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Form Analysis: Albion Park 6 July

6 July 2018

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RACE TWO

BETAMERICA (1) worked hard in the run last start when cutting the breeze and fought to the line when 3rd to the gun colt REGULUS. That followed a run full of merit from gate 5 and with the inside advantage if she can handle the 2138m trip she looks the one they have to beat.

CHERRYS THE BEST (4) finally put it all together last start and despite working in the run looked to do it in good fashion in posting a 6m margin. That was her 1st start from a freshen and she might just be the most progressive at this stage.

SPECIAL RESERVE (3) was a long way back in the pack when chasing home last start and hit the line nicely from gate 6. She can look to trail into the contest.

JOVIAL JULIE (2) has been freshened since the Breeders back in May when down the line behind SMART AS CAMM BE after going back from gate 7. She can tuck in for the trail here.

SELECTIONS: BETAMERICA (1), CHERRYS THE BEST (4), SPECIAL RESERVE (3), JOVIAL JULIE (2)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE THREE

STIRLING WILLIAM (5) appreciated the return to claiming grade last start and it was only the in-form MAJOR KIWI that was able to get the better of him. His previous 2 runs were in open stand-start events and in this line-up he looks to get every chance.

BUY CHEVRON DIRECT (6) started from this gate and was charging home in the closing stages to get within 4m of the winner MAJOR KIWI. The small field will help his cause here and finding position quickly can look to swoop hard in the latter stages.
 
DOLLARBILL (2) returned from a spell with a 3rd in a conditioned race 3 starts back in a tidy run from gate 1 and his 2 runs since that have been fair. He drops back into claiming company here and from the gate can look for cover and be looking for the gaps.

RAESAWINNER (7) went back from gate 5 last start to find the pegs and was making some closing ground to grab the bronze. He will be looking for the luck again here and has a place hope.

SELECTIONS: STIRLING WILLIAM (5), BUY CHEVRON DIRECT (6), DOLLARBILL (2), RAESAWINNER (7)
SUGGESTED BET: STIRLING WILLIAM (5) to win

RACE FOUR

PATERNITY SUIT (8)
started fav last start over this trip and from gate 5 went back and was looking to work into the contest wide out but found himself too far back. That followed a tough run from the breeze. He will need some favours here, but hitting the gaps with momentum can arrive in time.

JUST SAY GO (10) was buried away on the pegs last start from gate 12 and went looking for luck when charging home to be 5.5m from the winner MUSCLE MACH. That was his 1st run since a freshen and fresh again here has some chance.

REGAL NIGHTSHADE (1) will strip fitter from his latest outing when 8m from the winner IMA TOP TYCOON. With good early speed he can look to take this up and will be gripping on.

KEILOR MISTY (9) found the front in a mares qualifier last time out before taking cover and then finishing 3m from the winner. She will need some luck here but can take the shortcuts to podium.

SELECTIONS: PATERNITY SUIT (8), JUST SAY GO (10), REGAL NIGHTSHADE (1), KEILOR MISTY (9)
SUGGESTED BET: PATERNITY SUIT (8) to win

RACE FIVE

SUBTLE ADVICE (1) has some excuses when 3rd to the big winner SLICE OF HEAVEN last start and the start prior was off gate 7 when the run had merit behind NONE BETTOR. He has found some form and while he will have to hustle early, he looks to get his chance with the gate advantage.

NONE BETTOR (10) took on a qualifier last start and worked forward from gate 5 to find position and was charging late to get within 1.5m of the winner EFFRONTE. That was a top run and with wins in 3 of his past 5 starts, he is the big danger here.
 
VETTEL (8) wasn’t suited when cutting the breeze last start and faded out in the latter stages. He looked to take them all the way 2 back when only grabbed late by SLICE OF HEAVEN. Will be probing for the gaps.

DEECAESAR (3) found the line in good order from the 2nd line last start and went within a half-neck of knocking off ARGYLE BEACH. With a nice trail early he can be ready to swoop late.

SELECTIONS: SUBTLE ADVICE (1), NONE BETTOR (10), VETTEL (8), DEECAESAR (3)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-3-8-10

RACE SIX

CULLEY BACKY (11)
will be fitter from his latest start when 2nd up off a break. Angled to the pegs from a 2nd line gate he was probing for an opening in a slick closing 800m set from the front. There looks to be some good front-line tempo here to bring him into the contest in the closing stages.

LIVING AGAIN (6) has a tough gate to overcome here but can look to use his early speed to get into the fight. Releasing the front last start he had to be content with the silver when 2m from the in-form HOLY CAMP CLIVE. This looks to suit.

ILLAWONG DREAMTIME (3) was buried on the fence last start and has been mixing his form somewhat. From this gate he can look to fire out early to find position and can be an improver here.

ITS JUST KENNY (4) caught the eye last start when charging home from back in the pack to get within 2m of the winner BULL MARKET. He has good speed and can have a look early which helps his chances.

SELECTIONS: CULLEY BACKY (11), LIVING AGAIN (6), ILLAWONG DREAMTIME (3), ITS JUST KENNY (4)
SUGGESTED BET: CULLEY BACKY (11) to win

RACE SEVEN

OCEANS PREDATOR (1)
will strip fitter from his latest start when returning from a break. Settling in the running line from a 2nd line gate he worked home in good order when not too far off them. A winner from the fence line 3 starts back he looks to get every chance in this line-up from the gate.

PSYCHEDELIC (7) scored an impressive win here on Tues when charging home from gate 12 to arrive on the line to score. That followed a tidy effort from this same gate 2 starts back and taken back early look for him charging home in the closing stages.

OUR CHITTYBANGBANG (6) has the tricky gate to overcome here, but his runs in 3 starts in Qld have been solid from bad gates. His 1st up run when 2m from BUMPER was a nice effort and with even luck in transit can challenge this.

GOVINNI (8) will get the chance to enjoy a cosy trip without burning any early fuel. Taken back from gate 4 last start, the closing panel made it hard for those chasing. He will be ready to strike.

SELECTIONS: OCEANS PREDATOR (1), PSYCHEDELIC (7), OUR CHITTYBANGBANG (6), GOVINNI (8)
SUGGESTED BET: OCEANS PREDATOR (1) to win

RACE EIGHT

MARK OF INTEGRITY (10)
makes his Qld debut for visiting trainer KerryAnn Turner who has produced a superb strike-rate in her previous northern trips. Fitter from 2 runs back from a break he will need some factors in his favour but does strike a winnable contest first-up.

DAPPER (4) worked hard in the run last start at Redcliffe and couldn’t see it out. His Redcliffe form has just tapered somewhat in recent starts but he strikes a field where he can have an early look and this is the type of race that should suit.

TACT OLLIE (9) tried to take them all the way last start when run down in the closing stages and holding on for the bronze. With the right trail through early he can look to challenge in the latter stages.

THE CARINGBAH KID (1) was making some late ground up the passing lane last time out and hasn’t been too far away in recent starts in similar races. With the inside line he will be thereabouts again.

SELECTIONS: MARK OF INTEGRITY (10), DAPPER (4), TACT OLLIE (9), THE CARINGBAH KID (1)
SUGGESTED BET: TACT OLLIE (9) to place