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  4. Form Analysis: Redcliffe Nov 16

Form Analysis: Redcliffe Nov 16

RACE ONE

ONE OFF (5)
has been freshened since he was last seen when a beaten fav at AP back in early Oct. In that race he was starting from gate 6 and did all the heavy lifting over the 2138m trip outside the leader and winner COREY WILLIAM. That followed a tough 2nd to MR KALYPSO. He looks too strong.

IM TOOT (4) worked to the pegs from gate 2 last time out and tried to control it when fading in the closing stages over the 2040m trip behind ONLY ONE PROMISE. Tough from the breeze here 2 starts back, he can look to press forward here and will be in for the fight.

ACT OF VALOR (8) made the most of gate 1 last start and leading them up was never in danger as a red figure fav. Fitter for the run now that he has had 3 runs back from a break, he is in the mix.

HAPPY FEELINGS (7) had been racing well without a great deal of luck behind some smart performers before a strong win from the front off gate 6 here last start. She will need plenty of luck from the alley in this.

SELECTIONS: ONE OFF (5), IM TOOT (4), ACT OF VALOR (8), HAPPY FEELINGS (7)
SUGGESTED BET: ONE OFF (5) to win

RACE TWO

NORTHERN MUSCLE (3) is in great touch with 4 wins and a 2m 2nd at his past 5 starts. Completing a hat-trick of wins last start when pressing on to the front over the mobile 2280m he was too strong. That followed a win off a 20m tape and from that same tape in this he can flex his muscles.

ULTIMATE DAIQURI (7) returned from a break with a 2m 2nd to the handy MIRACLE RISING before winning her next 2 starts. Both those victories were over the AP 2647m trip where she sprinted home strongly to score, This will be tougher on the tighter track but if close enough in the run she can challenge.

REDRIVERDEBBA (2) was scratched at the barrier here on Tues after causing 2 false starts from the mobile. Back to the tapes for this if stepping cleanly she can be thereabouts.

SPIRIT WALKER (5) is in nice touch this prep and last start worked home nicely behind OUR OVERANOVA in a band assessed trot. Only beaten a half-neck 2 starts back she has place hopes.

SELECTIONS: NORTHERN MUSCLE (3), ULTIMATE DAIQURI (7), REDRIVERDEBBA (2), SPIRIT WALKER (5)
SUGGESTED BET: NORTHERN MUSCLE (3) to win

RACE THREE

GINGER MICKY (5) will strip fitter from his 1st up run for the 3YO term when doing plenty of work from the breeze and holding on for the silver. With no trial to prepare he will tighten from the effort and with his 2YO term returning a pair of smart AP wins, he can look to kick-off his season in this.

FORTES IN FIDES (4) has been in the money at 6 of his past 8 starts and from this gate can look to get the early jump on the fav. Sent to the breeze last start from the 2nd line he faded late when holding on for the bronze and his run 3 back was strong behind ROYAL LINCOLN. He is right in the fight.

MAJOR SEASCAPE (1) had the lone start in his 2YO season when he was never in the mix behind the smart BETAMERICA. He has trialled in good order for the return and from the gate has place claims.

MY MAGIC MERLIN (8) did his share of work in the run last start when cutting the breeze outside ACT OF VALOR and fighting for a 2m 2nd. The gate doesn’t help but he is never far from the action.

SELECTIONS: GINGER MICKY (5), FORTES IN FIDES (4), MAJOR SEASCAPE (1), MY MAGIC MERLIN (8)
SUGGESTED BET: GINGER MICKY (5) to win

RACE FOUR

EXCEPTIONAL MACH (3)
was a tough winner from gate 7 at AP over the 2138m trip 3 starts back when sent forward and taking control. Last start he was working home well from the 2nd line to grab the silver behind IMA MORVEN LAD. From this gate he can take control and looks hard to stop.

RORY MACH (2) has been freshened since his last win when sticking to the pegs and following the short-cuts to score a nice win. Luckless the start prior when probing for a gap, he can look to hustle early to get across to the pegs and then release for the cosy trip in readiness for the sniper shot.

STIRLING WILLIAM (5) will strip fitter from his latest run when returning after a 7 week gap between runs. Only beaten a nose 2 starts back he did some work when returning and he might need to roll the sleeves again here.

COMPLY OR DIE (4) was sent forward to the breeze after starting from the 2nd line last start and the effort told when he faded late. That followed successive wins here and back to the front line helps.

SELECTIONS: EXCEPTIONAL MACH (3), RORY MACH (2), STIRLING WILLIAM (5), COMPLY OR DIE (4)
SUGGESTED BET: EXCEPTIONAL MACH (3) to win

RACE FIVE

THE HARLEM HAMMER (1) will take further benefit from her latest start when 2nd up from a break. Starting from the two-hole she was able to slide into the pocket trail after an early shot. Just needing the passing lane sooner she lost some momentum and with the lead on offer she gets her chance here.

EARL JUJON (7) used the passing lane here 2 starts back after being buried in the run and chased hard to grab the silver. He found the line nicely from a long way back last start and with a cosy trip in behind the speed here will be coiled and ready to take his shot when the gaps open.

BIG BEAT (5) had no luck last start when forced to snag all the way back to find position from gate 4. Beaten a head and a half-neck at his previous 2 starts with even luck he can chime in here.

TOP FLIGHT CRUIZE (9) was locked away 3 back along the pegs last start in a qualifier and found the line nicely when 4m from the winner RICH VIRGIN. He might get into the contest early and can feature.

SELECTIONS: THE HARLEM HAMMER (1), EARL JUJON (7), BIG BEAT (5), TOP FLIGHT CRUIZE (9)
SUGGESTED BET: THE HARLEM HAMMER (1) to win

RACE SIX

IMTHE GOLDEN CHILD (1)
will strip fitter from his 1st up run here when he was put out of play early on and went close to falling. Winless now for 12 months, his run 3 starts back was a nice effort when finishing mid-field at Menangle behind the rising JOES STAR OF MIA. With good early speed he can look to dictate.

MAJOR SCORE (7) worked hard in the run last start at Marburg and cutting the breeze over the 2200m after being sent forward from the 2nd line. In for the fight he was 2m from the winner to claim the silver. Off gate 6 his previous 2, he will be glued to the 1 here and ready to take the last shot.

ZARAS DELIGHT (6) did all the work in the run last start and fought hard to be 7m from the winner SWEET AS. Unable to find position 2 starts back she was too far back and can ask the questions here.

BET IM SPECIAL (4) found the 1x1 from this same gate last start and closed out in good style to grab the silver behind MANDY KRIDEN. Gunned down after leading them up 2 starts back he won’t be far away.

SELECTIONS: IMTHE GOLDEN CHILD (1), MAJOR SCORE (7), ZARAS DELIGHT (6), BET IM SPECIAL (4)
SUGGESTED BET: IMTHE GOLDEN CHILD (1) to win

RACE SIX

IMTHE GOLDEN CHILD (1)
will strip fitter from his 1st up run here when he was put out of play early on and went close to falling. Winless now for 12 months, his run 3 starts back was a nice effort when finishing mid-field at Menangle behind the rising JOES STAR OF MIA. With good early speed he can look to dictate.

MAJOR SCORE (7) worked hard in the run last start at Marburg and cutting the breeze over the 2200m after being sent forward from the 2nd line. In for the fight he was 2m from the winner to claim the silver. Off gate 6 his previous 2, he will be glued to the 1 here and ready to take the last shot.

ZARAS DELIGHT (6) did all the work in the run last start and fought hard to be 7m from the winner SWEET AS. Unable to find position 2 starts back she was too far back and can ask the questions here.

BET IM SPECIAL (4) found the 1x1 from this same gate last start and closed out in good style to grab the silver behind MANDY KRIDEN. Gunned down after leading them up 2 starts back he won’t be far away.

SELECTIONS: IMTHE GOLDEN CHILD (1), MAJOR SCORE (7), ZARAS DELIGHT (6), BET IM SPECIAL (4)
SUGGESTED BET: IMTHE GOLDEN CHILD (1) to win