Form Analysis: Albion Park Oct 08

RACE ONE

Facing gate 7 here last week in the Tier 2 FFA, MISTERFREEZE (6) was sent forward to sit parked over the mile. Hanging in for the fight, he as able to take the bronze when 3m from the smart winner ESCALAERA. Strong to the line two starts back, he can get forward here and make his play.

CARDLESFROMHEAVEN (7) showed the benefit of getting back to old timers company here on Tuesday where he was able to charge home over the top and claim a 5m margin. Tackling open company in his several starts prior and performing well, he can overcome the gate to challenge.

APHORISM (11) was chasing the hat-trick last time out when facing FFA company. Sitting in the trail to finish 8m from CRUZ BROMAC, it followed a tough win from gate 7 and he can be chiming in here.

TUAPEKA GLORY (3) found the pocket trail last start and was trying to reel in the leader and winner JUMPING JACK JIMMY when holding on for the silver. A winner from the trail two back, he has claims.

SELECTIONS: MISTERFREEZE (6), CARDLESFROMHEAVEN (7), APHORISM (11), TUAPEKA GLORY (3)
SUGGESTED BET: MISTERFREEZE (6) to win

RACE TWO

A strong field is assembled for this B5 event that looks set to be a truly run contest where the ever-consistent ROCKS OR DIAMONDS (3) can look to make use of his gate. Overcoming gate 7 when working home strongly three runs back, he was large in defeat cutting the breeze last start as LOVE YOUR WORK carved out a 1.50.9 mile. He can get across early and has options thereafter.

TIZ A SIZZLER (4) will be fresh up here after his last start victory when grafting out a tough win from the second line. Sent forward in the middle stages to sit parked, he was too classy in pulling clear to taken an 8m margin. Blowing out the cobwebs with a sharp piece of work at the trials, he can throw it down.

KASHED UP (10) returns from a spell after tackling some features through the Winter Carnival that included victory in the inaugural Queensland Sun. The gate stings here first up but a solid tempo will see him ready to swoop.

SWAYZEE (5) rolled forward from this gate last week to sit parked outside JENDEN STRIKE at the 2138m and was strong throughout in holding on for the silver. Taking a qualifier in a PB two back, he is a podium hope.

SELECTIONS: ROCKS OR DIAMONDS (3), TIZ A SIZZLER (4), KASHED UP (10), SWAYZEE (5)
SUGGESTED BET: ROCKS OR DIAMONDS (3) to win

RACE THREE

Looking to make it four on the bounce last time out, HES PERFECTLY IDEAL (12) was sent around them to sit parked over this trip from the second line. Fading out of contention, it followed a sharp win from outside the front line when crossing to the poles and seeing it out. Tempo will be key.

SCOTCH EN ICE (10) is getting close to another victory after placing in 3 of his past 4 starts, the latest when making a closing raid to be just a half-neck from the winner. Taking his shot up the passing lane two runs back when 2m from LADY AVANA, he can get a cart into the contest to challenge.

SO MUCH MORE (2) grabbed the silver here last week behind ROCKNROLL CLASSIC after taking the trail and then trying to bridge the deficit up the passing lane. Settling handy, he is a podium hope.

JOHNSON STEP (7) had the speed to lead last week from gate 3 and was trying to fend them off in the stretch when wilting late to be 7m from the winner AUNTY BELLA. Not far away in three starts in Qld, he can feature.

SELECTIONS: HES PERFECTLY IDEAL (12), SCOTCH EN ICE (10), SO MUCH MORE (2), JOHNSON STEP (7)
SUGGESTED BET: HES PERFECTLY IDEAL (12) to win

RACE FOUR

Working home wide over the closing stages last start, ESCALERA (2) had the closing power to take the prize and open his 2022 account. Sectionally superb in recent starts, it was a good reward as he has tried to find suitable conditions. He finds another good set up here and can look to dictate.

LE TISSIER (9) will be second up after returning from a spell here on Tuesday. Easing across from gate 4 to find the running line, he was making some nice metres down the stretch to grab the bronze behind LYRICAL GENIUS. The 2138m is right in his strike zone and he can press through to challenge.

MAKE MINE MEMPHIS (8) was asked to roll the sleeves and do it the tough way last start when parked. Game in defeat behind BIG WHEELS, he looks set to be buried here and will be probing.

DANCE IN THE SUN (1) has bounced herself back into form with 3 wins in her past 5 starts, including off the second line four runs back. 4m from BIG WHEELS last start, the 2138m is the pressing query.

SELECTIONS: ESCALERA (2), LE TISSIER (9), MAKE MINE MEMPHIS (8), DANCE IN THE SUN (1)
SUGGESTED BET: ESCALERA (2) to win

RACE FIVE

It can be perilous picking horses that have gone over 12 months since their last victory but with the mapping benefits OAXACAN DREAM (1) can take her shot here. Charging home last start behind AUNTY BELLA in the fastest last 800 of the race to grab 2nd, she has the options to cash in here.

JENDEN STRIKE (4) worked forward from gate 3 at the 2138m in this same grade last week. Controlling the tempo, she was able to fend off the chasers in taking a 2m margin. Runner-up to her stablemate AUNTY BELLA the start prior, she looks set to roll the sleeves to issue her challenge.

UPTOWN BEACHGIRL (2) claimed a mare’s qualifier here three starts back when sent forward from gate 4 to take control and was able to fight them off. Grabbed in the closing strides last start, she is right in the fight.

MOLLIESMARYELLE (3) was pushing in for the hat-trick last start when rolling to the breeze from gate 6. Working hard parked to finish 8m from the winner, it followed a PB mile, and she has claims.

SELECTIONS: OAXACAN DREAM (1), JENDEN STRIKE (4), UPTOWN BEACHGIRL (2), MOLLIESMARYELLE (3)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-2-3-4

RACE SIX

With this field made up of those horses balloted from selection out of Race 2, PARAMA (3) could be a little stiff to have missed a run in that top division. He will line up here with a pair of wins either side of a 3^rd placing. A big 15m winner three back at 2138m, he fought them off in front last start and can go again.

CONVAIR HUSTLER (1) was hemmed away from this alley two starts back and was able to grab the bronze behind MAJOR JAROD. Powering over the top of them last start to take a qualifying victory, he lands the options from the ace and with the right trip can issue the challenge.

OBI ONE (5) faces a sticky gate from the centre of the line. Making some nice metres over the closing stages behind JENDEN STRIKE last start, positioning cheaply will be key to his chances.

FLO RYDA (2) was beaten by gate 6 last start where he retreated in the early stages and then went luck hunting up the inside. Sectionally strong in recent outings, he can tuck in close to feature here.

SELECTIONS: PARAMA (3), CONVAIR HUSTLER (1), OBI ONE (5), FLO RYDA (2)
SUGGESTED BET:  PARAMA (3) to win


 

RACE SEVEN

Another without a win this season, the drought for BLACKJACK BART (9) is approaching 18 months, however his recent efforts have had merit, the latest when easing early to find a spot and then never sighting the gaps when needed. He might be able to pinch a race where the 2138m will ask questions a few of these may not have the answer to.

MAYWYN TROUBADOR (2) loves to run the gate and comes up with the gate to get across to his preferred lamp lighting position. Searching for gaps after starting from inside the second line last time out, he was collared in the closing strides after leading here two back. Can he see it out?

RECIPE FOR DREAMING (8) ran some nice closing panels last start after being snagged back from gate 6 to find position. A passing lane winner four runs back, he will be probing for the openings.

GELDOF (7) cops the horror alley and is going much better than his numbers suggest. Snagged back around the tight Marburg track last time, his close out was sharp and he remains in calculations.

SELECTIONS: BLACKJACK BART (9), MAYWYN TROUBADOR (2), RECIPE FOR DREAMING (8), GELDOF (7)
SUGGESTED BET: BLACKJACK BART (9) to win

RACE EIGHT

A beaten fav from this same gate last time out, VINDICATE (5) finds the conditions to gain redemption. Firing out, releasing, then scooting the passing lane to score two runs back, she tackles her own sex for the first time here. With the speed to find position, she looks hard to stop.

ONLY ONCE BITTEN (3) returns to the main draw after copping the unruly embargo after making a starting error here three runs back. Strong to the line at her next attempt when 5m from the winner, she was then game here last week when pressing on to sit parked and holding 2^nd. She can throw it down.

DEBUTANTE PARTY (10) has now had three runs in Qld that have all been in this grade. Landing her best return last start with the bronze along the passing lane, she can be chiming in late.
CALA JANE (7) was sent to the post as fav last start from gate 1 off the back of a string of wide gates. Finishing 4m from the winner in holding 3^rd, she faces the wide gate again here which dents her chances.

SELECTIONS: VINDICATE (5), ONLY ONCE BITTEN (3), DEBUTANTE PARTY (10), CALA JANE (7)
SUGGESTED BET: VINDICATE (5) to win

RACE NINE

Unable to crack it for a win since resuming from a spell, it has been a mixed bag for WILL THE WIZARD (1). Snagged back from gate 6 here last week, he was out the back and chasing and his closing panels were super to get within 4m of the winner. He finally lands a marble and scores all the options to capitalise.

TURN IT UP (6) will strip fitter from his last start where he returned from a spell after a light time following the Winter Carnival. Locked away from inside the second line when resuming, he was trying to reel them in in grabbing the bronze behind CRUZ BROMAC. A gazelle off the arm, he can pull the trigger early and make the left hand turn to take control.

CRUZ BROMAC (4) bounced back to winning form last time out when spearing out to lead from gate 3 and take them all the way. Grabbing 3^rd, albeit 26m from the track record breaking BLACKSADANCE two starts back, he is right in the fight.

SELECTIONS: WILL THE WIZARD (1), TURN IT UP (6), CRUZ BROMAC (4)
SUGGESTED BET: WILL THE WIZARD (1) to win

RACE ELEVEN

After four starts in Qld since arriving with Tim Butt, COCHY MALC (2) will line up behind the start car for the first time after his four runs have been from the tapes. Securing a cosy trip two starts back, he made the closing shot a winning one. A two-time winner from the mobile in NZ, he can settle handy enough to cash-in.

RED CASTLETON (6) bounced back to winning form here last week over the 2647m trip. Starting from the 20m tape, he settled against the poles before extricating and sprinting over the top to score. Only 4m away here three back under the same trip and conditions, he looms large once again.

HUMBLE LADD (8) will take good benefit from his latest start when first up back in Qld after transferring to the Jack Butler barn. Just 3m from the winner GEE UP NEDDY, he has the second line options and is yet to miss the money in five starts on this deck.

KAR MANOR (7) has placed in his past three starts as he lines up for his fourth run in 11 days. Under 2m from the winner on Tuesday when looming up, it was only RED CASTLETON that got the better of him last Saturday. He is right in the fight.

SELECTIONS: COCHY MALC (2), RED CASTLETON (6), HUMBLE LADD (8), KAR MANOR (7)
SUGGESTED BET: COCHY MALC (2) to win