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Form Analysis: Marburg Oct 24

24 October 2021

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RACE TWO

TINGE OF FEAR (1) has been runner-up at her past 3 starts, the latest when gunned down at Redcliffe after setting the speed over the 2040m trip. Asked to grind it out when parked here 2 starts back and finishing 4m from LORIMER LADY, she can look to take them all the way.

DOLLARBILL (4) sat in the trail last start at Redcliffe and with the economical trip had the bullets to fire in the stretch when claiming a 4m victory. Fitter from that appearance where he was first up from a spell, he is a five-time winner here and will be throwing it down to them.

BONNIES CAM (3) features in a barn switch to join the Dayl March stable and does have a tidy record here. Only a half-head away 2 starts back when finishing in 3rd, he can feature again.

HIT THE TRACK (5) has placed in 4 of his 7 outings here at Marburg. The wide gate is a stinger, but he has not been too far off them in recent starts.

SELECTIONS: TINGE OF FEAR (1), DOLLARBILL (4), BONNIES CAM (3), HIT THE TRACK (5)
SUGGESTED BET: TINGE OF FEAR (1) to win

RACE THREE

LIVING FREE (1)
started from inside the 2nd line here last time and never saw the space to make a challenge when 2.5m from the winner and hitting the line searching for gaps. Taking a seat from this gate when 8m from OUR EDUARDO DENARIO 2 starts back, he comes up with the options.

WHERES TASCOTT (6) was sent forward from a wide gate over the AP mile 2 starts back and finding the front was trying to stave off the challengers. Unable to cling on when 3m from the winner, she will get the easy trip here and be probing for openings to make career start 100 a memorable outing.

ALWAYS AT NIGHT (5) was a winner here 5 starts back when pressing forward to sit parked from this same gate and proving too strong. A Redcliffe winner 3 back, he can out the pressure on here to feature.

BLACKJEWEL (2) has now had 3 runs back from a spell and should be approaching full fitness. The placings look open in this and she might be able to chime in.

SELECTIONS: LIVING FREE (1), WHERES TASCOTT (6), ALWAYS AT NIGHT (5), BLACKJEWEL (2)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-2-5-6

RACE FOUR

SCHEU CREEK (7)
is a Marburg specialist, boasting 5 wins and 9 minors in his 19 outings on the track. Descending on them here 2 starts back and pulling clear to post a 7m winning margin, he was charging home last start to get within a lip of victory. He can overpower them here.

TRIOLI (3) resumes here after 10 months off the scene to start her 4YO term. Shut down following a last start victory in December when pulling clear to post a 13m margin over the AP mile, she was given a pipe opener at the trials where she finished off nicely. This is a nice first up target.

LEFT IN THE WIND (1) has now had 2 starts since joining the Chloe Butler stable, the latest when luckless over the Redcliffe sprint trip. With the alley she gets her chance to take a shot.

MY ULTIMATE CLIPPA (5) has hit the board in 3 of his past 4 starts, the latest when setting the speed over the Redcliffe sprint trip and nabbed in the last stride. The gate stings here.

SELECTIONS: SCHEU CREEK (7), TRIOLI (3), LEFT IN THE WIND (1), MY ULTIMATE CLIPPA (5)
SUGGESTED BET: SCHEU CREEK (7) to win

RACE FIVE

LORD DENZEL (2) fire out of the machine to take control at Redcliffe 2 starts back and from the front kept them chasing in claiming a 2m victory. Not suited last start when doing some early work and unable to get across, he can take control and look to punch it out.

BEEF CITY STARZZZ (3) made the most of gate 1 here when burrowing through to set the speed and in the opening half, kept that speed moderate, to hold son for the prize. Beaten by gate 6 at Redcliffe last start when easing to the rear, he can settle close to the action to throw down the challenge.

OKANES DEVIL (1) started from gate 1 at Redcliffe last start and taking the trail chased hard for the bronze behind OUR EDUARDO DENARIO. Placed in 4 of her past 6, she can be probing again here.

CANNAN (5) has no favours from this alley but has been thereabouts in recent attempts, placing in 3 of his past 5 starts. Just 2m away last start from inside the 2nd line, he can make a play here.

SELECTIONS: LORD DENZEL (2), BEEF CITY STARZZZ (3), OKANES DEVIL (1), CANNAN (5)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE SIX

NIGHT NINJA (7)
was buried from inside the 2nd line here last time out and never found the gaps to make a challenge. A similar fate faced him the start prior when locked in behind the speed and going to the line untested. With better luck in transit, he finds suitable conditions to make a closing challenge.

FORGIVE ME (3) eventually secured the 1x1 trail last start over the AP mile and was boxing on over the closing stages when 8m from the winner DONNY JONES. Beaten by a wider gate in a much stronger contest here 2 starts back, she can get forward early and look to take control.

SHAKATIE (8) eased to settle rearward last start after being slugged with an ODM offence 2 starts back. Runner-up to BETTING ORIGIN 3 starts back, she can feature with even luck in transit.

GOLDEN SAND (4) was banished to the trials last start back on August 31 and has been to the trials on 7 occasions since. Coming from wide gates owing to an ODM embargo, he is back in the main draw and can be prominent in the run.

SELECTIONS: NIGHT NINJA (7), FORGIVE ME (3), SHAKATIE (8), GOLDEN SAND (4)
SUGGESTED BET: NIGHT NINJA (7) to win

 

RACE SEVEN

IFOUNDTHEBEACH (3)
settled in the 1x1 trail last start over the Redcliffe 1780m and when produced in the stretch had the bullets to fire and hit the target with a 4m victory. Too far back here the start prior when 3rd from gate 5, he can tuck in behind the action and land the winning blow.

TEARAWAY DIAMOND (4) started from outside the 2nd line here last start and making a move down the back stretch, powered up and poured on the pressure to claim a 4m victory. Only 6m from YOUNG CONQUEROR over the AP mile the start prior, he can look to throw it down here.

JAY TEE TYRON (2) was sent to sit parked from gate 4 last time and grinding it out faded in the last strides when 9m from the winner THE GENERAL. He can throw it down here and if pressing to the front will be tough to hold out.

LORIMER LADY (1) pressed on to find the front last start at Redcliffe over the sprint trip and gave some cheek at big odds when just 4m in arrears. A winner at this trip 3 starts back, she has the options to feature.

SELECTIONS: IFOUNDTHEBEACH (3), TEARAWAY DIAMOND (4), JAY TEE TYRON (2), LORIMER LADY (1)
SUGGESTED BET: IFOUNDTHEBEACH (3) to win

 

RACE EIGHT

BUKTHSYSTEM (4)
started from the 2nd line last start at Redcliffe when trying to launch a closing raid and finishing 4m in arrears of the winner. Fading after doing some early work the start prior behind GLENLEDI COMMANDER, he had the closing power to arrive over the AP 2138m 3 starts back and finds a winnable race here.

JILLIBY GIZMO (6) sat in the pocket trail at Redcliffe on Thursday but when the leader and winner MISTY CREEK got going, he was unable to go on with it. Claiming the bronze in both previous starts, he was a winner 4 runs back and from this alley will be probing for the openings.

IFYOUBELIEVE (1) should have taken further benefit from his latest outing when 2nd up form a spell. Returning with a 2nd here when looking to lead throughout, he has the options to feature.

CALVERT HOT SHOT (7) tackled a qualifier 2 starts back and although finishing last, it was a tidy effort behind subsequent winner DOUBLE OR NOTHING. 5m from the winner last start, he has claims.

SELECTIONS: BUKTHSYSTEM (4), JILLIBY GIZMO (6), IFYOUBELIEVE (1), CALVERT HOT SHOT (7)
SUGGESTED BET: BUKTHSYSTEM (4) to win