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  4. Form Analysis: Redcliffe Mar 7

Form Analysis: Redcliffe Mar 7

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON - @DASHMAN01

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter.

RACE ONE

OSCARS GLORY (3)
was driven hard to find the pegs last start but couldn’t hold out ELMAUR JOY who got there and then led throughout. He will be better suited at the 1780m start this time to get across and from the front will have options. He is racing well including a win 3 starts back from gate 5. In a tricky opener to the night he can score.

ROYAL TAZ (1) started from this same gate over the 2040m in the race won by ELMAUR JOY. Settling 3 back along the pegs he ran to the line well to grab 2nd. From this gate he will again get the cosy trip and be running on late.
ROCKNROLL AMBER (7) is likely to be buried away but can threaten if she can see space in time.
PALE BEAR BOO (4) is in great touch, he might just be working too hard again. Can’t be ignored however.

SELECTIONS: OSCARS GLORY (3), ROYAL TAZ (1), ROCKNROLL AMBER (7), PALE BEAR BOO (4)
SUGGESTED BET: OSCARS GLORY (3) to win

RACE TWO

COULDNTBETOLD (3) closed out strongly off a 2nd line gate to land a head victory over the 1780m trip 3 starts back. Since that win he has been a head 2nd to XTRAORDINARY LOMBO after releasing the front and was too far back last start. He can apply the pressure here and take this.

FLASHING GOOD TIME (1) started from this gate last start and was crossed early. Holding the trail she used the passing lane to get within 2m of the all the way winner ANNAS BEST. With another cosy trip in the trail, she can run the quinella again.
ISOLA BELLA (7) makes her Qld debut and has trialled once to prepare. From this gate will get the cosy trip and look to only sprint the closing stages.
HAVETOGETAWAYMORE (4) With a sharp closing sprint, look for her swooping late.

SELECTIONS: COULDNTBETOLD (3), FLASHING GOOD TIME (1), ISOLA BELLA (7), HAVETOGETAWAYMORE (4)
SUGGESTED BET: COULDNTBETOLD (3) to win

RACE THREE

LUCKY NED PEPPER (1) has been runner-up at his past 3 outings, the last 2 of those when starting from inside the 2nd line. 3 starts back he sped across from gate 5 to find the front and was grabbed late by ROCKNROLL AMBER. With the speed to hold the pegs here, he looks to get every chance to break his Qld duck.

CHANGEOVERME (9) will be fitter following his return to the track after a long break here last start. Settling behind the leader, he looked to be in trouble for space, but a perfectly judged drive saw him change gears nicely once the gap opened. He can issue a strong challenge.
CAMIVISTA (5) the wide gate hurts, but he will only need even luck to find the podium.
BALLATOR THOR (8) found the line strongly last start and with a similar type run he can be flashing late.

SELECTIONS: LUCKY NED PEPPER (1), CHANGEOVERME (9), CAMIVISTA (5), BALLATOR THOR (8)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-5-8-9

RACE FOUR

JUSTALITTLE TORQUE (5)
should find this a shade below what she has been meeting at AP in recent starts. 2 back she was driven to the front from gate 2 and once in control held a comfortable 5m victory. A 4m 4th to SLIPPERY JADE last starts from the 2nd line was a tidy effort and back to the triangle, she can come with the closing shot.

ALWAYS A JEWEL (6) faces a tough gate yet will strip fitter following her return to the track after a spell here last week. Finding running line position from this same gate she finished over the top for a nice win. She is right in this.
TORQUE FEELS GOOD (2) has been meeting stronger types in recent starts and will be looking to make the most of this line-up and the improved gate.
ROCKNROLL PROMISE (1) will be better suited in this line-up after 2 tough runs since the win and from the gate will get the options.

SELECTIONS: JUSTALITTLE TORQUE (5), ALWAYS A JEWEL (6), TORQUE FEELS GOOD (2), ROCKNROLL PROMISE (1)
SUGGESTED BET: Flexi trifecta 1-2-5-6

RACE FIVE

PURE MADNESS (1) returned a tidy effort last start when only beaten 10m behind THE HARLEM HAMMER after doing some early work from gate 4 at AP. 2 starts back she was 3m from the in-form KEARNEY LANE and from this gate can look to use her early speed and take them all the way.

SONNY ORLANDO (2) was working in the run last start and just faded in the closing stages to finish 8m from the winner BALLATOR THOR. He hasn’t been too far away in recent starts and finds his best gate for some time and can throw down the challenge.
MANY DELIGHTS (5) will strip fitter from 1 run back from a long break and in this line-up has claims.
LOCKTON ART (4) was too far back last start, she can be more prominent from this gate.

SELECTIONS: PURE MADNESS (1), SONNY ORLANDO (2), MANY DELIGHTS (5), LOCKTON ART (4)
SUGGESTED BET: PURE MADNESS (1) to win

RACE SIX

ILLAWONG DREAMTIME (2)
has been working his way back in to form after a long winless stretch and finds the right type of race here. 2 starts back from the breeze he claimed the silver when working hard in the run and finishing 3.5m from the winner. With good early speed, he can fire out to the front and look to reclaim winning form.

MUCHO MACHO MAN (4) is in the zone and looks to make it 5 successive Redcliffe victories here. Each win has been in a different pattern highlighting his versatility with the latest a tough win when sitting outside the leader before putting them away. He is the obvious threat.
SHEZABONNYGEM (3) loves the triangle and settling close to the speed she will be right in the fight.
RIVERLEIGH WILLIAM (1) w will get the perfect trip here.

SELECTIONS: ILLAWONG DREAMTIME (2), MUCHO MACHO MAN (4), SHEZABONNYGEM (3), RIVERLEIGH WILLIAM (1)
SUGGESTED BET: ILLAWONG DREAMTIME (2) to win

RACE SEVEN

THE FRAME (8) has got plenty of ability matched by his problems. After 2 starts where he was nursed around to educate him further, the 2nd of those a nice effort behind AQUA MISS, he was up to his tricks last start and banished to the trials. With 3 sharp trials he can look to put it all together.

DARBY BRIGHTS (7) returns to start her 3YO term following a 5 start 2YO term that didn’t return a win but she raced consistently in each and placed in her 1st two outings. With an impressive trial to prepare for her return, if able to find some space in time, she can issue a challenge.
HIGH ON MONTANA (3) with the right run here he can improve.
WEDDING NIGHT (2) will be better suited with a quiet trip here and can podium.

SELECTIONS: THE FRAME (8), DARBY BRIGHTS (7), HIGH ON MONTANA (3), WEDDING NIGHT (2)
SUGGESTED BET: THE FRAME (8) to win

RACE EIGHT

BIG BEAT (4)
will strip fitter following 1 run back from a break with his return run a nice effort considering he didn’t look entirely comfortable. Settling with running line cover he started in red figures when beaten 6m. Look for him to turn it around this time.

BRONSKI MACKENZIE (2) finished 3rd in her 1st 2 runs back this prep and then 3rd up met a strong line-up when finishing 17m from the winner SOMWHEREOVARAINBOW. This is a more suitable assignment and looking to hold a forward position she has claims.
IFYOUBELIEVE (1) With the benefit of the options from gate 1 he can challenge.
NEVERHAVEIEVER (6) has the tough gate to negotiate but has the right form to issue a strong challenge.
 

SELECTIONS: BIG BEAT (4), BRONSKI MACKENZIE (2), IFYOUBELIEVE (1), NEVERHAVEIEVER (6)
SUGGESTED BET: