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  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park Apr 12

Form Analysis: Albion Park Apr 12

RACE ONE

GEE UP NEDDY (9)
finished mid-field last start when chasing hard but there were no runners that really made an impact on the all the way winner EMPIRE BAY. He made an error here 3 starts back that cost him 2nd place and 2 start back hit the line in good order. If he can trot cleanly he can arrive.

SPUD (1) has just been below his best of late but his run last start still had merit. Forced to breeze after making an error at the start he was in for the fight when 7m in arrears. From this gate if able to bounce away cleanly he might just be able to give them something to chase.

QUIETLY SPOKEN (7) started fav here 2 starts back but never worked into the contest. Here on Tues she worked early to overcome the 30m impost but the effort took its toll. She can atoner here.

MIRACLE RISING (8) was a winner under mobile conditions here 3 starts back over the 2138m when finishing best to take the prize. Freshened since his last appearance, at his best he can take this out.

SELECTIONS: GEE UP NEDDY (9), SPUD (1), QUIETLY SPOKEN (7), MIRACLE RISING (8)
SUGGESTED BET: GEE UP NEDDY (9) to win

RACE TWO

TROJAN BANNER (11) faces his sternest test since arriving in Qld and will need to be at his peak to overcome this gate and make it 4 straight victories since arriving. Crossed early from gate 1 last start he was too sharp up the passing lane. He looks a smart type and can rise to the challenge.

BETTER THAN HEAVEN (5) has been facing some tough gates in recent starts and last start was forced to overcome gate 10 over the Menangle mile. The start prior from the 2nd line around the tight Canberra circuit he struck trouble and with the improved alley can turn it around.

RECIPE FOR DREAMNG (1) has been runner-up in 4 of his past 5 appearances and lands the gate to be prominent again. Only beaten a flared nostril last start after a tough run, he can feature in this.

BRIAN WHO (7) was wide off the track last start and dug in for the fight when only 2m from the winner TASSINI. He faces a task from this gate but with even luck can be in the mix.

SELECTIONS: TROJAN BANNER (11), BETTER THAN HEAVEN (5), RECIPE FOR DREAMNG (1), BRIAN WHO (7)
SUGGESTED BET: TROJAN BANNER (11) to win

RACE THREE

OUR MELS DREAM (8) has early options as the lone 2nd line runner and will likely be away from the pegs to find position soon after the start. From this same gate 2 starts back he was into the running line early and then finished over the top. He can be charging home to arrive for the prize.

DIVAS DELIGHT (6) was sent forward from the 2nd line last start and facing the breeze faded late under a solid tempo at the 2138m trip. Grabbed in the closing stages when looking to take them all the way here 2 starts back, he can look to slide across early.

COMPLY OR DIE (7) has the tough gate to overcome but has electric early speed. In career best form, he was able to lead throughout from gate 6 last start to make it his 11th win for the season. Go close.

STIRLING WILLIAM (3) has been just behind the placings in his past 3 starts with all 3 win by COMPLY OR DIE. He can look to take his opportunity with the gate advantage and is in the mix.

SELECTIONS: OUR MELS DREAM (8), DIVAS DELIGHT (6), COMPLY OR DIE (6), STIRLING WILLIAM (3)
SUGGESTED BET: OUR MELS DREAM (8) to win

RACE FOUR

IM NO OUTLAW (2)
snagged back from gate 6 last start and then wasn’t really comfortable in the run when down the line. He has bumped into some smart types at his previous 2 outings which followed a career 1st victory here 4 starts back. This looks his chance to make it number 2.

STUDLEIGH SONNY (9) was a winner at his Qld debut over the Redcliffe sprint trip when finishing best to claim a narrow victory. From the gate he should be able to get a good trail through in the early stages here and with the confidence from the win look to build on his form.

ZARAS ALL GOOD (6) has been runner-up in 2 appearances since resuming from a break with her 1st up run when beaten a neck after starting in red figures. The gate hurts but  she is in the mix.

THE RAGNBONE MAN (11) is still searching for his 1st career victory and might have to wait another day after landing the carpark alley. Grabbed late last start when leading he has podium claims here.

SELECTIONS: IM NO OUTLAW (2), STUDLEIGH SONNY (9), ZARAS ALL GOOD (6), THE RAGNBONE MAN (11)
SUGGESTED BET: IM NO OUTLAW (2) to win

RACE FIVE

GOTTA GOOD REASON (1) has been running some good races without getting the reward for the effort. Last start he was forced to breeze outside JUMPING JOLT and fought hard to the line when beaten 6m. Hustling early to protect the pegs, this looks his chance to capitalise.

CLARRY (6) has been solid in 3 starts since arriving in Qld and has been in the money in all 3. A 1st up winner he was then hitting the line hard when only beaten a half-head behind OUR MAJOR DAY. He was wide off the track last start and finding a handy position will be right in the fight.

OFFTHETOPOFMYHEAD (10) ran home some slick sectionals here 2 starts back despite not being in contention and then last start wasn’t suited from gate 7. With even luck in transit he is in the mix.

CELTIC CRUZA (8) looks set to get a nice run in transit and with the cosy trip can be then ready to take the gaps when the present. Tough from the breeze last start he is a place hope from the gate.

SELECTIONS: GOTTA GOOD REASON (1), CLARRY (6), OFFTHETOPOFMYHEAD (10), CELTIC CRUZA (8)
SUGGESTED BET: GOTTA GOOD REASON (1) to win

RACE SIX

TAKITIMU EXPRESS (1)
is yet to land in the money in 4 attempts here at headquarters. Last start from the 2nd line he was always facing a task with a slick tempo set from the front. Th start prior he was working wide off the track and with the options from the gate here can cash-in.

LUCKY ARTIST (8) will be needing some luck from the gate at her 1st AP appearance and arrives with some handy form around NSW. She met some smart performers last start when snagging back early. With the right run in transit he will be ready to take a closing shot.

HARD TO HEAR (12) has the tough gate to negotiate but is racing strongly at present His past 2 have been from gate 6 where he has been hitting the line strongly. A strong tempo will help his chances.

THE GOLDEN CROSS (9) will have the early option to look for the pegs should the position become open. 3rd in an open contest last time out when only 5m from the winner and can feature here.

SELECTIONS: TAKITIMU EXPRESS (1), LUCKY ARTIST (8), HARD TO HEAR (12), THE GOLDEN CROSS (9)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE SEVEN

A GOOD CHANCE (2) has now faced the starter on 3 occasions since resuming from a spell. His run last start was a huge effort in defeat when facing the breeze and in for the fight was only 1.5m from the winner LINCOLN ROAD. His run 2 starts back was a solid effort and he can capitalise.

ROCK WITH SAM (4) resumes from a 1 start Bathurst trip where he did his share of early work over the 2260m trip. His run here 2 starts back was a sound effort behind SPIKE BROMAC in a slick mile. He is racing well and a win is not far away.

LOTS MORE ART (1) should be the recipient of a perfect run in transit and when the passing lane arrives. He hit the line strongly here 2 starts back when beaten 4m. He will be ready to challenge.

STUDLEIGH KRISTEN (8) looks set to get a soft trip and buried in the run can look to make a closing play. A winner of a mares qualifier last start in tough fashion, she can chime in here.

SELECTIONS: A GOOD CHANCE (2), ROCK WITH SAM (4), LOTS MORE ART (1), STUDLEIGH KRISTEN (8)
SUGGESTED BET: A GOOD CHANCE (2) to win

RACE EIGHT

JUMPING JOLT (3)
is airborne at present and added another victory over the mile last start when going to the front from gate 5 and once in control never looked in danger. A big winner the start prior when putting them away at the 250m point, he has the speed to dictate here.

TOM ME GUN (8) will need some luck from this gate but if able to see space with track to work with he is the big danger. Starting fav last start from gate 9, he couldn’t pick them up late and had to settle for 3rd. That followed wins at 3 of his previous 4 starts and can challenge when the gaps arrive.

KETUT (9) was locked away against the markers last start and was charging home in the closing stages to be just a half-head from the winner SPIKE BROMAC. He can be charging home again here.

SPEEDIE MCARDLE (1) led throughout to score a tidy win here 5 starts back. Facing stronger opponents than his win at his next few, he can get the perfect trip to take the closing shot.

SELECTIONS: JUMPING JOLT (3), TOM ME GUN (8), KETUT (9), SPEEDIE MCARDLE (1)
SUGGESTED BET: JUMPING JOLT (3) to win

RACE NINE

GRINVIL (8)
will need factors in her favour but looks set to get the perfect trip. Last start from gate 5 there was no early position and snagged back settled well back in the pack before hitting the line strongly to only be 1.5m from the winner. Coiled and ready to strike she can arrive.

THE SHADY ONE (4) started from gate 11 last start and found the line in good order when 4m from the winner. Not suited at the walk-ups the start prior, his win here 3 starts back over the mile was a sharp effort when exploding in the stretch to score. Look for him charging home.

SAPPHIRE SWAYZE (12) has returned from a spell in good order and makes his Qld debut. His effort was solid last start behind MAXIMAN at Menangle when only beaten 8m. The gate hurts.

CHAL FIRE (1) started from inside the 2nd line last start and soon found himself buried in transit before working home strongly to grab the bronze behind LILAC FLASH. He will be gripping on.

SELECTIONS: GRINVIL (8), THE SHADY ONE (4), SAPPHIRE SWAYZE (12), CHAL FIRE (1)
SUGGESTED BET: GRINVIL (8) to win