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Form Analysis: Albion Park Aug 07

7 August 2020

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RACE TWO

This race looks a tricky contest and moves and positioning in the run look a tactical battle. Despite landing the 2nd line CHANCELESS CENTURY (11) is starting to put it all together with his past 4 starts returning 3 wins and a 2nd. Finishing over the top to victory his past 2, he can swoop for the threepeat.

LIVE ATOM (3) looks the early speed in the race and from this gate can look to fire the 1st shot to find the pegs. Locked in behind the leader and searching for space last start at Marburg, he couldn’t go on with it at Redcliffe 2 starts back. Mixing his form recently, he gets a chance from this gate.

SNOOP STRIDE (4) is enjoying the Qld winter, finishing in the top-2 at 5 of his 6 appearances. Runner-up last start from the pocket trail, positioning cheaply will be key to his chances here.

NURBURGRING (10) steps out in Aus for the 1st time, joining the Steve Borg stable who will have his 1st starter this season. Arriving a 4-time winner in NZ, he has not trialled and stays under notice.

SELECTIONS: CHANCELESS CENTURY (11), LIVE ATOM (3), SNOOP STRIDE (4), NURBURGRING (10)
SUGGESTED BET: CHANCELESS CENTURY (11) to win

RACE THREE

WILL THE WIZARD (2) was last seen when charging home along the inside to grab 2nd in the SE Derby behind GOVERNOR JUJON. Following a pair of power running victories at the mile, he was then nabbed late over the 2138m in his Derby preparation. Back to the mile here, they will be chasing.

IMASPORTSSTAR (3) found the line strongly last start to grab the silver after starting from inside the 2nd line and then working one off avoid a pocket. Beaten by gate 7 the start prior when snagging back to position, if he can limit the workload, he can look to lead the chasing pack.

DATTITUDE (8) didn’t have much go his way last start and from back in the field was probing for gaps that didn’t arrive, but his closing splits were still strong. With a cosy trip he can be chiming in late.

KILLARA KAOS (9) was not suited in the breeze last start and faded at the 300m from the tough trip. That followed an all the way victory at this trip in a qualifier and dropping to the pegs looks suitable.

SELECTIONS: WILL THE WIZARD (2), IMASPORTSSTAR (3), DATTITUDE (8), KILLARA KAOS (9)
SUGGESTED BET: WILL THE WIZARD (2) to win

RACE FOUR

The 1st of 2 heats for this APG Brisbane Sales Series where the last start Fillies Triad winner JASPER (3) looks the one they have to stop. Firing out from gate 5 to take control in the G1 Final last start, she still had plenty to offer after a sub 27 opening panel in claiming a 7m victory. She looks too smart for them with the gate advantage.

AUNTY BELLA (4) will be in search of the hat-trick after successive wins including a last start victory in the Fillies Triad Consolation. Moving around to face the breeze, she was too tough for them to pull clear to a 6m victory. With the main danger drawn inside, she might have to roll the sleeves here.

DON HESTON (7) was 1st up in Qld for Grant Dixon at Redcliffe last start and franked a smart trial hit-out when scoring a comfortable all the way win. He steps it up here, but with the experience and confidence, he looks a podium hope.

LILLIES (2) was not too far away from the handy JUSTA LITTLE BIT 2 starts back and followed that with a mid-field finish behind JASPER in the Triad Final. Settling close to the action, she can chime in.

SELECTIONS: JASPER (3), AUNTY BELLA (4), DON HESTON (7), LILLIES (2)
SUGGESTED BET: JASPER (3) to win

RACE FIVE

SPRINGFIELD SPIRIT (9) drops back to the claiming ranks after landing victory in a qualifier 2 starts back. Finding the pocket trail over the mile, he finished best to take the prize. Buried in the run form inside the 2nd line last start when chasing ROCKNROLL CLASSIC, he can swoop late off what looks a strong tempo.

FEEL THE REIGN (7) made the most of an inside 2nd line gate here last week over the 2138m. With the economical trip he had bullets to fire in the stretch in taking the win. Working home from ack in the pack the start prior to grab 3rd, he is stung by gate 7 yet can still feature here.


ONE WISE MAN (1) went to the poles from gate 3 here last time out and was probing for the short-cuts when 9m from the winner FEEL THE REIGN. With plenty of early speed, he can tuck in behind and look for the space late.

OUR BONDI BEACH (8) will be in search of some luck from this gate as he looks set to be buried in the run. Closing out nicely last start for the bronze after being locked away, he can be probing.

SELECTIONS: SPRINGFIELD SPIRIT (9), FEEL THE REIGN (7), ONE WISE MAN (1), OUR BONDI BEACH (8)
SUGGESTED BET: SPRINGFIELD SPIRIT (9) to win

RACE SIX

COPPERFIELD (4) has been in the money at each of his 3 outings in Qld since arriving from the Shaky Isles. Finding the line in nice order last start from a 2nd line gate behind the dictating winner A RAINBOW DELIGHT, it followed an all the way win over this trip. Settling handy, he can arrive.

ALBION ARK (2) had an early look last start but couldn’t find the premier position and was forced to retreat. Settling back in the pack once the positions were sorted, he found the line soundly for a mid-field finish. He can fire the 1st shot here and finding the poles will be a big difference.


BLACK HAWK JOE (5) pressed forward to face the breeze from this gate last start and didn’t look entirely comfortable when fading out. A powerful winner over the 2138m the start prior, he can atone.

GOLIGHTLY (6) is having no luck in landing a marble and comes up with another tough gate here. Snagging bac from this same alley last time, he was closing hard behind JIVE. Can swoop late again.

SELECTIONS: COPPERFIELD (4), ALBION ARK (2), BLACK HAWK JOE (5), GOLIGHTLY (6)
SUGGESTED BET: COPPERFIELD (4) to win

RACE SEVEN

TORQUE ONETWOTHREE (4) made the most of conditions here 3 starts back when finding the front from gate 2 over this trip and taking them all the way. Closing strongly at her next start after copping gate 7 over the mile and within 2m of the winner, this looks within reach and she can arrive for the prize.

COPPICE (5) has been to the track on 4 occasions since arriving in Qld with Stephen Cini and although yet to land a blow, should appreciate this assignment. Taking on a qualifier over this trip last start, he was down the line behind SHANWAY. Luckless the start prior, he looks an improver.

MAJOR LUCKY (8) faced a wide gate last start at Marburg and retreating to find position made his job tough when the leader controlled it through a slick last half. With a cosy trip, he will be probing.

LIBERAL ARDEN (6) set the tempo last start in a qualifier over this trip, fading out when down the line behind SHANWAY. Yet to recapture his best since arriving in Qld, this might be more suitable.

SELECTIONS: TORQUE ONETWOTHREE (4), COPPICE (5), MAJOR LUCKY (8), LIBERAL ARDEN (6)
SUGGESTED BET: TORQUE ONETWOTHREE (4) to win

RACE EIGHT

ABERCROMBIE TAB (1) was obliged to race tough here last start when sent to the breeze and grinding it out when 9m from the winner. Placed at his previous 3 starts including an eye-catcher when charging late for the silver behind FOUR STARZZZ FORSA, he has the options to capitalise here.

FORBIDDEN FELLINGS (8) was sent to the breeze last time out at Marburg after starting form the 2nd line and was in for the fight when within 3m of the winner. Closing from the 2nd line the start prior when grabbing the bronze, he will be relying on a slice of luck here, but will be probing for the opening.

AWESOME OLLIE (4) speared out to lead over this trip from this gate 5 starts back and was able to see it out in claiming a comfortable victory. Not much has gone to plan his past couple but he can bounce back in this.

ONYA DOUG (9) resumes from a spell to face the starter for the 1st time in 2020 and features in a stable switch. Now prepared by Wayne Graham, a recent pipe-opener at the trials suggest he can be thereabouts here.

SELECTIONS: ABERCROMBIE TAB (1), FORBIDDEN FELLINGS (8), AWESOME OLLIE (4), ONYA DOUG (9)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE NINE

The 2nd heat of the 2YO Sales feature where CHAMONIX (6) can look to build on his solid season where he has 2 wins and 3 minors at his past 5 outings. Buried in the run in the Triad Final last start, he made late metres to grab 3rd behind BIG WHEELS. Too strong the start prior, he can take this.

HES SWEET (7) has placed in all 4 starts in Qld, finishing as the beaten fav at his past 3 in succession. Pressing on to the front in the Triad Consolation last start, he was grabbed in the closing stages. Gunned down by JUSTA LITTLE BIT the start prior after setting the tempo, the gate stings his hopes.

OUR ULTIMATE BONNY (3) was beaten by the gate in the fillies Triad Final after landing gate 10, finding herself too far back. With early speed, she can fire the 1st shot here and looks a place player.

WANNAGO (2) hit the line in good order to break her maiden tag at Redcliffe 2 starts back after starting from inside the 2nd line. Not suited after doing some early work last time, she looms as a place hope.

SELECTIONS: CHAMONIX (6), HES SWEET (7), OUR ULTIMATE BONNY (3), WANNAGO (2)
SUGGESTED BET: CHAMONIX (6) to win

RACE TEN

SHEGOTSASS (3) did the bullocking work in the Springboard Final last time out and was game in holding on for the silver behind AURORA. Making a mess of the start here 2 starts back from this same impost, if the early manners come with her tonight for this assignment, she can take this.

DOWN UNDER RORS (8) backs up from Tuesday where he rolled forward in a much stronger event from the front tape to settle in the breeze. Fading late behind the winner AVEROSS DON, the run had some merit. 6m in arrears off this tape 3 starts back, he can look to throw down the challenge.

NO LOVE ABOUT IT (1) has a great record of landing in the money, hitting the board for a cheque in greater than 50% of his runs this season. 3rd to AURORA last start, the front tape benefit is a big plus.

MALABAR SPUR (6) started from the 10m tape here on Tuesday and was too far back in the pack when trying to chase home. Working home nicely off 40m here 2 starts back, she can be chiming in.

SELECTIONS: SHEGOTSASS (3), DOWN UNDER RORS (8), NO LOVE ABOUT IT (1), MALABAR SPUR (6)
SUGGESTED BET: