1. Home
  2. News & Guides
  3. February 2018
  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park Feb 6

Form Analysis: Albion Park Feb 6

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter. 

RACE ONE

BANGKOK BRAVADO (2)
had been runner-up in 2 runs through a Gold Pot series since returning from a long break. He was then taken to Victoria for a hit and run mission where he blitzed a field in an all the way win at Cobram. Always showing potential, he can build on the good start to his 4YO term in this.

ROCK WITH SAM (5) returns for the start of his 4YO term and was last seen in the Qld Derby where he settled a long way back in the run. He put in an impressive trial to prepare for the return where he quickly put a margin on them in a 27.6 closing 400m. He can challenge and will take great improvement.

SELECTIONS: BANGKOK BRAVADO (2), ROCK WITH SAM (5), BOBBIES GIRL (7),
SUGGESTED BET: BANGKOK BRAVADO (2) to win

RACE TWO

RUBYS BAD BOY (1) started from the 2nd line in the Claiming Challenge final on Sat night and angled to the pegs ended up being buried 4 back. Looking for space when the turned for home he ended wide out and hit the line in good order. He will get the perfect trip here and be taking the closing shot.

DEANO ROBYN (4) started from inside the 2nd line last start and settled in the pocket trail when chasing COMPLY OR DIE home. Angled to the pegs 2 starts back he never had a crack at them. He can roll forward in the early stages and look to take control.

SELECTIONS: RUBYS BAD BOY (1), DEANO ROBYN (4), THREO (5), LONG ROAD TO FAME (3)
SUGGESTED BET: RUBYS BAD BOY (1) to win

RACE THREE

QUIETLY SPOKEN (2) was looming up strongly here last week and looked likely to sail straight past the leader after working hard in the run when going off stride and ending all chances. Going for a three-peat of victories when making that mistake, she is in super form and from the gate will get every chance to atone.

LANSBURY (1) found a suitable target last start under mobile conditions and from the 2nd line was working home strongly to take the silver. A safe beginner from the tapes, she can step away here and likely find herself in front early and will be right in the mix in this line-up.

SELECTIONS: QUIETLY SPOKEN (2), LANSBURY (1), LIAVA (9), JUSTABITCOCO (6)
SUGGESTED BET:  QUIETLY SPOKEN (2) to win

RACE FOUR

MISTA NATURAL (4)
took them all the way at Redcliffe over the 1780m in restricted company 5 starts back when running home a nice last 800m split. 2 starts back he found the line in good order in a Rising Stars heat and then had his chances ended when landing gate 12. He looks to get every chance in this line-up.

THE FRAME (1) has had plenty of issues in his career but his past 2 starts since returning from a spell suggest he is starting to put it together. Taken back to the pegs from gate 5 on Fri night he was never hustled and allowed to run home along the pegs. With time to settle he can go for a closing shot.

SELECTIONS: MISTA NATURAL (4), THE FRAME (1), MY AJAYE (8), BRONZE ECSTASY (6)
SUGGESTED BET: MISTA NATURAL (4) to win

RACE FIVE

ELENIARK (7) resumes from a freshen as she looks to complete a hat-trick of victories. Sent forward from the 2nd line to score a strong win in a quality Sat night event she followed that with a win from this gate when proving too strong in the run. If forward enough she looks to have the class edge here.

PSYCHEDELIC (8) started from this gate last week and was quickly in to the running line to then come with a well-timed run to score. That followed a 3rd to CHARMS ON A ROLL when following the inside. He steps to the 2138m for this and in a strong race he can look to finish over the top.

SELECTIONS: ELENIARK (7), PSYCHEDELIC (8), CHARMS ON A ROLL (6), THATS HOW WEROLL (4)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 4-6-7-8

RACE SIX

MONARKMAC (4)
took on a claiming race 2 starts back and never saw open road until the race was over. Last start on Sat night he was taken back from gate 7 and found the line in good order once he made a charge. He finds a suitable target here and can press forward and take control.

ROYAL COUNSEL (6) resumes from a break after being given a break following a run on the grass at Warwick when a 7m 3rd in the Warwick Cup behind MY ULTIMATE FELLA. She was in great touch with 4 successive wins last preparation and will improve on whatever she can achieve here.

SELECTIONS:  MONARKMAC (4), ROYAL COUNSEL (6), A GOOD CHANCE (8), REDS JET STAR (9)
SUGGESTED BET: MONARKMAC (4) to win

RACE SEVEN

ONE WISE MAN (1) was a winner here 3 starts back when making his Qld debut after using the passing lane from this gate and sprinting sharply once the gap opened. He was buried 3 back here last start over the 1660m and may have been closer than the 3m with a clearer passage. With the cosy trip here he can take the last shot.

CHERISH THE MOMENT (7) resumes from a spell and was last seen in the Redcliffe Patrons Purse when a 4m 3rd to BETTORTHANSPECIAL. 2 starts back she worked hard in the run when too strong in the Fleur De Lil Ladyship. With a tidy trial to prepare, she can be around the money and take improvement.

SELECTIONS: ONE WISE MAN (1), CHERISH THE MOMENT (7), SPARKLING CULLECT (5), CHAL FIRE (2)
SUGGESTED BET: ONE WISE MAN (1) to win

RACE EIGHT

SOMWHEREOVARAINBOW (1)
has faced the starter twice for his 3YO term and been off gate 7 on each. In the heats here last week he rolled forward and did the hard work outside the leader PATERNITY SUIT and fought to the line when a 4.5m 2nd. With the benefit of that outing he gets the gate advantage and provided he does everything right can show his potential.

RED CHARMER (2) shoots for a hat-trick after successive wins to start her 3YO season. Her 2YO term rounded out with a mid-field finish in the Breeders Crown final and her 2 wins back have been as impressive as each other. She can look to stretch the 1 early and is a huge danger.

SELECTIONS: SOMWHEREOVARAINBOW (1), RED CHARMER (2), PATERNITY SUIT (9), OUR MAJOR DAY (3)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-2-3-9