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  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park Mar 31

Form Analysis: Albion Park Mar 31

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON - @DASHMAN01

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter.

BEST BET: Race 7 N4 Somepartysomewhere
KEEN: Race 11 N7 Our Overanova

QUADDIE

L1 1-5-9-12
L2 1-2-5-11
L3 1-2
L4 1-8

RACE ONE

LUCIFERS LEGEND (4)
was responsible for a big effort 2 starts back working home strongly from a 2nd line gate running slick panels wide on the track when 4.5m from the winner. He made the most of gate 2 last start to take them all the way in a career best run and can look to go back-to-back.

ANYCHANCE (5) started fav last start from gate 2 over the 2138m trip and settled in the running line and ran a nice closing 800m behind CHAL FIRE. Luckless 2 starts back off the 2nd line, the tempo will be strong here and he can look to be working home strongly.
IMA GRUMPY POSSUM (1) A similar run here to her last start when using the passing lane is on the cards and can go close.
BAZZAS ART (9) A good run on Wed night at Redcliffe and he is in the mix again.

SELECTIONS: LUCIFERS LEGEND (4), ANYCHANCE (5), IMA GRUMPY POSSUM (1), BAZZAS ART (9)
SUGGESTED BET: LUCIFERS LEGEND (4) to win

RACE TWO

DON BOSTON (5) was well supported here 2 starts back and was wide off the track when fighting all the way over the sprint trip to be 3m from the passing lane winner IMA GRUMPY POSSUM. Not suited over the 2138m last week and working in the breeze he can roll forward to take control here.

MY ELUSIVE DREAM (12) hit the line strongly at Menangle 2 starts back to get within 1m of EXPRESSIONIST over the mile. Out to 2138m here last week he rolled forward from gate 4 and once in front was never in danger. The gate stings, but with front line pressure he can swoop late.
SPEEDIE MCARDLE (1). From the pocket trail he held the silver behind CHAL FIRE last start and is in the mix from the gate again.
REDS JET STAR (9) again rattled home last start from well back to be a half-neck away and will be.

SELECTIONS: DON BOSTON (5), MY ELUSIVE DREAM (12), SPEEDIE MCARDLE (1), REDS JET STAR (9)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-5-9-12

RACE THREE

MACH ALERT (2) resumes from a spell and has been to the trials twice to prepare for his return winning both trials in good style without being asked for too much. With good early speed he can look for the front and once in control will be fighting them off.

FRANKIE ROCKS (11) made a mess of the start last week as a red figure fav and was never in contention after that. Luckless after being buried away 3 starts back, he has been going well finishing off the speed this prep and will be swooping home again here.

POLISHED ROCKS (1). With the speed to dictate who he lets go, he is right in this.
CELESTIAL ARDEN (5) made his northern debut last week and after settling with running line cover finished the race strongly to get within a half-neck of the winner AMAJORJO. With even luck he can go close again.

SELECTIONS: MACH ALERT (2), FRANKIE ROCKS (11), POLISHED ROCKS (1), CELESTIAL ARDEN (5)
SUGGESTED BET: MACH ALERT (2) to win

RACE FOUR

MIND THE WIRE (1)
was having his 1st start back in Qld this campaign last week and took on the claimers over the 1238m from gate 7. Sent forward he was able to bully his way to the pegs before releasing and running into 3rd. Beaten a nose behind EPAULETTE 2 starts back he gets the perfect gate to give a sight.

OUTLAW FELLA (2) was never in position off the 2nd line last week and lost early advantage that saw him buried away along the pegs. He found the line strongly without ever getting a clear shot. From the gate he can issue an early challenge and is right in the fight.
STORMONT CZAR (8). With the cosy trip look for him probing for the gaps.
JOYS A BABE (6) looks well graded in this line-up and with the right run in transit a win would be no surprise.

SELECTIONS: MIND THE WIRE (1), OUTLAW FELLA (2), STORMONT CZAR (8), JOYS A BABE (6)
SUGGESTED BET: Flexi trifecta 1-2-6-8

RACE FIVE

CELTIC CRUZA (1) didn’t see space here 2 starts back and was unable to be fully tested. Last start he went to the post as fav and finished a head to PALE BEAR BOO after being crossed early. Gate 1 is not ideal for him, however stoked up enough to fight for the front he can take this.

CROWNING GLORY (8) settled in the running line here on Tues and made some late ground to get within 7m of the winner PSYCHEDELIC. Luckless 2 starts back when buried away, he will be sweating on the 1 holding top and if that scenario eventuates, he firms right into calculations.
MONIVAE (10) found the line well 3 starts back when saved for a closing shot and doing that here will see him issue a strong challenge.
MR MEDDLE (5) if able to find position he can be an improver.

SELECTIONS: CELTIC CRUZA (1), CROWNING GLORY (8), MONIVAE (10), MR MEDDLE (5)
SUGGESTED BET: CELTIC CRUZA / CROWNING GLORY (1/8) quinella

RACE SIX

BET IM SPECIAL (1)
ran his own closing 800m in 55 flat last start when finishing 5m from the winner off running line cover. 2 starts back he was a strong winner when facing the breeze after rolling forward from the 2nd line. He lands the gate advantage of his main rivals and that should see him home.

THREE OF THE BEST (9) is a talented 4YO that has missed a cheque just once this campaign, with that result seeing him finish 4th. A stylish all the way winner of a Rising Stars Final 2 starts back, his run was full of merit last time when beaten a neck after doing a stack of work. He is the clear danger.
I AM SERENGETI (3) was strong from the 2nd line last week and from the improved gate is a major player.

SELECTIONS: BET IM SPECIAL (1), THREE OF THE BEST (9), I AM SERENGETI (3),
SUGGESTED BET: BET IM SPECIAL (1) to win

RACE SEVEN

SOMEPARTYSOMEWHERE (4) is flying and following successive win was given a 3 start Menangle trip where he placed in all 3. Since returning back to Qld he has been a strong winner of 2 starts, both when leading all the way from this same gate. He can spear out and take them all the way.

CIRCLE LINE (1) wasn’t suited from 2nd line gates and returned to form when landing the ace and able to control the tempo from the front in a stylish win. Forced to work in the run last week behind BAZZAS ART the effort was good and with a cosy trip here can look to fill the quinella.
STATEMENT MADE (6) The last win was a top effort when posting an 8m victory and untouched in a 55.1 closing 800m. The gate hurts but must be respected.
OUR QUINN (3). Settling closer he can fill the exotics again.

SELECTIONS: SOMEPARTYSOMEWHERE (4), CIRCLE LINE (1), STATEMENT MADE (6), OUR QUINN (3)
SUGGESTED BET: SOMEPARTYSOMEWHERE (4) to win

RACE EIGHT

REMEMBER THEM (2)
can make it a race-to-race double for select trainer Greg Franklin and gets into this race nicely after taking on FFA company at his past 3. Over the sprint trip 2 starts back he took the pocket trail behind GLENFERRIE HOOD and his last run had merit behind MAKO BANNER. He can go all the way.

MAFUTA VAUTIN (9) was well out of position last week as the start was affected and that was basically the end of his race. 2 starts back he was forced to work hard in the run when facing the breeze and with a nice trail through at the start looks to get in here nicely.
OVERLAP (1) Last start he attacked the line strongly for the silver and with a cosy trip here can make a play in the stretch.
INA GREAT PLACE (8) will be a step up from claiming grade but the draw and soft trip helps.

SELECTIONS: REMEMBER THEM (2), MAFUTA VAUTIN (9), OVERLAP (1), INA GREAT PLACE (8)
SUGGESTED BET: REMEMBER THEM (2) to win

RACE NINE

DRIVE THE DREAM (1)
finished mid-field but was only 4.5m from the passing lane winner IMA GRUMPY POSSUM 2 starts back. Last week in mares only company she found the line strongly to be within 2m of the winner and with the options from the gate gets her chance in this.

DARK ENERGY (10) found the line in good order at Bathurst 3 starts back and was not beaten far by BLAZIN N CULLEN. At his Qld debut last week he found the line in nice sections and if able to get the right cart into the contest will be in the mix.
CHANTREY (12) scored here on Tuesday. With a similar type run he has claims.
RATE HIGHLY (8) Cutting the breeze last start didn’t help but back to a cosy trip he can be an improver.

SELECTIONS: DRIVE THE DREAM (1), DARK ENERGY (10), CHANTREY (12), RATE HIGHLY (8)
SUGGESTED BET: DRIVE THE DREAM (1) to win

RACE TEN

IOWNATURBO (1)
returned from a break in fine style to win a penalty free mares qualifier when storming home wide out and arrive for the prize. 2nd up here on Tues off this gate they looked to go all the way and set a slick tempo when grabbed late. With the options she looks hard to stop either from the front or the trail.

IM NORMA JEAN (2) led until the final strides again over the 2138m trip on Tues when grabbed up the passing lane by ASHLEYS ANGEL. Rundown and beaten a half-head 3 starts back she will appreciate the mares only grade and can go close.
GET IN THE GROOVE (10) if she can get around them cheaply she comes into contention.

ROCKONBYE (8) found the line nicely 2 starts back when claiming 3rd to SWEET AS and has podium claims.

SELECTIONS: IOWNATURBO (1), IM NORMA JEAN (2), GET IN THE GROOVE (10), ROCKONBYE (8)
SUGGESTED BET: IOWNATURBO (1) to win
 

RACE ELEVEN


OUR OVERANOVA (7) takes on the 2680m mobile trip at AP for the first time. From 13 appearances under mobile conditions at Albion Park he has never missed a place, winning on 11 occasions. The wide gate should be of little concern over the long trip and he can make it a dozen here.

OUR DAINTY LADY (6) rolled forward from gate 6 last start when starting from the mobile and after receiving cover was able to get within 3m of the winner. Freshened since that run she can challenge strongly.
MAYBETOTHEMAX (2). He will have the speed to find the pegs here and if able to slow them up might take some stopping.
FOURSHARESMOREBEERS (4) At career start 50 he can’t be discounted

SELECTIONS: OUR OVERANOVA (7), OUR DAINTY LADY (6), MAYBETOTHEMAX (2), FOURSHARESMOREBEERS (4)
SUGGESTED BET: OUR OVERANOVA (7) to win