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  4. Form Analysis: Redcliffe Feb 14

Form Analysis: Redcliffe Feb 14

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter. 

RACE ONE

MUCHO MACHO MAN (2)
will be fitter again following his latest start when 3rd up from a spell. Finding his race he was sent around them from the 2nd line and was too good to score a 7m victory. With that confidence and from the gate he can go on with it.

XTRAORDINARY LOMBO (7) shoots for the hat-trick and will be needing a slice of luck from here. He has worked home strongly when out 3-wide in both victories and while he may take more time to wind up than he will be afforded along the passing lane, he can’t be left out.

SELECTIONS: MUCHO MACHO MAN (2), XTRAORDINARY LOMBO (7), ALTANA BLUE (8), BARON JUJON (1)
SUGGESTED BET: MUCHO MACHO MAN (2) to win

RACE TWO

CALCAVADO (1) has been top 3 in 12 of 16 outings this season and from the gate will be right in the mix in this. Last start from inside the 2nd line he used the passing lane to get within a half-neck of MASTER MONTANA who has since won a band qualifier. With limited pressure to his outside he can take them all the way.

SHEZABONNYGEM (8) has 2 wins in her past 4 starts and last start went within a head of making it 3. She came with the final shot last week while here she can get around them early to get in the action.

SELECTIONS: CALCAVADO (1), SHEZABONNYGEM (8), PROJECTILE (2), JAZZY ARTIST (7)
SUGGESTED BET: CALCAVADO (1) to win

RACE THREE

CORPORAL JUJON (5) pressed forward to find the front from gate 2 here last week and was fighting to the line when under 2m from the winner MISTER HART. He moves 1 gate closer here than originally drawn and in this type of race he is going to be right in the firing line.

CAMIVISTA (2) can have a line put through his latest start when taken back from gate 4 and wit PALE BEAR BOO setting the triangle alight from the front, he was never in contention. He was attacking the line hard at AP the start prior and from the gate can feature.

SELECTIONS: CORPORAL JUJON (5), CAMIVISTA (2), RED LUCK (9), JUDAH BEN HUR (1)
SUGGESTED BET: CORPORAL JUJON (5) to win

RACE FOUR

HERES MY NUMBER (1)
has been runner-up at his past 2 starts and only been beaten 3m and a half-neck when working home strongly in each. With the speed to hold the front early, he can look to cash-in with the good barrier and looks the one to beat.

SONNY ORLANDO (7) has been much shaper at his past 2 starts and been able to place in each. Last start from gate 5 he worked home strongly after being taken back early. With the last shot he can challenge.

SELECTIONS: HERES MY NUMBER (1), SONNY ORLANDO (7), BUDDY BABCOCK (2), NOTTELLINYA (8)
SUGGESTED BET: HERES MY NUMBER (1) to win

RACE FIVE

GOTTA GO RALPHIE (1) looked to take them all the way last start at AP over the 1660m and was fighting all the way before being grabbed on the line. His run 4 back had merit when facing the breeze and with the options from the ace looks to get his breakthrough chance.

ROCKNROLL AMBER (2) will appreciate the tight gate after a mix of wide gates from her own manners and some tricky draws. 2 starts back she worked home strongly to only be 2m from the in-form OSCARS GLORY. She can be sent forward early and if taking control will be hard to stop.

SELECTIONS: GOTTA GO RALPHIE (1), ROCKNROLL AMBER (2), DIAMONDSFROMHEAVEN (7), GLENFERRIE BABY (10)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-2-7-10  

RACE SIX

MINI MIRACLE (1)
was sent to the post as fav last start from inside the 2nd line and made an error in the run. Charging home late she caught the eye to grab the silver. That followed a solid effort from gate 4 when 5m from the winner. With a cosy trip she can take the closing shot to arrive in time.

MAJOR GENERALJUJON (4) will strip fitter for his return to the track last week to start his 3YO term. Settling with running line cover from gate 3 he found the line in good style. He can find a position and be working home strongly.

SELECTIONS:  MINI MIRACLE (1), NEVERHAVEIEVER (3), MAJOR GENERALJUJON (4), LARA BAY (2)
SUGGESTED BET: MINI MIRACLE (1) to win

RACE SEVEN

COULDNTBETOLD (8) made an error in a Gold Pot heat and went back to the trials to rectify the issue where he ran 2 very nice trial hit-outs. Returning with a 3rd in another heat, his run in the final behind OUR MAJOR DAY was solid. The gate is a bit tricky but he looks have a class edge here.
BALTIC BLUE EYES (1) was given a freshen after finishing down the line in a mares qualifier 2 starts back. Returning with a tough effort at Marburg on Sat when only 9 from the winner, she can look to dictate from this gate.

SELECTIONS: COULDNTBETOLD (8), BALTIC BLUE EYES (1), SPLASH OF GOLD (7), THE FORMULA ONE (9)
SUGGESTED BET: COULDNTBETOLD (8) to win

RACE EIGHT

TIME TRAVELLER (3)
had placed in consecutive runs and then found his race here 2 starts back when having little trouble in leading rom gate 1 and then dictating for a 4m victory. Taking on a stand-start at Marburg on Sat, the run was full of merit from the 10m tape and he looks to get his chance again.

MISS POSITIVITY (1) has wins in 2 of her past 5 starts and from this gate will have the options to release if the pressure is too hot. She found the line in good style when winning over this trip 3 starts back and from the gate is a big threat.

SELECTIONS: TIME TRAVELLER (3), MISS POSITIVITY (1), SHERIF JUJON (4), BE ON THE SLY (10)
SUGGESTED BET: TIME TRAVELLER (3) to win

RACE NINE

WESTERN FALCON (4)
met a stronger line-up 2 starts back when unable to work into the race from the 2nd line and then last start struck trouble in the run. He strikes an open contest here and with good speed off the gate can look to go handlebars down to the pegs and can sneak away with this.

TIMETOGETHAPY (3) made her debut last week and was installed the race fav by the off time from the 2nd line. With MIDLOIN BLUES dictating terms from the front she was never in the mix when finishing 22m away. To the front line and with the race experience look for improvement.

SELECTIONS: WESTERN FALCON (4), TIMETOGETHAPY (3), WHATA STRIDE (9), WAVEDANCER (2)
SUGGESTED BET: WESTERN FALCON (4) to win