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  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park Oct 5

Form Analysis: Albion Park Oct 5

RACE ONE

NORTHERN MUSCLE (7)
was banished to the trials when he refused to go from a 60m impost. After 2 handy trials he returned at Marburg on Mon and from a 20m tape was sent forward to the breeze and trotting cleanly all the way packed too many guns. With the added fitness he can take this.

SHADY SADIE (10) finished 3rd in successive starts to kick-off in Aus when beaten 2m behind OLE SUN when giving him 10m start and then 5m from PATSDELIGHT when not getting the cleanest passage. Forget her last start when making an error, she can bounce back with a vengeance here.

OLE SUN (11) is in nice touch and last start was working home strongly from the 40m tape. That followed a 3m 3rd to MIRACLE RISING and with the right cart into this will be finishing hard.

GHENT (9) hit the line strongly from back in the pack when 3rd to the in-form ULTIMATE DAIQUIRI 2 starts back and followed that with a 2m 3rd over the 2138m. He has podium claims.

SELECTIONS: NORTHERN MUSCLE (7), SHADY SADIE (10), OLE SUN (11), GHENT (9)
SUGGESTED BET: NORTHERN MUSCLE (7) to win

RACE TWO

MAMMALS MAGIC (2) has good speed off the arm and can look to press on with it. A nice winner 5 starts back after being buried in the run she was runner-up at her next 3 in succession before working hard in the run last start. This looks easier than recent assignments and she can capitalise.

HUGHIES SISTER (4) makes her Qld debut for John Cremin who has had success with her brother, the FFA grade HUGHIE GREEN. She arrives a last start Penrith winner when pressing on and scoring a strong win in front over the 2125m trip. She will take improvement from this and is worth following.

MOTU REAL STYLE (1) found her race here 3 starts back when spearing to the front over the mile to go all the way in a mares qualifier. Not beaten far in 2 starts since, the distance is the only query.

FEEEL THE REIGN (3) was snagged back from a wide gate last start before hitting the line strongly to get within 6m of the winner JUST SEDUCE ME. That followed successive Redcliffe wins and he is in the mix.

SELECTIONS: MAMMALS MAGIC (2), HUGHIES SISTER (4), MOTU REAL STYLE (1), FEEEL THE REIGN (3)
SUGGESTED BET: MAMMALS MAGIC (2) to win

RACE THREE

ULTIMATE AD (3)
will take further benefit from his latest outing when 2nd up from a break and sent to the post in red figures. Finding the front from gate 4, he led them deep into the stretch but just faded late. He can settle handy the speed here and look to finish best in an open contest.

MY MAGIC MERLIN (6) did his share of work in a Gold Pot heat last week in a slick rate when down the line behind OPONONIS BLISS. That followed successive placings including a tough run when only beaten a neck behind ITSMEGS. This looks a shade easier and he can issue the challenge.

HIGH ON MONTANA (12) started from outside the 2nd line at Marburg on Mon and after being sent to the breeze fought gamely to go under a neck. A nice 4th 3 starts back, he can work home hard.

BETTERTHAN TORQUE (1) scored a tough win to round out her 3YO term in winning style at Redcliffe 2 starts back. Freshened following 1 more start at 3, she lands the right trip here and can place.

SELECTIONS: ULTIMATE AD (3), MY MAGIC MERLIN (6), HIGH ON MONTANA (12), BETTERTHAN TORQUE (1)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE FOUR

SOME EXCUSESOMEWHERE (10)
was seen chasing for the first time after doing work out in front at his 3 previous Aus starts. Banished to the outside after a starting error, the way he closed out was a stylish effort, sprinting clear to a 19m victory in strong sectionals. He can power home again here.

BIG BRUCE (2) took on a conditioned race here 2 starts back and after having a dip for the front was doing all the work in the run when proving too strong. He then finished 1.5m from THE IDES OF MARCH in a qualifier and with the speed to take control will be fighting hard.

GOD SAKE (1) will take further benefit from his latest start when 2nd up from a 12 month break and finishing strongly to score over the mile. With the options from the gate he will be right in the fight.

MANDY KRIDEN (6) has been runner-up in successive mare only events when beaten a half-neck and 2m. They followed a hat-trick of victories and with the speed on look for the grey mare swooping hard.

SELECTIONS: SOME EXCUSESOMEWHERE (10), BIG BRUCE (2), GOD SAKE (1), MANDY KRIDEN (6)
SUGGESTED BET: SOME EXCUSESOMEWHERE (10) to win

RACE FIVE

CC JONES (8) is 1st up in Qld for Stephen Cini and is a lightly raced 4YO with a handy record. Striking trouble at his latest start in Bathurst, he has since trialled twice in good order since arriving in Qld. He will be sweating on the 1 holding up but with that scenario eventuating he can take his shot.

ITSMEGS (2) was a winner 2 starts back over the 2138m trip when set alight early from gate 6 to find the pegs and taking them all the way. Taken back from gate 5 last start she finished mid-field behind the smart MAYWYNS COURAGE. Settling handy here she will be in the mix.

RITCHIE BEE (1) has been in the money at 3 of his past 4 starts with the latest a tough effort in the breeze when fighting hard for the silver behind STEVIE DEE. He can punch through to light the lamps and will be gripping on.

YKIKAFIL (11) returned from a break in fine style in a much easier contest at Redcliffe but was impressive in winning. His last start was nice effort for 3rd to ONE MANS PASS and he has claims here.

SELECTIONS: CC JONES (8), ITSMEGS (2), RITCHIE BEE (1), YKIKAFIL (11)
SUGGESTED BET: CC JONES (8) to win

RACE SIX

OUR MELS DREAM (6)
is back in the groove with a top 3 at his past 5 in succession including 2 wins. Last start over the 2138m trip he was sent forward from gate 7 and worked his way to the front and was only gunned down late. He can roll forward again here and be looking to fight them off.

IMA MORVEN LAD (2) had conditions to suit last start when releasing the front from gate 1 and with the nice trip and solid pressure in front was able to take his shot when the gap opened and sprint nicely to score over the mile. He can look for a similar trip here and will be probing for the opening.

EXCEPTIONAL MACH (7) did a power of work last start when set alight early from gate 5 and fighting hard in an electrifying 26.2 opening panel from the breeze was still under 5m from the winner. He can give a big sight again here.

RORY MACH (8) will need his share of luck from the gate but is effective when saved for a closing sprint. He hit the line strongly 3 starts back to grab 3rd and will be looking for the gaps again here.

SELECTIONS: OUR MELS DREAM (6), IMA MORVEN LAD (2), EXCEPTIONAL MACH (7), RORY MACH (8)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 2-6-7-8

RACE SEVEN

NEWPORT DREAMZ (6) will take great benefit from his victory in a heat of this series last week when 1st up in 15 months. Pushing off the fence to avoid a pocket, he closed out strongly to arrive on the line for victory. A talented juvenile, with a solid tempo he can look to finish over the top again in this nice race.

CARDLESFROMHEAVEN (2) will take further experience from his heat when forced to work hard in the run he was able to fight on to hold the silver behind OPONONIS BLISS. That was just his 2nd career start and he still looked a touch green but from the gate he will be right in the fight again.

TOO GOOD FOR YOU (1) rolled forward from gate 6 to face the breeze and went down fighting when 9m from the winner. That was perhaps the softer of the 3 heats, but with the improved gate and good early speed he can throw down a challenge.

MORROCH BAY (10) was lining up for just his 3rd career start and 1st up from a spell in the heat when he looked to take them all the way from gate4. His condition just faded in the closing stages when 2m from NEWPORT DREAMZ. With the added fitness and even luck in transit he can feature.

SELECTIONS: NEWPORT DREAMZ (6), CARDLESFROMHEAVEN (2), TOO GOOD FOR YOU (1), MORROCH BAY (10)
SUGGESTED BET: NEWPORT DREAMZ (6) to win