1. Home
  2. News & Guides
  3. October 2018
  4. Form Analysis: Redcliffe Oct 31

Form Analysis: Redcliffe Oct 31

RACE ONE
 

MOTU REAL STYLE (9) scored victory in a mares qualifier and then backed that up with 3 successive placed runs when beaten no further than 5m in each. Last start as the fav she rolled forward from gate 4 and was forced to work but was too strong in the breeze. Despite the gate she can take this.

REAL KNUCKY (1) will shoot for the hat-trick after wins at the 2040m and 1780m trips. Finding the 1x1 from gate 4 last start he then finished over the top in good style to take the win. With the options from the gate he gets his chance to make the threepeat.

LYNNSANITY (3) started fav on Sat night in a 2nd division qualifier and from gate 1 looked to take them all the way when grabbed late by PADRISIMO. He might need to work here and can place.

GLENFERRIE DUSTER (2) wasn’t suited in the breeze at Armidale 2 starts back and bounced back with a handy 3rd here from the 2nd line. He can take a shot for the pegs and can feature.

SELECTIONS: MOTU REAL STYLE (9), REAL KNICKY (1), LYNNSANITY (3), GLENFERRIE DUSTER (2)
SUGGESTED BET: MOTU REAL STYLE (9) to win

RACE TWO

FRENCH GLOBE (2) has been struggling to show his best but was able to turn it around last start with a tidy win. Finding running line cover from gate 4 he finished strongly to score a 1.5m victory. With the gate to look for the pegs he can look to keep the momentum rolling.

SPLASH OF GOLD (1) was 2nd up from a break last start and pressing on to the front was able to take control. Setting an even tempo over the 1780m trip she held on to score. Not far away when resuming, she will get the options from the gate and be right there.

SPRINGFIELD SPIRIT (4) had little luck last start when returning from a break and taken back from gate 6 and chasing all the way. Placed in his 3 previous runs, he can chime in here to podium.

ROCKNROLL AMBER (7) will get the perfect trip from the gate and be ready to strike when the gaps appear. Placed in 4 of her past 5 starts, she worked hard in the run last start and can feature.

SELECTIONS: FRENCH GLOBE (2), SPLASH OF GOLD (1), SPRINGFIELD SPIRIT (4), ROCKNROLL AMBER (7)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-2-4-7

RACE THREE

MIRACLESDOAPPEN (7) found her race 3 starts back and used her early speed to take control and leas throughout. She worked hard in the run at her next outing when keen in the run and last start was gunned down late by BLAZING VC. With favours going her way she can take this.

BEEF CITY BLAZE (8) is after a hat-trick of victories after successive wins at the 1780m trip. Finding the pegs from gate 3 before releasing he then took his shot up the passing lane to score. Charging late once a gap arrived 2 starts back he will be charging home in the closing stages here.

UNDERTHEKILT (1) has good early speed and from the gate can take the early shot and look to take control. Burning early last week before retreating to find position, he will be in a perfect spot here.

FARRAHFOWLER (10) was 1st to the pegs before releasing last start and soon found herself buried 3 back on the pegs. Hitting the line in good fashion from this gate 2 starts back she is in the mix.

SELECTIONS: MIRACLESDOAPPEN (7), BEEF CITY BLAZE (8), UNDERTHEKILT (1), FARRAHFOWLER (10)
SUGGESTED BET: MIRACLESDOAPPEN (7) to win

RACE FOUR

VANDE VELDE (10)
resumes from a freshen and has returned to the Jason Mackrill barn. His last start had merit when settling a long way back from gate 11 at AP and looking to work home in the latter stages. Luckless his previous 2 starts and with an excellent Redcliffe record he looks to have an edge here.

SMILING ARMADA (7) will need some luck to go his way but with a cosy trip can be ready to take a closing shot. Looking to take them all the way last start he beat all bar the fast-finishing MACHIN OUT. That was his bets run for some time and he can be finishing hard from this gate.

TRENTLEIGH (1) has been well beaten in recent starts but he is a horse that can gain a few lengths when able to lead. With the speed to hold them up early he can be much sharper in this.

VILLAGE CRUISER (3) was 2nd up from a break last start and taking the trail from gate 1 used the passing lane when holding on for the bronze behind BLAZING VC. Fitter he can feature again.

SELECTIONS: VANDE VELDE (10), SMILING ARMADA (7), TRENTLEIGH (1), VILLAGE CRUISER (3)
SUGGESTED BET: VANDE VELDE (10) to win

RACE FIVE

OUR PEPPERJACK (6) landed the pocket trail at AP 4 starts back and from there held on to claim the silver behind LYNNSANITY. His run last start was a solid effort from the 2nd line when rolling forward to the breeze from the 2nd line and with this looking easier than recent assignments can salute.

COLOMBIAN GOLD (4) will strip fitter from her last start when 1st up in Qld and off a freshen. Working away from the inside at hitting the line in good style wide off the track at Marburg she went within a neck of the winner. She can threaten here.

MODERN THOUGHT (9) was attacking the line in the closing stages here 2 starts back and went within a nose of the winner. Fading after working hard in the breeze last start, she has podium claims.

MANWITHTHEESKI (2) was sent forward last start at Marburg and pressed on to the front and fought gamely to finish 8m from the winner. He can take the 1st shot here and is in the mix.

SELECTIONS: OUR PEPPERJACK (6), COLOMBIAN GOLD (4), MODERN THOUGHT (9), MANWITHTHEESKI (2)
SUGGESTED BET: OUR PEPPERJACK (6) to win

RACE SIX

BUKTHSYSTEM (1)
led them up here 3 starts back from gate 2 and was grabbed in the stretch by TAKITIMU EXPRESS when holding on for the silver. Off the 2nd line at each of his next 2 starts, he found the line in good order last time and back to this gate can look to capitalise.

MISTERRIODEJANEIRO (9) looked to take them all the way at Marburg 2 starts back and led them deep into the stretch when grabbed late by RED LUCK. He did his share of work last start and with this looking a nice class drop from what he has been meeting can give it a shake.

GOTOTHEMOON (8) was able to put it together last start to end a run of frustrations in scoring victory. Working wide in the run he forged clear to post a 15m winning margin. With the confidence of that he can look to repeat.

BERTILS DELIGHT (7) was resuming from a spell and a stable switch here 3 starts back when able to take them all the way. Beaten by the gates her past 2, she will enjoy a cosy trip here and be ready to strike. 

SELECTIONS: BUKTHSYSTEM (1), MISTERRIODEJANEIRO (9), GOTOTHEMOON (8), BERTILS DELIGHT (7)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE SEVEN

JAKES ARK (2) found the front from gate 3 last start and was looking to take them all the way when grabbed in the closing stages by the swooping BEEF CITY BLAZE. He hit the line in good style 2 starts back off a 2nd line gate and from the gate he looks to get every chance.

TAFFY BOY (1) has placed in 3 of his past 4 starts and with the cosy trip can look to be in the money again here. Settling in the running line from gate 5 here 2 starts back, he closed out nicely when 3rd to ARK TEAMO. The soft trip gives him a shot.

VELUTI (10) worked home from a 2nd line gate at Armidale 2 starts back in good order to grab the silver and backed that up with a win here last start. He will find this a touch harder but can still feature.

MEANT TO BE ME (6) will take some benefit from her last start when resuming from a break off a 2nd line gate at Marburg. Working home wide out it was a sound effort and she ca be sharper in this.

SELECTIONS: JAKES ARK (2), TAFFY BOY (1), VELUTI (10), MEANT TO BE ME (6)
SUGGESTED BET: JAKES ARK (2) to win

RACE EIGHT

CLASSYTOFF (4)
is still searching for her 1st Qld victory and has been freshened since striking trouble and banished to the trials. Not pushed in 2 trials, she returns here in a winnable contest and with good early speed can take the early shot and will find this much easier than recent starts.

COWGIRLCHICK (2) will strip fitter from her last start when returning from a 15 month break. Holding the front from gate 1 it was only her condition fading late that saw her beaten 7m. With the gate to look for the pegs again she will be right in the fight.

MARTHAS VINEYARD (10) worked hard in the run here 2 starts back and fought gamely to be grabbed in the closing stages and go under a head. Steadily improving she can be in the mix.

SUBTLE SURPRISE (3) will be tightened from her latest start when returning from a break. That was from the 2nd line when sound to the line behind VELUTI. She has podium claims here.

SELECTIONS: CLASSYTOFF (4), COWGIRLCHICK (2), MARTHAS VINEYARD (10), SUBTLE SURPRISE (3)
SUGGESTED BET: CLASSYTOFF (4) to win

RACE NINE

MISS INVASION (2)
made a mess of the start last time out from the tapes and looked to be out of play. Chasing hard she found gaps and then followed the winner NORTHERN MUSCLE into the race before the chasing took its toll. Still able to finish 13m ahead of the 3rd placed runner, both her wins have been from the mobile and she can look to make the most of her gate advantage.

NORTHERN MUSCLE (6) is in great touch and made it his 3rd win from his past 4 starts here last week when working into the race strongly and trotting clear to a big 13m victory. That followed an impressive Marburg win with the only query appearing to be the mobile start.
 
REDRIVERDEBBA (7) was a long way back from a 30m tape last start and couldn’t work into the contest. Tough from the breeze when 2nd to DAENERYS STORMBORN 3 starts back she will be right in this.

GO AHEAD MAKEMYDAY (3) has good early speed and from the good alley can look to take an early shot. The veteran led them up last start and fought hard to hold the bronze behind NORTHERN MUSCLE. From the gate he will be digging in for the fight.

SELECTIONS: MISS INVASION (2), NORTHERN MUSCLE (6), REDRIVERDEBBA (7), GO AHEAD MAKEMYDAY (3)
SUGGESTED BET: MISS INVASION (2) to win