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  4. Form Analysis: Redcliffe 5 July

Form Analysis: Redcliffe 5 July

RACE ONE

ADRIFT (3)
started fav from this gate last time out and worked in the run when fighting to the line and going under a half-head behind OH STANLEY. 2 starts back he worked to the front and held them off once on control. He can look to take control here and dictate.

BEEF CITY BLAZE (7) sat back in the pack last start and came with a sustained closing run to arrive in time in a nice closing effort. His win 3 back when wearing down MACHITELLI was a top effort and from the gate he just needs to see space at the right time.

HERES MY NUMBER (5) has been kept fresh since his last outing when looking to pick up late ground behind DARBY BRIGHTS. The draw makes it tough but he can still place.

MAJORESS JUJON (4) looked to take them all the way last time off gate 1 but couldn’t see it out when run-down. Finding early position is key to her chances.

SELECTIONS: ADRIFT (3), BEEF CITY BLAZE (7), HERES MY NUMBER (5), MAJORESS JUJON (4)
SUGGESTED BET: ADRIFT (3) to win

RACE TWO

PRESLEYBEGOOD (8) took them all the way at AP last start when starting off gate 1 and dictating terms when well-rated to score a 5m victory with a further 19m back to 3rd. That followed a tough 2nd from gate 4 here 2 back and with the confidence of the win can look to go back-to-back.

LETS DIG IT (3) lands the best gate of his 3 start career where he can look to capitalise. Taken of the gate from the 5-hole last time he worked home in good order when not far off the winner. With the improved gate he can settle closer and gets his shot.

FIRST STRING (5) makes his Qld debut and if he can handle the triangle at his 1st look on a smaller track he will be giving this race a massive shake. He has met some very smart 2YOs his past few and this is well within reach.

MY ULTIMATE MAJOR (7) will need a slice of luck from this gate as he looks to get buried in the run. His win 2 starts back was a sound effort when leading all the way and he will be probing for gaps.



SELECTIONS: PRESLEYBEGOOD (8), LETS DIG IT (3), FIRST STRING (5) MY ULTIMATE MAJOR (7)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE THREE

MODERN THOUGHT (2) was wide last start from gate 4 when trying to find position and ended up a long way back I the pack. From a closer gate she can look to ask the early questions and finding the pegs can look to take out a race that is lacking in main chances.


TASCOTT LADY (1) tried to lead throughout last start off this gate but couldn’t see it out when run-down in the closing stages to finish 9m from the winner. With the options from the gate she looks to get her chance for a win.

CHEYENNE WARRIOR (5) worked home in good order from the 2nd line last start at his 3rd run back from a break. Fitter for the run and meeting nothing harder than last time keeps him in the mix.

MONTENEGRO (7) will be 2nd up from a break and can use the cosy trip against the markers to chime into the exotics with some of those in the running line looking to struggle here.

SELECTIONS: MODERN THOUGHT (2), TASCOTT LADY (1), CHEYENNE WARRIOR (5), MONTENEGRO (7)
SUGGESTED BET: Flexi trifecta 1-2-5-7

RACE FOUR

LAZY BLAZE (4)
had a shot for the front last time but couldn’t get to the pegs and did some early work before cover arrived. 2 starts back he was a long way back when looking to work into the race in the closing stages. From the gate he can settle handy and take this.

VINTAGE DREAM (10) was buried away on the pegs last time out and couldn’t work home into the contest. That followed a tough run at AP when doing work and well covered behind the handy LILAC FLASH. Despite the tough gate she can look to close out over the top of these.

GOTOTHEMOON (6) has the wide gate to overcome but he closed out in good order last start from the 2nd line to claim the bronze behind MY SECRET TORQUE. Fitter, he just needs some luck.

ANN MATTGREGOR (8) was working hard in the run here 2 starts back and went down swinging when only beaten a neck. Beaten by gate 5 last start she can settle handy here and is in the mix.

SELECTIONS: LAZY BLAZE (4), VINTAGE DREAM (10), GOTOTHEMOON (6), ANN MATTGREGOR (8)
SUGGESTED BET: LAZY BLAZE (4) to win

RACE FIVE

TELLELLA (4) looks to have found her race here after facing some tricky alleys in recent starts behind some handy performers. Beaten a head 3 starts back behind DARBY BRIGHTS she was then beaten by another stablemate in ADRIFT. Having to chase in those she can get close to the action here.

REGAL ROCK (10) will take further benefit from his latest run when buried away in transit and looking for space when down the line behind TELL THE LINESMAN. He scored comfortably at Marburg 2 starts back and can look to challenge here.

WILLSINTOWN (7) will need some luck from this gate but it works well for his return from a spell to get the cosy trip. Still searching for a maiden win he will be worth following.

ZED EXPRESS (5) placed in his past 5 in succession before going for a break. The last 2 of those were from tricky gates and he has exotic hopes here.

SELECTIONS: TELLELLA (4), REGAL ROCK (10), WILLSINTOWN (7), ZED EXPRESS (5)
SUGGESTED BET: TELLELLA (4) to win

RACE SIX

OSCARS GLORY (2)
can look to make the most of the improved gate in this line-up and can look to take control. Not suited when working too hard in the run at recent starts he can take a left turn to the pegs and with the absence of any pressure looks to get every chance.

DOWNAN OUT (7) will need a slice of luck from this alley and will be probing for the openings. Runner-up his past 2 starts, the latest when tracking home nicely at the end of the 2138m at AP behind IMA TOP TYCOON. If he can sight a gap he will be charging.

WRITEABOUTCHELSEA (8) has been racing in nice touch in this type of grade and cashed in here 2 back when arriving off this gate to defeat subsequent winner HOT DOGMA.

STRANGE CONDUCT (1) will be 2nd up from a break and will take some benefit from his 1st run. With the benefit of the cosy trip he can press for a top-4 position.

SELECTIONS: OSCARS GLORY (2), DOWNAN OUT (7), WRITEABOUTCHELSEA (8), STRANGE CONDUCT (1)
SUGGESTED BET: OSCARS GLORY (2) to win

RACE SEVEN

DARBY BRIGHTS (1) has been in the quinella at her past 4 in succession, winning 2 and placing 2nd in 2. Forcing her way to the front last start she was grabbed in the closing stages by LITTLE CHANGE. With the big improvement in the gate and options to go with it, she looks mighty hard to stop.
 
JANIES GOT A GUN (3) held the front from gate 2 here 2 starts back and setting a steady tempo over the 2040m trip was able to see it out. Pressing to the front last start she was gunned down in the closing stages. She needs to get to the pegs to feature in this.

SWAFFHAM WATER (7) will be coiled up and ready to issue a closing sprint when the gaps present. Buried in the run last time when mid-field behind OLIVER WINKLE the gate helps her.

SLIPPERY JADE (8) should find this easier than what she has been meeting in recent starts. Grabbed right on the line in a mares qualifier 3 back she has a good record here on the triangle.

SELECTIONS: DARBY BRIGHTS (1), JANIES GOT A GUN (3), SWAFFHAM WATER (7), SLIPPERY JADE (8)
SUGGESTED BET: DARBY BRIGHTS (1) to win

RACE EIGHT

GLENFERRIE BABY (5)
pressed on to the breeze from a 2nd line gate here 2 starts back and was able to take control and break clear as they turned for home. Buried on the pegs last time she was sweating on a run and when it arrived she grabbed the bronze. She can get forward into the fight.
 
ARTS PEREGRINE (1) was an eye-catcher last star when charging home late to grab the bronze. That was his 2nd run back from a freshen and with the benefit of the cosy run in transit, he can be poised and ready to offer.

BURNING AMBITION (6) has placed at her past 2 starts in mares qualifiers. The latest was a tough effort when pressing on to the breeze and holding on for the bronze behind MISS GRACELAND.

BIG IN AMERICA (9) makes her Qld debut for Stewie Dickson and was a handy Young winner 3 starts back. The gate is no help but her career record is strong and with even luck can chime into the exotics.

SELECTIONS: GLENFERRIE BABY (5), ARTS PEREGRINE (1), BURNING AMBITION (6), BIG IN AMERICA (9)
SUGGESTED BET: GLENFERRIE BABY (5) to win

RACE EIGHT

GLENFERRIE BABY (5)
pressed on to the breeze from a 2nd line gate here 2 starts back and was able to take control and break clear as they turned for home. Buried on the pegs last time she was sweating on a run and when it arrived she grabbed the bronze. She can get forward into the fight.
 
ARTS PEREGRINE (1) was an eye-catcher last star when charging home late to grab the bronze. That was his 2nd run back from a freshen and with the benefit of the cosy run in transit, he can be poised and ready to offer.

BURNING AMBITION (6) has placed at her past 2 starts in mares qualifiers. The latest was a tough effort when pressing on to the breeze and holding on for the bronze behind MISS GRACELAND.

BIG IN AMERICA (9) makes her Qld debut for Stewie Dickson and was a handy Young winner 3 starts back. The gate is no help but her career record is strong and with even luck can chime into the exotics.

SELECTIONS: GLENFERRIE BABY (5), ARTS PEREGRINE (1), BURNING AMBITION (6), BIG IN AMERICA (9)
SUGGESTED BET: GLENFERRIE BABY (5) to win