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  4. Form Analysis: Redcliffe Nov 13

Form Analysis: Redcliffe Nov 13

RACE ONE

KEY LARGO (1)
has faced some tough gates in recent starts and last tie out had no luck at all when buried in the run and never having a clean shot at them. His last win came back in May when able to dictate in front over the AP 2138m trip and with the benefit of gate 1 can look to take full advantage.

THE GOLDEN CROSS (7) worked home in good order in a 2nd division qualifier here last start and claimed the bronze behind the all the way winner SIR JULIAN. His run 2 starts back was full of merit when finding the line nicely after snagging back from gate 6. With the cosy trail he will be readyt to strike.

MY ULTIMATE FELLA (5) was doing his share of work in the run here on Sat night when wide off the track and within 10m of the winner RICH VIRGIN. His previous 2 were from gate 6 and he can be sharper in this.

TED WEST (8) used the passing lane to get within 2m of the winner FRENCH GLOBE 3 starts back and was gallant at his next start after copping interference in the run. His effort was solid at Marburg in Sunday when charging home to get within a head of victory and he is in the mix.

SELECTIONS: KEY LARGO (1), THE GOLDEN CROSS (7), MY ULTIMATE FELLA (5), TED WEST (8)
SUGGESTED BET: KEY LARGO (1) to win

RACE TWO

MISTERRIODEJANEIRO (2) never got a crack at them here 2 starts back and went to the line with plenty to offer when within 6m of the winner. Last start at Marburg he was unsuited off the 2nd line but there was still plenty to like about the run. With an improved gate he can look to cash-in.

SACHE GIRL (1) found the pocket trail from gate 3 here 3 starts back when resuming from a break and wasn’t entirely comfortable when finishing mid-field. She hit the line in nice style here 2 starts back off a 2nd line gate and with the options from this alley she will be right in the fight.

BRASS LANTERN (7) is winless since August of 2017 however his past few starts have been encouraging when drawn inside the 2nd line. He should get a nice trip from this gate and can look for a podium finish.

SHADOW HUNTER (6) has the tough gate to negotiate yet he is in nice touch and can look to chime into the exotics. A winner from gate 8 here 4 starts back he can be thereabouts.

SELECTIONS: MISTERRIODEJANEIRO (2), SACHE GIRL (1), BRASS LANTERN (7), SHADOW HUNTER (6)
SUGGESTED BET: MISTERRIODEJANEIRO (2) to win

RACE THREE

JESTER OH JESTER (2) has been crying out to land a marble after his past 5 have all been from wide gates. From inside the 2nd line last start he was locked away in the run and chased hard behind ANOTHER BROADWAY. His run at Armidale 3 starts back was a real eye-catcher and hustled out to find the pegs can look to end a 12 month winless streak.

ELENIARK (8) is the class runner of the field however has gate 8 to overcome and is 1st up since July without a public trial. She chased gamely last start in the Patrons Purse which followed a luckless run in the 4YO Championship. If forward enough she is a big danger in this.

KARLOO MAC (1) released the front here last week in a non-TAB event and was within 10m of the winner ILLAWONG DREAMTIME in slick time. From the gate he can get a perfect trip and be ready to take his shot when the gaps open.

ILLAWONG DREAMTIME (7) was 2nd up from a break last start when finishing over the top in a small field to claim a tidy win. His return run was a sound effort behind the airborne LILAC FLASH and he has claims here.

SELECTIONS: JESTER OH JESTER (2), ELENIARK (8), KARLOO MAC (1), ILLAWONG DREAMTIME (7)
SUGGESTED BET: JESTER OH JESTER (2) to win

RACE FOUR

NEWPORT DREAMZ (9)
shoots for the hat-trick after successive wins here on the triangle with both when landing gate 1 and leading throughout. Last start he ran home a slick closing 800m without being tested and scoring a comfortable 9m margin. The 2nd line dents his hopes somewhat, but he is a classy performer working back and is up to the task.

TRILIGHT BRIGADE (8) will take great benefit from her latest outing when 1st up in Qld and having her 1st run in 46 days. Settling in the 1x1 over the 1780m trip she closed out strongly from gate 4 to arrive for a neck margin over TOM ME GUN in strong time. With even luck in transit she will be right in the fight.

GOT THE GOODS (3) is a last start winner over this trip after going back from gate 5 and then finishing best after being wide off the track to arrive for a head victory. Gunned down 2 back he can look for the pegs here and will be trying to stave off the challengers.

OUR PEPPERJACK (1) pressed on from gate 1 to find the front over the 2040m trip last start and once in control packed too many guns to score a 2m victory. This is harder than recent outings but has that offset by the gate.

SELECTIONS: NEWPORT DREAMZ (9), TRILIGHT BRIGADE (8), GOT THE GOODS (3), OUR PEPPERJACK (1)
SUGGESTED BET: NEWPORT DREAMZ (9) to win

RACE FIVE

SOMEROSESOMEWHERE (1) was having her 2nd Qld last in a mares qualifier last time out and pressing on to find the front took control and scored an easy 7m victory. Run down in strong time and only a half-head off victory at Tamworth 3 starts back, despite this being slightly tougher she can look to dictate here.

MARETTI (4) resumes from a spell to kick-off his 5YO term and was given a solid trial to open the pipes and prepare for his return. His 4YO season was strong and produced 7 wins and some impressive performances including a 2nd in the Triad Final. He can throw down  big challenge here and start the season with a bang.
 
MACHIN OUT (2) was a nice winner here 3 starts back when finishing over the top to score in good style. Beaten behind some handy ones his past 2, he can look to drop down to the pegs and with a cosy trip run on to fill the minors.

SELECTIONS: SOMEROSESOMEWHERE (1), MARETTI (4), MACHIN OUT (2)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE SIX

NEEDLE (6)
has the tricky gate to overcome but will be fitter following her latest outing when 2nd up from a break and with the class edge can look to cash-in. Runner-up at both starts since resuming from a break, both return runs have been from the mobile. Beaten a half-head by OUR OVERANOVA last start after setting the tempo in front in a new Redcliffe track record, she can bounce back here.

MAYBETOTHEMAX (5) was in the pocket trail behind NEEDLE in that track record run and chased gamely to be under 4m from the winner to claim the bronze. He worked hard in the run last start over the 2613m trip and with tidy figures from the mobile can look to challenge.

HELLBOUND (4) wasn’t suited here last start when buried away in the run after starting from a 50m tape over the 2613m trip. Snagged back at AP 2 starts back from gate 4, he can be an improver.

MISTER OZ (2) has placed his past 2 starts with the latest from the mobile when chasing hard to be 6m from the winner ASTRAL RULER. That followed the silver from a 40m tape and from this alley he can be in the mix.

SELECTIONS: NEEDLE (6), MAYBETOTHEMAX (5), HELLBOUND (4), MISTER OZ (2)
SUGGESTED BET: NEEDLE (6) to win

RACE SEVEN

ELLIOTT BROMAC (4) rolled forward to the breeze before receiving cover here last start in a much stronger race than this. Working home in good order he was within 2.5m of the winner ANOTHER BROADWAY to claim the bronze. His run 3 starts back was a tidy effort when chasing hard after snagging back from gate 6 and in this line-up he can look to end a long winless streak.
 
HOT ROD HEAVEN (5) scored victory in a qualifier at AP 4 starts back when hitting the line strongly from back in the pack. He followed that with a top effort from gate 7 when keen in the run and things not going his way but was still only 4m from the winner. Forget his last start, he can be right in the fight here.

SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (3) looked to get across from gate 3 at Marburg last start but with no lead was forced to face the breeze. He hasn’t been too far off of late without getting conditions to suit and with the speed to have a look for the pegs can look to take control here.

SELECTIONS: ELLIOTT BROMAC (4), HOT ROD HEAVEN (5), SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (3)
SUGGESTED BET: ELLIOTT BROMAC (4) to win