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Form Analysis: Redcliffe May 23

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON - @DASHMAN01

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter.

RACE ONE

MACH SAM (10)
was shooting for a hat-trick of wins last start when starting from gate 9 he secured running line cover and was within 2m of the winner ARTIKULATE MISS. Both wins were when leading throughout and despite the gate he can be working home hard here to score.

MY AJAYE (1) led throughout over the mile at AP 3 starts back and had a neck to spare on the line after getting a big 2nd panel breather. He met a strong MARETTI last start when finishing down the line. With the gate advantage and the speed to take advantage of it, he gets every chance.

MISTER FANTANGLES (2) worked into the pocket trail from gate 3 here 5 starts back and made the most of the passing lane to score. Claiming the silver at his past 2 starts, he is right in the fight here.

JUSTATIC (7) resumes from a freshen after working hard in the run off the 2nd line behind OUR MAJOR DAY at AP. With the soft trail here he can look to be issuing a closing challenge.

SELECTIONS: MACH SAM (10), MY AJAYE (1), MISTER FANTANGLES (2), JUSTATIC (7)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-2-7-10

RACE TWO

JANUARY (9) should appreciate this class of opponent after taking on some handy types at her past 4 starts since returning from a spell. Her return effort was good when 9m from MAJORDOIT and then worked in the early stages behind THE HARLEM HAMMER. Back to the triangle, she can cash-in.

VANTO HANOVER (1) was a tidy winner here 3 starts back from gate 6 when working home in good order and followed that with the silver behind NEWMERELLA SHARKIE. Not suited from gate 7 at AP last start, she gets the early options here and is right in the mix.

NICKY MATTGREGOR (7) will need plenty of luck from the gate as she looks at risk of being buried in the run. A passing lane winner last week from the pocket trail, she will be sprinting hard when the gaps arrive.

LITTLE CHANGE (4) started fav from the 2nd line last week and worked home strongly to score a good win at his Qld debut. He moves to the front line and can go close once again.

SELECTIONS: JANUARY (9), VANTO HANOVER (1), NICKY MATTGREGOR (7), LITTLE CHANGE (4)
SUGGESTED BET: JANUARY (9) to win

RACE THREE

ARBIT MAJOR (1) was runner-up in successive runs here over the 2040m and then the 1780m when beaten a neck and a half-neck. Luckless last start when looking for position, he can look to hold the front and once in control can take them all the way.

RUFFALO (7) started from this gate 3 starts back and used the passing lane to arrive for the win. Forget his next start when making an error, he closed out well at his latest start to grab the silver behind LIFEINHEAVEN and will be coiled and ready to strike here.

THE GUN ROCKSTAR (3) started from gate 10 last start and was making some closing ground wide off the track. That was an improved effort from his previous runs and getting forward here can put himself right in the fight.

LIVE IT LOUD (4) started from gate 4 at her 1st Redcliffe appearance over the 2040m trip and was rough in her gear when trying to press forward. Finding early position here she is in the mix.

SELECTIONS: ARBIT MAJOR (1), RUFFALO (7), THE GUN ROCKSTAR (3), LIVE IT LOUD (4)
SUGGESTED BET: ARBIT MAJOR (1) to win

RACE FOUR

BETTOR WATCH HIM (8)
will strip fitter after his latest start when resuming from a break. Sent forward in the early stages to press on to the front from gate 5, his condition gave out in the closing stages to finish a head from the winner. 4th to RED CHARMER 2 starts back, he gets his chance here.

OMINOUS FLYER (9) worked hard in the run last start and was fighting to the line to hold the silver behind VILLAGE CRUISER. Placed in 3 of 5 starts since returning from a break, with even luck in transit he is in contention here.

SAND SAFARI (1) returns to the draw after being banished to the outside for her starting manners. Forced to work home from the wide gates, she gets the chance to use her early speed here and comes into calculations.

LATIN BEATS (7) worked home in good order from gate 6 last start after being given plenty of time to settle in the run. With the cosy trip from the gate, she will be in perfect position to challenge late.

SELECTIONS: BETTOR WATCH HIM (8), OMINOUS FLYER (9), SAND SAFARI (1), LATIN BEATS (7)
SUGGESTED BET: BETTOR WATCH HIM (8) to win

RACE FIVE

FUI FUI (1) secured the pocket trail from inside the 2nd line here 2 starts back and followed home to claim the silver behind MACH SAM. He has been trying to work home from back in the pack in recent starts and with good early speed can look to dictate terms here to an all the way win.

BIG BEAT (7) will get the perfect trip and be in the snipers spot when the shot becomes available. He finished best down the centre of the track to score here over the 2040m trip 2 starts back and will find this easier than last start in the Triad behind COLT THIRTY ONE.

ALLNIGHT MLADY (3) makes her Qld debut for Grant Dixon. Last start at Bathurst from the pocket trail she was 11m from SQUIRE. Winless since Nov, she will be looking to re-ignite her career.

COME OUT AND PLAY (6) was a strong winner from this same gate last start when rolling forward to find the breeze and forging clear to a 10m victory. This is slightly harder but he is on the up and cant be ignored.

SELECTIONS: FUI FUI (1), BIG BEAT (7), ALLNIGHT MLADY (3), COME OUT AND PLAY (6)
SUGGESTED BET: Flexi trifecta 1-3-6-7

RACE SIX

MINTED MONTANA (8)
was super impressive on debut when cutting the breeze throughout and putting the crush over GINGER MICKY. Run at a solid tempo, he looked to be under serious pressure turning for home, but rallied strongly to kick back for a 6m victory. He looks a smart customer.

CUPCAKESNWHIPCREAM (3) scored a maiden breaking win here 3 starts back when unleashing a strong sprint to run home to victory from a 2nd line gate. Taking on the fillies Breeders Classic last start she held 4th behind the big 3 who forged clear with SMART AS CAMM BE taking the prize. She can look for the front early here.

SIXPENNY RED (1) was a good all the way winner here on debut 3 starts back from gate 4 and has then struck SMART AS CAMM BE at her next 2. With the options from the gate she has place claims.

CAPITALIZE (7) took out the C&G Breeders Classic last start when working forward to the breeze from the 2nd line. He will need luck from this gate, but with a gap presenting he can look to close strongly.

SELECTIONS: MINTED MONTANA (8), CUPCAKESNWHIPCREAM (3), SIXPENNY RED (1), CAPITALIZE (7)
SUGGESTED BET: MINTED MONTANA (8) to win

RACE SEVEN

MUCHO GUAPA (2) is a Rock N Roll Heaven filly making her debut for Wayne Graham. A half-sister to 4 winners including Graham’s MUCHO MACHO MAN, she did everything right in a recent trial. Showing enough speed to work to the front here she can make a winning start to her career.

REGULUS (7) has shown plenty of scope thus far, but lands no favours from the gate here and will need a decent slice of luck. An impressive all the way winner at Menangle 2nd up his Bathurst Gold Crown heat run was a good effort. Forced to work hard behind CAPITALIZE in the Breeders last start, he will be probing.

OUR DOUG (8) showed good improvement from his debut when settling back in the pack from gate 5 to work home in good style when 4th to GINATIANO. With a good run in transit, he can improve further and feature here.

POINT OH FIVE (9) stepped out for the 1st time in the Breeders Consolation when dropped to the pegs he was finishing off hard to grab 3rd behind HIPSTAR. With the benefit of that run he can improve again here.

SELECTIONS: MUCHO GUAPA (2), REGULUS (7), OUR DOUG (8), POINT OH FIVE (9)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE EIGHT

MY ULTIMATE SPORT (9)
is a Sportswriter gelding on debut for Donny Smith out of the mare Colada Belle who ranks as a half-sister to Blacks A Fake. He did everything right in his 1st trial and then made an error in the 2nd before resetting and scoring by a very nice 8m margin. He can make it a successful start.

ARK ME (2) pressed ahead to find the front on debut here and setting a steady tempo was grabbed up the passing lane by FAVOURITE MISS and beaten a half-neck. 4th in the Fillies Breeders Consolation she can look to get to the pegs early here.

ROCKNROLL CLASSIC (8) took the trail on debut and finished best up the passing lane to score. He was luckless in the Breeders behind CAPITALIZE when searching for space. With even luck here look for him laying down a challenge.

HIPSTAR (5) made a mess of the start on debut and went back to the trials to sort his issues. 2nd up in the Breeders Consolation he made the most of the pocket trail to arrive on the line for a win over LIFES BLACK. He can look to build off that here.

SELECTIONS: MY ULTIMATE SPORT (9), ARK ME (2), ROCKNROLL CLASSIC (8), HIPSTAR (5)
SUGGESTED BET: MY ULTIMATE SPORT (9) to win

RACE NINE

BLUE CHIP MADAM (1)
steps out for the visiting Newberry stable and lands the perfect gate for her Qld debut. Last start at Cobram she used the passing lane when 7m from ROSAS FIRST in a slick closing 400m split. She can look to hold the inside advantage early and brings the right credentials to this race.

CHUMP CHOP (7) scored a maiden breaking win 2 starts back when weaving a passage and finishing best to score up the passing lane. From the pocket trail last start he went within a half-neck of victory and will be looking for the gaps again here and sprinting hard.

ONYA DOUG (8) should appreciate this class of race after taking in some stronger events recently. Buried away last start behind SOMWHEREOVARAINBOW, with the right run he can issue a challenge here.

MICKEE CULLEN (3) was looking to work home wide off the track last start when claiming the bronze behind GOLD REACTOR. A beaten fav at his 1st 3 starts since returning as a 3YO, he looks to get his chance here and can feature.

SELECTIONS: BLUE CHIP MADAM (1), CHUMP CHOP (7), ONYA DOUG (8), MICKEE CULLEN (3)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-3-7-8