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  4. Form Analysis: Redcliffe Oct 25

Form Analysis: Redcliffe Oct 25

RACE ONE

VELUTI (5)
stepped out for Qld for the 1st time at Marburg where he worked in the run and scraped through to a final at Redcliffe where he struggled. Last start at Armidale he worked home in good style from the 2nd line. He can do things wrong at the start but this is within reach.

COWGIRLCHICK (1) returns after missing all of her 4YO season and was last seen in May of 2017. Given 2 trials to blow out the cobwebs, the latest was handy enough to give her a chance in this type of race. Her only win came in a 2YO race in July 2016 and she will take benefit from the run.

IM SANDY BAY (10) found the front from gate 5 here 3 starts back and led them up when holding on for the bronze. Forget her next start that saw her banished to the outside, she has place hopes.

SURREAL DEAL (7) will need a slice of luck from this alley, but should appreciate the cosy trip. He found the line in good order 2 starts back from an inside gate and has rough hopes.

SELECTIONS: VELUTI (5), COWGIRLCHICK (1), IM SANDY BAY (10), SURREAL DEAL (7)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE TWO

FLASHING GOOD TIME (7) found the leaders back at Marburg last start and tracked home to claim the bronze when 4m from the winner OSCARS GLORY. That followed a nice effort when 4m from the winner over the 2040m here and with an ounce of luck to find clear space can claim this.

ARCHIECANO (2) has been winless since March and at his past few has been beaten a long way. Giving him a chance in this line-up if able to be chased off the arm to find the pegs he can give plenty of cheek from the front. His numbers aren’t great but he can be sharper in this.

GOTOTHEMOON (9) didn’t have much luck last start when stuck looking for position and ended up being snagged back to the rear. With the right cart into this he can feature.

CAPTAIN CHARGE OVER (10) rolled forward from a wide gate at Armidale last start and did his share of work in the breeze when fighting on to hold the bronze. From the gate he has place hopes.

SELECTIONS: FLASHING GOOD TIME (7), ARCHIECANO (2), GOTOTHEMOON (9), CAPTAIN CHARGE OVER (10)
SUGGESTED BET: ARCHIECANO (2) each-way

RACE THREE

MY MAGIC MERLIN (5) has placed in 5 of 6 appearances this season and despite a wide gate can look to open his 4YO term winning account. Tracking home strongly last start to be 2m from the winner TASSINI, he has started from wide gates at each of his past 3 and will give a great sight in this.

PHOTOZEN (4) was on the one day back-up last start when finding running line cover and hanging on for the silver when 4m from the winner ARK TEAMO. That was his 3rd run back from a break and he should be further tightened from the 2 runs in 2 days and he can chime into the money here.

IFYOUBELIEVE (8) was sent forward from the 2nd line last start at Marburg and laying down the heat proved too strong in scoring a 5m victory. The 2nd line hurts here but he can still feature.

CONTRARY COURAGE (1) was buried in the run from inside the 2nd line last start and with the tempo favouring those up front she was facing a task. Back to gate 1 she can hustle early and is in the mix.

SELECTIONS: MY MAGIC MERLIN (5), PHOTOZEN (4), IFYOUBELIEVE (8), CONTRARY COURAGE (1)
SUGGESTED BET: MY MAGIC MERLIN (5) to win

RACE FOUR

THE BOYS GNP (5)
has been runner-up at both Qld appearances and despite a wide alley can look to get his Sunshine State tally underway. He really hit the line strongly at his 1st outing from a long way back. He chased hard with the leader controlling the tempo last start. He looks to get his chance.

BONNIE JUJON (6) has no favours from the wide gate but she is the class runner of the field. She was always facing a task last start when buried in the run and the leader and winner COREY WILLIAM running home a slick 800m panel. With even luck she can issue a challenge.

ONE TO TANGO (7) was buried away on last start and was hitting the line strongly to grab the silver and only 4m from the winner. Effective when saved for a closing shot she will be rallying late.

WRITEABOUTCHELSEA (10) had been doing a good job without getting the winning reward until her last start when scoring a good Marburg victory from the 2nd line. The gate hurts but she can be thereabouts.

SELECTIONS: THE BOYS GNP (5), BONNIE JUJON (6), ONE TO TANGO (7), WRITEABOUTCHELSEA (10)
SUGGESTED BET: THE BOYS GNP (5) to win

RACE FIVE

MAMMALS MAGIC (9) has no favours from the 2nd line but she finds a very winnable contest here after going under as a red figure fav at each of her past 2. Her run 2 starts back was a strong effort from the breeze when 4m from the in-form GOODTIME STRIDE and with even luck she can take this.
 
UNDERTHEKILT (3) found the line in good order from the 2nd line at Armidale last start to be 10m from the winner. Only 5m from the winner THE FORMULA ONE 2 starts back, he has enough early speed to find a handy position here and can be in the mix.

LETHAL PROMISE (6) put in another solid effort last start to take his tally to 16 consecutive top-3 finishes. He was working in the run last start and from the wide gate will need to work again here.
 

CHEYENNE WARRIOR (7) will get a cosy run in transit here and be probing for an opening. Snagged back from a wide gate last start he will be better suited in the early stages here and has place hopes.

SELECTIONS: MAMMALS MAGIC (9), UNDERTHEKILT (3), LETHAL PROMISE (6), CHEYENNE WARRIOR (7)
SUGGESTED BET: MAMMALS MAGIC (9) to win

RACE SIX

SNAKES N LADDERS (7)
chased hard last start at Armidale but chased in vain with the leader pinching the race. His run here 2 starts back from the 2nd line was a strong effort from the breeze when only beaten a neck. He will need luck but with the right run can charge home to score.


WILLSINTOWN (4) is a slick beginner and from this gate will be needing to stoke up to get across the inside speed. A winner here 2 starts back from the running line when finishing over the top his latest effort was behind the in-form JUST ROKIN when holding 3rd. This appeals and he will be in the mix.

INVITE ONLY (3) worked hard off the 2nd line at Marburg in muddy conditions last start and the effort told. Her run 3 back for 2nd behind MAHALO is a good gauge for this class and she can feature.

EMARGEE (1) did plenty of work in the run last start when holding on for the silver after facing the breeze at Armidale. Only beaten a head 3 starts back, she has good early speed and has podium claims.

SELECTIONS: SNAKES N LADDERS (7), WILLSINTOWN (4), INVITE ONLY (3), EMARGEE (1)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-3-4-7

RACE SEVEN

FARRAHFOWLER (3) was an AP winner 3 starts back when finishing best from a 2nd line gate over the 2138m trip. Looking to take them all the way over the mile at her next start she wasn’t beaten far. With good early speed she can take an early shot here and finding the pegs can give some cheek.

TAP IT IN (2) made the most of his chances to press forward when the lead was on offer over the mile 3 starts back and from the front held on for the win. Last start from the 2nd line he struggled to make in-roads on the leader JUST ROKIN. He might need to work here but will be fighting.

FEEL THE REIGN (6) has been runner-up at his past 3 in succession, the latest after releasing the front and diving up the passing lane to get within a nose of the winner. He is in the mix.

OUR PEPPERJACK (8) worked hard from the breeze last start and the effort told when fading late. He will get the right cart through in the early stages here and can chime into the exotics.

SELECTIONS: FARRAHFOWLER (3), TAP IT IN (2), FEEL THE REIGN (6), OUR PEPPERJACK (8)
SUGGESTED BET: FARRAHFOWLER (3) each-way

RACE EIGHT

IFOUNDTHEBEACH (4)
found the breeze from inside the 2nd line at Armidale last start and went down swinging when within 1.5m of the winner. A tough winner at Tamworth 4 starts back, he is in great touch and with some early pressure can look to go close again in this.

ARBIT MAJOR (7) has been runner-up his past 2 starts with the latest a tough effort from the breeze when laying down a challenge to JUST ROKIN and only going under 4m. From this gate he follows a good beginner and if he can get the lane with momentum will be taking a big shot.

OSCARS GLORY (1) ended a long run of outs at Marburg last start when holding the front from gate 3 and after setting a moderate tempo held on to score. If able to avoid too much heat he will be fighting hard.

FEEL THE CHARM (3) made the most of gate 1 last start and lighting the lamps was never in danger in scoring an easy 2m victory. From the gate she will be right in the fight here.

SELECTIONS: IFOUNDTHEBEACH (4), ARBIT MAJOR (7), OSCARS GLORY (1), FEEL THE CHARM (3)
SUGGESTED BET: IFOUNDTHEBEACH (4) to win

RACE NINE

FRANKS FORTUNE (10)
shoots for a hat-trick after successive wins at the 2040m and then the 2280m trip. Pressing on from gate 5 last start he was able to wrestle the lead away and then dug in for the fight to score by a half-head. The gate dents his hope, but he is on great touch and can go again.

EARL JUJON (8) did his share of work from the breeze last start and fought gamely behind DARBY BRIGHTS. That followed a tough effort behind THE CHARGING MOA and despite the 2nd line gate he will be in the thick of the action here.

SAMMYSLUCK (3) worked to the front from gate 3 over the AP mile last start and faded late after setting a solid tempo. His run 2 starts back was a tidy effort and if 1st to the pegs he will take some catching.

STEVIE DEE (7) took on a mares qualifier last start and chased home hard to grab the bronze when only 4.5m from the winner. That followed a tidy effort when wide off the track and with a cosy trip will be probing for gaps.

SELECTIONS: FRANKS FORTUNE (10), EARL JUJON (8), SAMMYSLUCK (3), STEVIE DEE (7)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 3-7-8-10