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Form Analysis: Redcliffe Jan 24

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter. 

RACE ONE

OSCARS GLORY (1) found his race last start and pressing forward to find the front from gate 4 then took complete control to clear away for a 21m victory. This is a tougher line-up than that event but he gets his chance from the gate to repeat.

HERITAGE BEACH (6)has the tough gate to contend with as he looks for a hat-trick of wins. He hit the line strongly from gate 9 last start to arrive in time. His record on the triangle is strong and he will be in the mix despite the gate.

SELECTIONS: OSCARS GLORY (1), HERITAGE BEACH (6), MO JARNEY (7), PUNTERS DELIGHT (5)
SUGGETSED BET: Exotics 1-5-6-7

RACE TWO

TRAIN WRECK (5) made an error in the run last start when starting from gate 1 and was shuffled back and ended his chances. Beaten a head 4 starts back behind STUNDER, there is not a lot of depth drawn to his inside and he can press forward from the wide gate and try to take control.

TAKALOOKATMENOW (8) started from gate 5 last start and rolled forward to face the breeze over the sprint trip and  faded off in the latter stages. He has worked in the run his past 2 and he may have to again here but is up to in this line-up.

SELECTIONS: TRAIN WRECK (5), TAKALOOKATMENOW (8), PONOVER (1), XTRAORDINARY LOMBO (7)
SUGGESTED BET: TRAIN WRECK (5) to win

RACE THREE

DIAMONDSFROMHEAVEN (10) should appreciate getting back in to this type of race after trying her luck in mares qualifiers in recent starts. From 3 back on the pegs last start off a 2nd line gate she finished mid-field to ELMAUR JOY. Despite the gate she can look to work home wide out to land the win.

LYNCHMAN (8) was too far back last start to issue a challenge and that followed a run from inside the 2nd line when finishing 3rd to HOT ROD HEAVEN. He follows out a good beginner and can follow through to settle handy and is right up to this.
 

SELECTIONS: DIAMONDSFROMHEAVEN (10), LYNCHMAN (8), RHIANNON SHANNON (2), MAKE A POINT (9)

SUGGESTED BET: DIAMONDSFROMHEAVEN (10) to win

RACE FOUR

CALCAVADO (7) has been runner-up at his past 2 starts when beaten a head and 1.5m. 2 starts back over this trip he released from gate 1 and couldn’t quite reel in the leader in a 28.5 closer. He was hitting the line hard last start to be within a head of the winner PROJECTILE. He just needs the gaps with momentum.

SHEZABONNYGEM (2) finished best of the chasing pack 4 starts back behind a tear-away winner to grab 2nd and wasn’t far away at her next 2. Pressing to the front last start from gate 2 over the 2040m she controlled the speed to go all the way. With the confidence of that win she can go close again.

SELECTIONS: CALCAVADO (7), SHEZABONNYGEM (2), HE CAN TALK (1), MR MEDDLE (3)

SUGGESTED BET: Flexi trifecta 1-2-3-7

RACE FIVE

ARK TEAMO (6) will take good benefit from her last start which was her 1st outing following a 4 week break between runs. Following the fav and leader COURAGEOUS LEO all the way she finished 2m in arrears. Beaten at red figures 2 starts back she has the tough gate but in this field will get her chance to land her 1st 3YO success.

YKIKAFIL (8) is still looking to break his maiden after 12 starts. From this gate last start he settled in the running line and grabbed the bronze behind ULTIMATE AD. 2 starts back he finished 2nd when hitting the line in good order behind HERES MY NUMBER. He isn’t far away and will be winning when he lands the gate in the right field.
 

SELECTIONS: ARK TEAMO (6), YKIKAFIL (8), WILLSINTOWN (9), MUSCLES FEELS GOOD (2)
SUGGESTED BET: ARK TEAMO (6) to win

RACE SIX

ELUSIVE PROMISE (4) was sent forward from gate 5 last start and was working in the run when holing on for 4th behind FEEL THE CHARM. That followed a mid-field finish off the 2nd line behind HERITAGE BEACH. She has struggled to land a gate and can make the most of the slight improvement.

MISS POSITIVITY (3) was an all the way winner from gate 2 in a restricted event over the 1780m here 2 starts back. Her latest start she worked in the run from gate 4 when beaten 22m. Lining up for the Josh Moore barn for the 1st time she can feature.
 

SELECTIONS: ELUSIVE PROMISE (4), MISS POSITIVITY (3), MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU (7), HERES MY NUMBER (6)

SUGGESTED BET: ELUSIVE PROMISE (4) to win

RACE SEVEN

SPLASH OF GOLD (2) just missed again last start to make it 3 successive runner-up prizes. Looking to lead throughout from gate 1 she was grabbed on the line by THE BLACK FLASH who stalked her every step. She is a super consistent mare who keeps finding one better. Can this be the day- she will get every chance.

ULTIMATE AD (8) made the most of gate 1 over the 2040m trip last start and posted an easy 12m victory. That followed a 12m 3rd to HERES MY NIMBER after starting on the 2nd line. He can follow through at the start to settle close and is a danger.
 

SELECTIONS: SPLASH OF GOLD (2), ULTIMATE AD (8), MISTER CHOMP (4), IM ANGUS MATTGREGOR (7)
SUGGESTED BET: SPLASH OF GOLD (2) to WIN