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Form Analysis: Redcliffe Jul 15

15 July 2020

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RACE TWO

ARK ME (1) was a winner 6 starts back when finishing best over the AP 2138m trip with not much in her favour since that victory. Snagged back from gate 7 last start, she was a long way back when trying to make ground. With the benefit of the gate, she gets every chance to bounce back here.

WHOSTOLEMYPIGEON (7) was eased from gate 5 here 2 starts back when wide off the track in the closing stages and hitting the line in nice order behind MACH TORQUE. From the 1x1 trail he was again strong to the line when only 4m in arrears of the winner ROCKN BRUSHGROVE. He can snipe.

ARBIT MAJOR (5) has been a model of consistency since joining the Donny Smith barn, finishing in the money in 14 of 17 starts, including 5 wins. Finishing over the top last start, he will be in the mix.

CONDAFEW (4) found the pocket trail last start and was strong to the line to grab the bronze over the 2040m when 2m shy of the winner AQUA CRUISER. With even luck he will be chiming in late.

SELECTIONS: ARK ME (1), WHOSTOLEMYPIGEON (7), ARBIT MAJOR (5), CONDAFEW (4)
SUGGESTED BET: ARK ME (1) to win

RACE THREE

SO BOBS YOUR UNCLE (4) started from this gate over this trip last time out and soon found himself in the 1x1 trail. Left on the siding the 3-wide train departed the station, he went to the line un-tested with no space to offer. Closing nicely the start prior over the AP mile, he can search for atonement.

ONE OFF (3) has raced his way back into form and lines up here in search of the hat-trick after wins at the 1780m and 2040m trips. Easing from gate 4 last start, he had too many bullets in the chamber in the closing stages to arrive for the prize. Settling close to the action, the threepeat is within reach.

SHOWEM SIMON (8) has been runner-up at his past 2 starts, beaten small margins in each. Wide off the track in the latter stages last start from this same gate, he can be right in the fight once again.

COULDNTBETOLD (1) led them up from this gate over this trip last start when trying to put them away through a 3rd panel blitz. Grabbed late in holing on for 3rd, he can be thereabouts again.

SELECTIONS: SO BOBS YOUR UNCLE (4), ONE OFF (3), SHOWEM SIMON (8), COULDNTBETOLD (1)
SUGGESTED BET: SO BOBS YOUR UNCLE (4) to win

RACE FOUR

IAM THE JOKER (4)
set the tempo over this trip last week. Running even splits, he looked to burst clear in the closing stages, but had no answer for the finishing power of SOMEBEACHSOMEGIFT in holding on for 2nd. Nabbed in the last strides 2 starts back, he can gather the momentum and look to grip on.

SIR JUJON (1) tried to take them all the way from this gate last start. After setting an even speed, he couldn’t hold the challengers at bay in finishing 3m in arrears of the winner. That followed a tough effort in the breeze over the AP mile and with the options, will get his chance to cash-in.

MOUNT HERCULES (7) made the most of a significant class drop back to maiden company last start to take them all the way in opening his account. With the cosy trip, he can make a closing play.

MEGA STAR (5) retreated from gate 4 over this trip last time out and from back in the pack was sound to the line. 4m from ONE OFF here 2 starts back when holding 3rd, he can chime in late.

SELECTIONS: IAM THE JOKER (4), SIR JUJON (1), MOUNT HERCULES (7), MEGA STAR (5)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE FIVE

Tricky race here where early position over the middle distance looks all-important. Needing plenty of luck from the gate MADAMOISELLE JUJON (7) will be fitter following her return to the track last week when 1st up in 12 months. There was plenty to like about the run when claiming the silver and with the luck can arrive.

CAM YOU FEEL IT (3) has been thereabouts of late, but just cannot find a way to breakthrough for his 2nd career victory. Placed in 3 of his past 4 starts, he led them up last time out but was unable to put them away when nabbed late. Tough in the breeze here 3 starts back, he will be in for the fight.

WEASEL (1) was a winner here 3 starts back when sitting in the pocket trail from this gate over the sprint trip and making the closing shot a winner. With the economical trip, he can be ready to strike.

CAPITALIZE (9) will take good benefit from his latest outing when 1st up in 16 months. With a solitary trial in readiness for the return, it was a sound effort and with the added fitness can be in the mix.

SELECTIONS: MADAMOISELLE JUJON (7), CAM YOU FEEL IT (3), WEASEL (1), CAPITALIZE (9)
SUGGESTED BET: MADAMOISELLE JUJON (7) to win

RACE SIX

MONTEREY JACK (7) is getting closer to a win, lining up with placings in 4 of his past 5 outings. Retreating from a wide gate last start, he was making a strong play in the closing stages to get within a pimple of the prize. Tough in the breeze the start prior, he looks set to take the snipers shot.

RITCHIE BEE (1) has not been seen at the races since his last start when too far back in the pack when retreating from gate 4 with the closing tempo making it near impossible for the chasers. A smart all the way winner here 3 starts back, he has been kept up to the mark with a recent trial.

LA PISTOLA (8) claimed the prize over the 2040m here 3 starts back when doing some early work before taking cover and then finishing over the top. 2m away last start, he can be offering late.

MONTANA EXPRESS (6) made the most of conditions over the AP mile 3 starts back when finishing over the top to score. Trying to work home from well back over the 2138m last time, he has claims.

SELECTIONS: MONTEREY JACK (7), RITCHIE BEE (1), LA PISTOLA (8), MONTANA EXPRESS (6)
SUGGESTED BET: MONTEREY JACK (7) to win

RACE SEVEN

There have been a few races over this distance in recent weeks that has sorted them out and this looks another case. Although drawn wide, READILY (5) has dropped back in rating some way and in a wide-open contest might just have found his level. Locked away from inside the 2nd line last start, he can recapture some form.

BLACKJEWEL (2) couldn’t go with them in the closing stages over the AP mile 3 starts back when down the line. Back to the triangle at her next start, she rolled the sleeves for the tough stuff and proved too strong in scoring. This will be her 1st look over the middle-distance which is a query.

DARTESIAN (1) eased back from gate 4 here 3 starts back over this trip before hitting the line in good order to grab 2nd. Franking that with a win over this trip 2 starts back, the gate is ideal.

PATCHWORK JET (8) was runner-up over the AP mile 2 starts back after finding the line in good style after an economical trip. Settling handy in the running line, he can be thereabouts.

SELECTIONS: READILY (5), BLACKJEWEL (2), DARTESIAN (1), PATCHWORK JET (8)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE EIGHT

DEVOUGED (2) will strip fitter following his return to the track when takin on the AP 2138m trip from gate 2. Settling in the running line he was 11m from the winner BLUE SHARD. He can look to fire the early shot from this gate and if able to pinch a panel can look to take them all the way.

GETALOADATHISGIRL (7) has been in great touch in her 4 starts since arriving in Qld, yet to miss the money. After successive wins at the 1780m trip, she was then within 1.5m of the winner when looking for the hat-trick. Back to the triangle suits after a last start 3rd at The Creek. Just needs space.

ELSIES GIRL (4) was game in holding on for the bronze last start after sitting 3-wide the last lap. In for the fight she was only 4m from the winner in a tidy effort. She can be chiming in again here.

CARIBBEAN ROCKET (1) held the pocket trail from this gate last start when using the passing lane to get within a head of the winner. A beaten fav at his previous 2 starts, the gate aids his chances here.

SELECTIONS: DEVOUGED (2), GETALOADATHISGIRL (7), ELSIES GIRL (4), CARIBBEAN ROCKET (1)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-2-4-7

RACE NINE

It may only be a small field of 2YOs to do battle, however it still shapes as an intriguing contest. Leaning to SHERBETS CHOICE (5) who has yet to miss a cheque in 3 career performances. Finishing best to win at AP 2 starts back, he was in for the fight last start after a tough run. The gate stings, but he can arrive.

OUR ULTIMATE BONNY (4) returns to the care of Jarrod Alchin after a stint with Donny Smith where she was able to break her maiden tag in her only race appearance on this track. Banished to the trials last start, she has trialled here on the triangle where she did it nicely and she can throw it down.

STEEVEN (1) has his 1st look at the Redcliffe track after finishing unplaced in 2 efforts at AP. He set the tempo at his debut prior to fading in the race claimed by SHERBETS CHOICE and was down the line behind JASPER last time. The gate is a big plus.

SELECTIONS: SHERBETS CHOICE (5), OUR ULTIMATE BONNY (4), STEEVEN (1)
SUGGESTED BET: SHERBETS CHOICE (5) to win