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  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park May 5

Form Analysis: Albion Park May 5

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON - @DASHMAN01

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter.

RACE ONE

ANNIKA MAGIC (12)
gets no favours from gate 12 here and will be relying on some mid-race tempo to bring her into the contest. Shooting for a hat-trick of victories she was a good winner over the mile last start when arriving in time to score.  That followed a strong win at Redcliffe. She will be charging late.

LANCELOT BROMAC (1) has worked his way back into some nice touch after just tapering off somewhat. 2 starts back he worked hard in the run and was fighting to the line to get within 3m of the winner. Starting fav off this gate last start, he claimed the silver up the passing lane and will be ready to strike in this.

SOMEPARTYSOMEWHERE (9) has been in great touch and was luckless here 3 starts back along the passing lane. Too far back at his next start he was a strong qualifying winner last week and with even luck in transit can be right in this.

CASINO TOMMY (8) is crying out for a win when he lands the right alley. Strong to the line last week after pressing on to the breeze from the 2nd line he was 1.5m from the winner ANNIKA MAGIC. He looks to get buried away here and will be probing for open space.

SELECTIONS: ANNIKA MAGIC (12), LANCELOT BROMAC (1), SOMEPARTYSOMEWHERE (9), CASINO TOMMY (8)
SUGGESTED BET: $25k UBET Jackpot Flexi F4 1-8-9-12

RACE TWO

LIKEALLOFUS (1) will strip fitter from his latest start when 2nd up from a break. He found the line in good order when resuming to be within 5m of BET IM SPECIAL after going back from gate 6 to look for peg luck. Burning hard in a sub 27 opener to lead last start he fought hard to the line. He can go all the way here.

MACHIN OUT (8) was closing out strongly to finish 4m from PARISIAN ROCKSTAR 2 starts back and last start from the running line worked home to grab the bronze behind A GOOD CHANCE. He will get the perfect trip and be ready to take his shot in the stretch.

REDS JETS STAR (10) worked into the running line here on Tues from gate 6 and then was produced with a well-timed run to score. She had been building up to that and with even luck here can be swooping late.

RORY MACH (9) was attacking the line in the closing stages in running 2nd to REDS JET STAR. Luckless 2 starts back in the claiming ranks, he can drop to the pegs early here and be attacking late.

SELECTIONS: LIKEALLOFUS (1), MACHIN OUT (8), REDS JETS STAR (10), RORY MACH (9)
SUGGESTED BET: LIKEALLOFUS (1) to win

RACE THREE

TOMEARA (12) has a tough gate to overcome here but he is racing in top form and will be relying on some mid-race pressure to bring him into the contest. Runner-up at his past 3 starts all over the 2138m trip, he was working home strongly last start behind PROFICIENT and will be swooping late.

BETTOR BE LUCKY (3) was a winner 3 starts back after enjoying the pocket trail and then angling to the outside to finish best for a stylish win over the 2138m trip. He followed that with a tidy effort after making an error and fought hard to the line here on Tues. He can throw down the challenge.

MONIVAE (1) found his race here last week and with a smaller field dictated the race from the breeze to pull away to a 5m victory as a short priced fav. With the early options he is right in the mix.

HEZ RAZOR SHARP (6) was well placed last start and from gate 3 went straight to the front and once in control was never in danger to score an easy victory. He hadn’t been far away prior to that win and will be working home strongly again.

SELECTIONS:  TOMEARA (12), BETTOR BE LUCKY (3), MONIVAE (1), HEZ RAZOR SHARP (6)
SUGGESTED BET: TOMEARA (12) to win

RACE FOUR

MATTGREGOR (8)
returned this campaign a winner and has since placed his past 2 starts from 2nd line gates when only beaten a neck and a half-head. He has the class in this field but faces a very tricky gate. Likely to ease to get straight off the pegs he can look to power home over the top. Just needs the luck.

CONSTANTLYSIDEWAYS (9) has been given a freshen since his last outing when finishing mid-field behind JACKAROO BROMAC. The start prior he was finding the line strongly from gate 7 to be 10m from SMOOTH SHOWGIRL. He can settle in a handy position from this gate and be finishing hard.

FEEL THE FAITH (5) loomed up to win 2 starts back and threw her chances away by going off-stride. Atoning for the error last week when winning in good style she can look to go on with it here.

ANYCHANCE (6) was too far back in the pack last start and was probing for clean air when running on late behind ALLELUIA. That followed successive wins and while the gate hurts he can feature.

SELECTIONS: MATTGREGOR (8), CONSTANTLYSIDEWAYS (9), FEEL THE FAITH (5), ANYCHANCE (6)
SUGGESTED BET: MATTGREGOR (8) to win

RACE FIVE

AMAJORJO (5) was a winner from the pocket trail here 4 starts back after releasing the speed and then arriving in time. Beaten by wide gates since that win, he was luckless here last week when never getting a clean shot. He can be set alight to find the pegs early and can sneak away with this.

ROYAL COUNSEL (1) has been landing some wide gates which haven’t helped her chances and seen her being taken back and coming with one run. Her last win came when leading all the way from gate 3 and with the improved gate can be right in the firing line and is right in the fight.

MAFUTA VAUTIN (9) didn’t have the best of luck when wide out behind FRANKIE ROCKS 2 starts back. Sent to the breeze last week from gate 6 he fought hard when an 8m 3rd. He is right in this.

CROFT BAY (3) is racing well without the results to reward the effort. He found the line nicely last start behind MARKEY OH MARKEY and that followed a 4th to FRANKIE ROCKS. With an improved draw he can feature in this.

SELECTIONS: AMAJORJO (5), ROYAL COUNSEL (1), MAFUTA VAUTIN (9), CROFT BAY (3)
SUGGESTED BET: AMAJORJO (5) to win

RACE SIX

CLINTAL DO (2)
was in dominant form with wins at 5 from his previous 6 starts when taking on a 2138m event here 2 starts back he was a red figure fav and turned in a run well below his best. Last start off the 2nd line the run was strong when controlled at the front by SOMEPARTYSOMEWHERE. From the improved gate he looks mighty hard to stop.

RUATO BAY (1) started from this gate 2 starts back in the same race as CLINTAL DO and after releasing the front at the 1400m ran home well to claim the bronze. Buried away last start, he will get the perfect trip here to issue the last challenge.

FRANCO TARIQ (3) makes his Qld debut for Darrel Graham after being claimed from a Menangle event where he scored a last stride win on Apr 17. He has been closing strongly and is in the mix.

RIVERLEIGH JEFF (8) found a nice race on the grass at Kilcoy 2 starts back and was too strong in scoring a 2m victory. Holding on for the bronze last start from the trail, he can enjoy the cosy trip and run into the money.

SELECTIONS: CLINTAL DO (2), RUATO BAY (1), FRANCO TARIQ (3), RIVERLEIGH JEFF (8)
SUGGESTED BET: CLINTAL DO (2) to win

RACE SEVEN

CATCHA LEFTY (7) returns from a NSW campaign that culminated with an M0 victory at Menangle when pressing forward and racing tough over the mile. In the money at 4 of his past 5 starts he can wait for the dust to settle and then launch his claim and look to overpower them late.

THE SHADY ONE (1) lands the ideal gate for his pattern and has been racing well since returning from a freshen. Settling back in the pack last start he came with a well-timed closing burst to arrive for a good win. With the early speed to dictate who he releases, he will be coiled and ready to strike.

JOYS A BABE (4) dropped into running line cover last start and was closing out well to be 7m from ALLELUIA. With good early speed she can be sent forward here and from the front be gripping on.

BETTORTHANSPECIAL (6)closed out strongly 2 starts back when 1.5mfrom FRANKIE ROCKS. Freshened after that run she will be fitter for her latest run when working hard in the breeze and 6m from MACH ALERT in a slick closing 800m.

SELECTIONS: CATCHA LEFTY (7), THE SHADY ONE (1), JOYS A BABE (4), BETTORTHANSPECIAL (6)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-4-6-7

RACE EIGHT

THE HARLEM HAMMER (5)
started in red figures in last week’s mares qualifier when looking to take them all the way from gate 3. Setting a strong tempo she was grabbed in the closing stages to finish runner-up. With good early speed she can press ahead and if not in front can squeeze in. Can atone.

GLENFERRIE BABY (4) does her best work in front and her last win came when dictating over the Redcliffe 2040m trip. Her run last week from gate 6 had merit when wide out and trying to work into the contest. She can scorch out early here to look for the pegs and from the front will be fighting.
 
NOVENA ROSE (2) was a winner here over the 1660m 4 starts back and followed that with a Redcliffe victory. A beaten fav last start when working in the run, she has some claims here.

WESTERN JEWELS (3) found the front from gate 2 over the Redcliffe 2040m 2 starts back and controlled the speed to score. 1m from the winner last start after working hard she can place.

SELECTIONS: THE HARLEM HAMMER (5), GLENFERRIE BABY (4), NOVENA ROSE (2), WESTERN JEWELS (3)
SUGGESTED BET: THE HARLEM HAMMER (5) to win

RACE NINE

MARETTI (11)
has been freshened since his most recent victory when landing victory in a similar race when working to the breeze from gate 5 and proving too strong in impressive style. That made it wins at 5 of his past 7. Given a sharp trial to blow the cobwebs out, he can use his class to take this.

GRINVIL (9) has been in great touch since arriving in Qld and added a stylish win at Redcliffe from the front to her form on Wed night. That followed a pair of tidy efforts behind the star COLT THIRTY ONE in a Rising Stars Series. She can trail through to a handy position and issue a closing challenge.

THE GUN ROCKSTAR (2) was a winner here 5 starts back when holding the front from gate 1 and taking them all the way. His past 3 have been from the 2nd row and back to the front gets his chance.

SUBTLE DELIGHT (6) lands another tough gate to add to his recent wide alleys. 2 starts back he finished hard when wide out to take a nice 2138m victory. Luckless last start he is an exotic player.

SELECTIONS: MARETTI (11), GRINVIL (9), THE GUN ROCKSTAR (2), SUBTLE DELIGHT (6)
SUGGESTED BET: MARETTI (11) to win

RACE TEN

SIXPENNY RED (6)
was impressive on debut at Redcliffe when spearing out from gate 5 to find the front and once in control coasted home to an easy 7m victory. With natural improvement she can look to fire across to the pegs and take them all the way again.

SMART AS CAMM BE (5) finished best in a small field here last start when running home a sharp closing panel to arrive for an impressive victory. Beaten at red figures the start prior, she will be finishing hard and with the right run knock them out again.

SAMS THE BEST (3) has placed at all 3 career starts thus far, beaten a half-head on debut and 2m from ROCKNROLL CLASSIC last start. He might need to do some work here and can fill the trifecta.

SELECTIONS: SMART AS CAMM BE (5), SIXPENNY RED (6), SAMS THE BEST (3)
SUGGESTED BET: SMART AS CAMM BE / SIXPENNY RED (5/6) quinella

RACE ELEVEN

OUR OVERANOVA (7)
hit the line strongly here 2 starts back to win under mobile conditions over the marathon trip when running home some nice closing fractions. Last start from a 60m impost he tracked home strongly for the silver behind SPRINGBANK EDEN. His mobile record over the 1660m is close to faultless with 6 wins from 7 outings.
 
SPUD (1)
will take further benefit from his latest run when 2nd up from a break and finishing 13m from the winner NEEDLE. He has good early speed and can look to set the tempo here and will be gripping on.

JUSTABITNOISY (4) returns from a spell and will take good benefit on what he can achieve here. His most recent trial was a real eye-catcher and with even luck in transit can finish in the money.

SPRINGBANK EDEN (2) was a tough winner from the tapes here 2 starts back over the 2647m trip and then was hitting the line hard here on Tuesday when a neck from NEEDLE. He is in the micx.

SELECTIONS: OUR OVERANOVA (7), SPUD (1), JUSTABITNOISY (4), SPRINGBANK EDEN (2)
SUGGESTED BET: OUR OVERANOVA (7) to win