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  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park Oct 9

Form Analysis: Albion Park Oct 9

RACE ONE

HELLBOUND (4)
was a winner here 6 starts back under mobile conditions when finishing over the top after settling in the 1x2 position in the run. 2nd to OUR OVERANOVA at the mobile 238m 2 starts back, he did way too much work from the 30m tape last start. He can bounce back in this.

NEEDLE (7) returns from a spell and will come into this without a public trial to open the pipes. Last seen back in the Winter Carnival in the Qld Trotters Cup in a brave run when beaten 10m, she has the class to take this out, whether she is forward enough at this point of her campaign is a query.

MISTER OZ (1) started from the 50m tape last time out and did a fair job under the circumstances. That followed a tidy effort behind OUR OVERANOVA and from the gate he can give this a shake.

MISTER GUNSEN (6) can be hit or miss and probably been more miss his past few. However, his run here 4 starts back was a solid effort when rolling forward and grabbed late by OLE SUN. Can bob up.

SELECTIONS: HELLBOUND (4), NEEDLE (7), MISTER OZ (1), MISTER GUNSEN (6)
SUGGESTED BET:

 

RACE TWO

ONE OFF (6) was looking to remain undefeated in Aus when he ran into another very smart performer in MR KALYPSO last start. Working hard in the breeze he dug in for the fight and was best of the chasing pack. Losing no admirers from that performance he can return to winning form in this.

TUESDAYS FELLA (7) was able to find the pegs before releasing the speed in the same race taken out by MR KALYPSO last week and chased hard in the closing stages to hold 4th over the 2138m trip. That followed successive wins both at the mile and he can be around the money again here.

COREY WILLIAM (4)
ended up buried away on the pegs last start and then struck trouble in the run ending his chances. A winner over the mile 5 starts back he can look to get forward and be sharper here.

PAY ME INTEREST (5) is racing in nice touch and been in the money in 5 of her past 6 starts, including a pair of wins. She has no favours from this gate but with even luck has exotic hopes.

SELECTIONS: ONE OFF (6), TUESDAYS FELLA (7), COREY WILLIAM (4), PAY ME INTEREST (5)
SUGGESTED BET: ONE OFF (6) to win

RACE THREE

REDRIVERDEBBA (9) found her race 3 starts back and after rolling forward from the 20m sat handy to the speed and was then able to finish over the top. Only 1m from ULTIMATE DAIQURI 2 starts back she was working home in good order last start when 3rd to SHADY SADIE. She can capitalise.

SPIRIT WALKER (11) is getting closer to a win following 4 runs back from a break. Last start over the 2647m trip she was able to get to the front and then led them deep into the stretch when grabbed in the closing stages. Charging home 2 starts back she can throw down a late challenge.

MY DAD ANGUS (4) has been runner-up at his past 2 starts, the latest when leading them until late in the contest when grabbed by REDRIVERDEBBA. From the front he can give a sight for a long way.

EL SWAVO (7) did his share of work in the run last start when facing the breeze and not finishing too far from the winner SHADY SADIE. Its been a while since he saw a win but he can podium in this.

SELECTIONS: REDRIVERDEBBA (9), SPIRIT WALKER (11), MY DAD ANGUS (4), EL SWAVO (7)
SUGGESTED BET: REDRIVERDEBBA (9) to win

RACE FOUR

RUFFALO (1) started fav here last start and from gate 4 was dropped down to the 3 pegs where he gained the soft run in transit. Flashing home late he was within 2m of the winner, running some tidy closing panels. Runner-up from gate 7 here 3 back, he has the options and gets his chance.

GREGS LEGACY (8) will need some luck in transit and be sweating on the 1 looking for an all the way win. He struck trouble last start and his run 2 back was an eye-catcher when hitting the line strongly when 4m from JUST SEDUCE ME. If he can spot an opening he will be might hard to hold out.

FARRAHFOWLER (4) fought on gamely to hold 4th here 2 starts back over the mile and franked he effort of that run with a last start 2138m win. Charging home strongly in that, she won’t be far away here.

WEE JIMMY (5) settled in the running line last start and chased home in good style when 4th to BIG IN AMERICA. His effort behind MAYWYNS COURAGE 3 starts back had merit and he has exotic claims.

SELECTIONS: RUFFALO (1), GREGS LEGACY (8), FARRAHFOWLER (4), WEE JIMMY (5)
SUGGESTED BET: RUFFALO / GREGS LEGACY (1/8) quinella

RACE FIVE

FOR TONY (1) shoots for the hat-trick after wins at Marburg and then here over the mile. Settling in the pocket trail from an inside 2nd line draw, he packed too many guns in the closing stages for a comfortable victory. With good early speed he will have the options over the 2138m and looks hard to stop.

ARK TEAMO (2) has been winless since January but has been in the money at 5 of her past 7 starts. Fitter from her latest start at Marburg where she struggled on the tight track and also struck trouble, the effort for 3rd behind FOR TONY was credible. Back to the bigger track she can be in the mix.

BETTOR WATCH HIM (8) was a Redcliffe winner 5 starts back when pressing to the front and taking control. Battling bad barriers since, his latest effort when 4m from MUCH BETTOR was solid and he has podium claims.

JUST ROKIN (3) has gone winless since May of 2017 but that fact has not been helped by some tough draws in recent starts. 2nd to LUCKY UNLUCKY 5 starts back an improved gate can see a sharper run.

SELECTIONS: FOR TONY (1), ARK TEAMO (2), BETTOR WATCH HIM (8), JUST ROKIN (3)
SUGGESTED BET: FOR TONY (1) to win

RACE SIX

IMA TOP TYCOON (6) doesn’t get many favours from this gate however he is in good touch. Last start from gate 5 he slid back looking for position and was strong to the line when 3rd to the talented FRANCO TOTEM. His run 2 starts back had merit and with the right cart into this can grab the win.

ARTFUL MAID (2) worked hard in the run in a mares qualifier 2 starts back and found the closing tempo to hot. 2nd to MAYWYNS COURAGE last start there was merit in the run when locking wheels near the line and from the gate she can look to take an early shot.

SKYFELLA CAM (8) will take added benefit from his latest start when 2nd up from a break and finishing 10m from the winner THATS HOW WEROLL. With a cosy trip he can feature.

LOVELY MOTH (1) made an error 3 starts back which saw her banished to the outside draw. She returns to the main draw and fitter after 3 runs back from a spell she can fill a minor.

SELECTIONS: IMA TOP TYCOON (6), ARTFUL MAID (2), SKYFELLA CAM (8), LOVELY MOTH (1)
SUGGESTED BET: IMA TOP TYCOON (6) to win

RACE SEVEN

MAYWYNS COURAGE (8) shoots for the hat-trick after successive wins over the mile where he has been able to lead throughout in each. Last start he had a 2nd panel breather before ramping the tempo and holding too much in reserve. He will need to take the closing shot here but looks the one to beat.

PACIFIC DRUMS (1) started a short priced fav last start at Marburg but a line can be put through the run when going off-stride and taking no part in the contest. That followed 3 successive placed runs and with the speed to lead them up will be gripping on in the closing stages.

KEY LARGO (10) did his share of work last start and was in the breeze when fighting gamely to go under by 3.5m behind THATS HOW WEROLL. That followed a tidy 2nd to MY ULTIMATE FELLA and he will be right in the fight here.

PATERNITY SUIT (7) found an ideal assignment last start and after finding the pegs was never in danger to score an comfortable 14m victory. The gate is not ideal but with limited inside pressure can roll forward to get in the contest.

SELECTIONS: MAYWYNS COURAGE (8), PACIFIC DRUMS (1), KEY LARGO (10), PATERNITY SUIT (7)
SUGGESTED BET: MAYWYNS COURAGE (8) to win

RACE EIGHT

LENNY THE LEGEND (7) should find this a shade below what he has been meeting in recent starts and despite the wide gate can look to finish over the top. A winner from this gate 2 starts back after restraining and then packing too much closing heat, his latest effort was strong when beaten a head.

PRECIOUS CULLEN (1) rolled forward from gate 6 over the 1780m trip at Redcliffe last start and pressing on to the front took control and held on for an impressive win. With good early speed he will have the options from this gate and can look for his 1st top 3 finish at the track in 10 attempts.

KETUT (10) was hitting the line strongly last start and was only 6m from the winner BET IM SPECIAL. That has proven to be a strong form reference and with his Redcliffe win 3 starts back a nice effort, he can throw down a challenge here.

THE CHARGING MOA (4) will take further benefit from her latest outing when 2nd up from a break and stable change. Buried on the pegs, she may have finished closer with a clearer passage. She can chime in here.

SELECTIONS: LENNY THE LEGEND (7), PRECIOUS CULLEN (1), KETUT (10), THE CHARGING MOA (4)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-4-7-10