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  4. Form Analysis: Redcliffe Nov 25


RACE ONE

STUDLEIGH ROWSY (1)
has been showing steady improvement as she moves towards the maiden breaking win. Rolling forward from gate 3 last time, she was asked to grind it out when parked before fading over the closing stages. The improved alley is a big plus to her chances.

MELTON KILLARA (3) has placed at her past 2 starts, the latest when doing some early work before finding the pocket trail and then using the passing lane. From the alley she can be in a prominent position here to throw down the challenge.

AMELIA SPRINGFIELD (5) resumes from a spell without the benefit of a public trial after her first campaign netted a pair of placings in 6 starts. She should take benefit from this outing.

THE CROM (6) was 2nd up in Qld last time out when eased from gate 4 to find position. Attacking the line in nice order over the closing stages to grab the silver, he can be chiming in again.

SELECTIONS: STUDLEIGH ROWSY (1), MELTON KILLARA (3), AMELIA SPRINGFIELD (5), THE CROM (6)
SUGGESTED BET: STUDLEIGH ROWSY (1) to win

RACE TWO

CINDAROCKINRELLA (7)
started from gate 3 last time out when sent to the post as the favourite. Settling in the 1x1 run in transit, she struck some trouble before grabbing the silver. With the cosy trip, she can be in the lair ready to take the snipers shot.

DARBY BRIGHTS (1) started from gate 2 here 2 starts back and after taking a little longer than anticipated, eventually worked to the front to take control. Unable to see it out, she faded over the closing stages. Not suited wide out at Marburg last time, she gets her chance to capitalise here.

BEEF CITY STARZZZ (4) was runner-up at Marburg 3 starts back when best of the rest behind the clear out winner COURAGEOUS WAYS.  The key to his chances will be to avoid being shuffled back.

WHATA REACTOR (6) was sent to sit parked last start and after the tough trip could not cope and wilted to the rear. Her numbers are not great but this is the right race to bounce back.

SELECTIONS: CINDAROCKINRELLA (7), DARBY BRIGHTS (1), BEEF CITY STARZZZ (4), WHATA REACTOR (6)
SUGGESTED BET: CINDAROCKINRELLA (7) to win

RACE THREE

WEASEL (9)
eased from gate 4 last time out and was soon taken to the pegs to settle back in the pack. Trying to launch a closing raid, he was unable to warm up. Runner-up here 2 starts back when finding the pocket trail, he strikes the right type of conditions to claim another victory.

DUKE (5) fired off the arm to take control last time out over the sprint trip. Trying to fight off the challengers, he had to settle for the bronze when 6m from the winner. Eased from gate 6 over the sprint trip 3 starts back, he was strong in the closing stages to be just 3m in arrears and can throw down a challenge.

CLEVER COWBOY (4) did not have much really go his way last start which followed a 6m margin behind HARRY CROFT after working hard in the run. He can be thereabouts again here.

MIDNIGHT QUEEN (8) tried to lead throughout last time but after a brief battle was then unable to go on with it in the closing stages. 2m from the winner here 3 starts back, she has podium claims.

SELECTIONS: WEASEL (9), DUKE (5), CLEVER COWBOY (4), MIDNIGHT QUEEN (8)
SUGGESTED BET: WEASEL (9) to win

RACE FOUR

FORTYFIVE ROCK (3)
had an early look from gate 4 last start but was unable to find the front. Easing to settle in the 1x1 trail, he was midfield behind COURAGEOUS WAYS. At his best when finding the front, he looks set to be in front and will be gripping on.

LUCINDA JAMAR (5) has placed in 3 of her 4 starts since arriving in Qld, the latest when grabbing 3rd over the AP mile. Hemmed away against the pegs she was chasing as IM LOKI pulled clear for an easy victory. The wide gate is a concern but she can be making a challenge.

UWATCHINGME (8) tried to take them all the way here last time out and after a very leisurely opening half was unable to see it out. 4m away when runner-up 2 starts back, she has podium claims.

THREE MACHS (7) chimed in for the bronze here 2 starts back after making some good metres over the closing stages. Beaten by gate 6 last start, the economical trip will suit.

SELECTIONS: FORTYFIVE ROCK (3), LUCINDA JAMAR (5), UWATCHINGME (8), THREE MACHS (7)
SUGGESTED BET: FORTYFIVE ROCK (3) to win

RACE FIVE

SPECIAL MEANING (8) started from inside the 2nd line last time out and was searching for gaps after being shuffled back. Placed at his previous 2 starts, including a gritty effort when sitting parked here over the sprint tip, he finds the right conditions to strike.

OLD ENGLISH (9) tried to take them all the way last start after firing out from gate 3 and trying to lead throughout. Grabbed in the last strides by CYCLONE JEREMY, she will be nearing a fitness peak after 4 runs since arriving in Qld off the back of a spell and can look to throw it down.

SHEZ NOTORIOUS (7) was resuming from a spell from inside the 2nd line last time out and was never in the mix when trailing them in. Breaking her maiden before going for a spell, she will be probing.

AUNTY FRANCES (4) made the most of the good gate last start at Marburg when trying to take them all the way. Grabbed in the closing strides, she was 2m in arrears and can feature again here.

SELECTIONS: SPECIAL MEANING (8), OLD ENGLISH (9), SHEZ NOTORIOUS (7), AUNTY FRANCES (4)
SUGGESTED BET: SPECIAL MEANING (8) to win

RACE SIX

ARNOLD STREET (2)
is a smart 2YO tackling the older horses as he has done in recent outings, the latest when fading over the closing stages after doing some early work outside MISTY CREEK. Sent forward from gate 6 to take them all the way here 4 starts back, he gets his chance to dictate.

GINATIANO (8) has been kept fresh since her last appearance when tackling a mares qualifier at the mile. Beaten by gate 6 the start prior when making a sustained run wide off the track and unable to reel in the deficit, this is a big drop in grade and she can look to ask the questions.

CALL ME TRISH (6) started from inside the 2nd line last start and chased gamely for 2nd behind the dictating winner MISTY CREEK.  The gate is not ideal, but she is up to the challenge.

BETTING BARON (5) sat in the pocket trail after starting from gate 1 last start and with the economical trip took a closing shot to be just a half-head away. The gate makes place claims look best.

SELECTIONS: ARNOLD STREET (2), GINATIANO (8), CALL ME TRISH (6), BETTING BARON (5)
SUGGESTED BET: ARNOLD STREET (2) to win

 

RACE SEVEN

HALF MOON BEACH (5)
was asked to sit parked after pressing on from the widest gate last time out at Marburg. Holding on for the bronze after the tough trip, the winner blitzed his rivals in claiming a huge margin. His run 3 starts back was a smart effort and with even luck he can look to capitalise.

TIMENPATIENCE (4) has grabbed the bronze in both starts since resuming from a spell, the latest when chasing from back in the pack as MISTY CRREK controlled it in front. Just a half-neck away when resuming, she can find a handy position to throw down the challenge.

THE CASUAL GOOSE (8) might just appreciate this class of opponent as he searches for his latest win after a 6-starts since he last cashed in from a good alley. With even luck he can chime in.

HEADWIN (7) had to do it the tough way last start when sitting parked over the mile and despite fading in the closing stages, was not too far away. With a cosy trip he will be searching for gaps.

SELECTIONS: HALF MOON BEACH (5), TIMENPATIENCE (4), THE CASUAL GOOSE (8) HEADWIN (7)
SUGGESTED BET:

 

RACE EIGHT

AYE AYE CAPTAIN (8)
can be forgiven for his last start where he struck trouble in the run but continued to see it out after retreating from gate 5 in the early stages. Placed his previous 2 starts, both at Redcliffe, he gets the opportunity to improve the effort.

CLARENDEN DAZZLER (9) was a big winner last start at Marburg when making the most of gate 1 to take them all the way down victory lane. Fitter after 2 runs back from a break, the gate is not ideal but he can make a closing challenge.
BONNIES A ROCKIN (1) flashed some early speed last start and finding the position outside the leader, faded over the closing stages. Runner-up from the pocket trail 2 starts back, she can chime in.

RAANI (6) was too far back last start to issue any sort of challenge and should strip fitter for the run after resuming from a break 2 starts back. With the tough gate owing to an ODM embargo, she can chime in

SELECTIONS: AYE AYE CAPTAIN (8), CLARENDEN DAZZLER (9), BONNIES A ROCKIN (1), RAANI (6)
SUGGESTED BET: AYE AYE CAPTAIN (8) to win

 

RACE NINE

IN THE PAPER (4)
returned a nice effort last start over the AP 1660m. Eased from gate 6 to secure position , he was a long way off the leader and was forced to cart up the 3-wide train. Closing strongly here 2 starts back when 3.5m from the winner, this looks within reach.

BETTATHANIDEAL (6) was a winner here 2 starts back when making the most of an economical trip in behind the speed. Arriving for a smart win, sitting in the pocket trail behind the leader proved the ideal place to position and despite the wide gate can secure a spot cheaply.

WHOSTOLEMYPIGEON (3) was a winner here 4 starts back when finding the running line from this same gate before finishing over the top of them in the closing stages. He can feature again here.

THERESACHANCE (5) ended a placing streak last start when taking on a much stronger line-up in a hot qualifier. With the speed to fire some early bullets, he can be in the mix.

SELECTIONS: IN THE PAPER (4), BETTATHANIDEAL (6), WHOSTOLEMYPIGEON (3), THERESACHANCE (5)
SUGGESTED BET: N THE PAPER (4) to win

RACE TEN
 

OCEAN LANE (1) is a last start winner after finding the front from gate 2 before opting to take the trail. With bullets to fire in the stretch, she arrived to claim the victory. Fitter again, she comes up with all the options to take full advantage and claim another victory.

JAZIAH (8) might just have found the right race to make a play. Snagged back from gate 7 last start, she was never in the mix. Unplaced after a tough run at headquarters  last start, her run here was full of merit last start and she can be

CYCLONE JEREMY (6) has put together a nice record since returning from a spell, the latest when claiming victory after using the passing lane to arrive. The gate stings but he cannot be overlooked.

HOLDINGNO CURRENCY (4) was positioned on the pegs last start and with the cosy trip was able to grab the bronze.  A winner here 5 starts back, he can be making a closing play.

SELECTIONS: OCEAN LANE (1), JAZIAH (8), CYCLONE JEREMY (6), HOLDINGNO CURRENCY (4)
SUGGESTED BET: