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Form Analysis: Albion Park Jan 22

22 January 2019

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RACE TWO

GREG THE GREAT (3) makes his Qld debut for Graham Dwyer and arrives with solid form-lines. Last start he was only 1m from the winner PANTZUP who has since been successful. That followed a bronze behind NEEDABACARDI. He gets in well here from the 10m tape and can make his debut a winning one.

NORTHERN MUSCLE (7) returned from a freshen when chasing hard from the 40m tape and just down the line as the ruling fav. Again from a 40m at his next start he grabbed the bronze behind the big winner JUSTABITLIKEMUM. His run on Sat night was a tidy effort and can overcome the impost.

JUSTABITCOCO (5) was a winner 5 starts back when arriving from back in the pack over the mobile 2138m for a stylish win. Making errors at her past 2, she was back to her best last start with a late closing win. Bringing her manners she is a threat.

JUSTABITLIKEMUM (2) took control from the front over the 2138m trip 2 starts back and in front kept them chasing. She was not in the hunt last start at Redcliffe but forgiven for that can bounce back

SELECTIONS: GREG THE GREAT (3), NORTHERN MUSCLE (7), JUSTABITCOCO (5), JUSTABITLIKEMUM (2)
SUGGESTED BET: GREG THE GREAT (3) to win

RACE THREE

LEFT A TERROR (4) was a top winner over the 2138m here 2nd up when taking control from gate 1 and keeping the speed on throughout to rate a strong win. Working hard in the breeze at his next outing from the 2nd line he was again beaten by a tough gate last start. From the improved gate he can be sharper.

THATS BETTOR (7) returns to start her 3YO term after a 5 start term as a 2YO where she recorded a pair of wins and 2 placings. Taken to Sydney for a shot at the APG where she was mid-field behind SOHO NOLITA, she then had her last start when a 3m 2nd to SMART AS CAMM BE. Fitness and the wide-gate are the queries 1st up.

MISS BLUE GLORY (5) hit the line in good order over the mile here 2 starts back when chasing home from a long way back and last start worked hard in the breeze. She can be thereabouts again here.

GODDESS JUJON (6) made the most of gate 1 to score an all the way win here 4 starts back and followed that with a pair of placings. She hit the line in good style from a long way back last time and has podium claims.

SELECTIONS: LEFT A TERROR (4), THATS BETTOR (7), MISS BLUE GLORY (5), GODDESS JUJON (6)
SUGGESTED BET: LEFT A TERROR (4) to win

RACE FOUR

OHOKA PUNTER (5)
was forced to cut the breeze here last start outside MACH ALERT who took control from the front. Fighting hard in a slick last 800m he held on for the silver when 3.5m away. He will likely need to be working again here and despite only having 1 win in the past 18 months can claim this.

WITHALOTOFLUCK (3) found himself too far back in the pack over the mile here 2 starts back and with a sub 55 closing 800m from the front was always going to struggle. On Sat he worked hard from the breeze and was in for the fight when 4m from the winner and taking the opening shot can give this a shake.

OUR HI JINX (4) was in the pocket trail here last week and the cosy trip held position to the line when 3rd to MACH ALERT. Finding position in the small field will be key to his closing chances.

CLINTAL DO (6) receives no favours from this alley but the smaller field will certainly help his chances. Gunned down late here 2 starts back, he was luckless last start and can chime in here.

SELECTIONS: OHOKA PUNTER (5), WITHALOTOFLUCK (3), OUR HI JINX (4), CLINTAL DO (6)
SUGGESTED BET: OHOKA PUNTER (5) to win

RACE FIVE

JACKS AT THE BEACH (1) will strip fitter from his latest run when returning from a break over the 2138m trip. Sent to the breeze from gate 6 he was working hard and faded late. The improved gate can see him hold them wide early and back to the mile is also a big plus, giving him every chance.

BIG IN AMERICA (5) was locked away on the pegs over the mile 2 starts back and was hitting the line strongly to grab the bronze behind STEVIE DEE. Last start she was strong form the breeze when working hard and in a sub 1.54 mile was within4m of the winner. She will need to work but can throw down the challenge.

BRONZE ECSTASY (8) was angled to the pegs looking for short-cuts last start and closed out in good order when 7m from the winner. With a cosy trip he can look to find the podium.

GOODTIME STRIDE (7) has no favours from the wide gate yet should find this no harder than her past 2. Charging home late last start over the Redcliffe 2040m trip look for her closing strongly.

SELECTIONS: JACKS AT THE BEACH (1), BIG IN AMERICA (5), BRONZE ECSTASY (8), GOODTIME STRIDE (7)
SUGGESTED BET: JACKS AT THE BEACH (1) to win

RACE SIX

TOP TRIO (6)
will be further tightened from his run here on Fri when 2nd up off a 6-week gap between runs. Too far back when returning over the 2138m his 2nd up run was a nice effort after snagging back from gate 7 and making good closing metres. With a solid tempo he can look to close strongly.

FIOKI (10) will be another that can benefit if the tempo is hot from the front and can be hitting the line strongly in the latter stages. Freshened since his last outing when working early from gate 2, he was swooping late here 2 starts back when under 3m from the winner. H He can swoop late here.
 
SWEET AS (9) was taken back early here on Sat night and was looking to work home with the race being dictated up front. That followed a good 3rd to SPIKE BROMAC and landing early position has claims here.

BELLS BEACH HOUSE (2) faced a tough trip here 3 runs back as the fav and the effort took its toll. Not suited from the 2nd line at his next start, he was strong from the breeze on Sat and he can look to make the most of the gate here and will be gripping on late.

SELECTIONS: TOP TRIO (6), FIOKI (10), SWEET AS (9), BELLS BEACH HOUSE (2)
SUGGESTED BET: TOP TRIO (6) each-way

RACE SEVEN

CASINO GRIN (2) was locked away on the pegs from inside the 2nd line here 3 starts back and never had a shot at them until the race was gone. Beaten a lip 2 starts back when taking the last shot up the passing lane, he wasn’t suited from a wide last time by the flying MARETTI. From the gate he can look to make the most of his chances.

TRILIGHT BRIGADE (7) resumes from a freshen and was last seen in a mares qualifier when trying to work into the race in the latter stages. Only beaten a half-head behind THE BOYS GNP over the mile 2 starts back, she can look to overcome the tricky gate.

MAMMALS MAGIC (9) hit the line strongly here 2 starts back from this same gate over the mile to score a tidy victory. Forget her last start when striking trouble, with the early run through to find position she comes into calculations.

LANCELOT BROMAC (1) is winless in over 12 months now, however his recent runs have been better than the reward returned. He found the line strongly here last start when 7m from KETUT and has place claims from the gate.

SELECTIONS: CASINO GRIN (2), TRILIGHT BRIGADE (7), MAMMALS MAGIC (9), LANCELOT BROMAC (1)
SUGGESTED BET: CASINO GRIN (2) to win