start at Marburg he will be looking to swoop home.

SELECTIONS: MR MEDDLE (1), LURAH (3), JAX NAVARO (7), REAL KNUCKY (4)
SUGGESTED BET: MR MEDDLE (1) to win