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Form Analysis: Albion Park Feb 01

1 February 2019

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RACE ONE

LINCOLN ROAD (8)
is in the zone and last start made it 5 wins in succession when leading throughout to claim a strong victory over the 2138m trip. With his past 3 wins all over the middle distance he has been strong in getting forward in each. He will need factors in his favour here but can claim the six-pack.

ITS JUST KENNY (6) started fav in an open race off gate 6 last start over the mile and put in a huge run when 3-wide the trip and was still giving on the line when only 7m from the winner in a sub 1.54 mile. Only beaten a head the start prior, he is in good touch and can throw down the challenge.
 
MY MASTERCRAFTSMAN (9) was sent forward from the 2nd line last start to find the breeze when finishing 2.5m from the winner. Not suited from gate 7 the start prior, he can be working home here.

FARRAHFOWLER (3) was after the hat-trick last start and from gate 6 was sent forward to take up the lamp lighting duties. Only fading the closing stages, she can get forward early and feature.

SELECTIONS: LINCOLN ROAD (8), ITS JUST KENNY (6), MY MASTERCRAFTSMAN (9), FARRAHFOWLER (3)
SUGGESTED BET: LINCOLN ROAD (8) to win

RACE TWO

MACH SAM (3) started from the 2nd line last start over the Redcliffe sprint trip and struggled to run on in the latter stages. 4 of his past 5 starts have been from the 2nd line on the triangle and with the move to a front line and having his 1st start in the claiming ranks can look to take advantage.

COMPLY OR DIE (12) was strong from the breeze here 2 starts back after pressing forward from gate 6 and working in the run went within a head of victory. Set alight with his gate speed here on Tues he found the pegs and packed too many guns for a career best win rate. The gate hurts.

STIRLING WILLIAM (7) found the 1x1 trail here 2 starts back from gate 5 and had the speed to arrive for the prize. Doing some early work last start, he will need to work again here but is up to the task.

EXCEPTIONAL MACH (8) will need some luck in transit to find the gaps from this gate. Grabbed late after setting the pace last time out, he will be probing for an opening and can chime in late.

SELECTIONS: MACH SAM (3), COMPLY OR DIE (12), STIRLING WILLIAM (7), EXCEPTIONAL MACH (8)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE THREE

CAPITALIZE (5) has been runner-up in 2 of his past 3 starts the latest when pressing on to the pegs from gate 3 to lead them up. Gunned down up the passing lane in the latter stages he was within 2m of the winner. Only beaten a neck 3 starts back, he finds a winnable race here and can breakthrough.

ROCKNROLL CLASSIC (11) isn’t having much luck of late and last start was put of business in a scrimmage. His previous 2 starts saw him make early errors and while that brings some risk, if he can bring his A-game and get the starts right, a bold effort in this line-up can be expected.

MISS MONEYBAGS (3) resumes here and was last seen when best of the chasing pack behind the demolition win of MUSCLE FACTORY, the subsequent Vic derby winner. A four-time 2YO winner she will be in the fight here.

MY ULTIMATE MAJOR (9) has started at Tamworth in the star Maker Series at his past 2 starts and was locked in the pocket trail when 3.5m from the winner in the final. With even luck in transit he has claims here.

SELECTIONS: CAPITALIZE (5), ROCKNROLL CLASSIC (11), MISS MONEYBAGS (3), MY ULTIMATE MAJOR (9)
SUGGESTED BET: ROCKNROLL CLASSIC (11) each-way

RACE FOUR

MAMMALS MAGIC (1)
was a winner over the mile here 3 starts back when finishing best from the 2nd line to claim a stylish victory. Forget her next start when striking trouble and put out of play, her latest effort again from the 2nd line saw facing a task against the tempo. With the options she gets her chance in this.

TAYLOR HOOD (4) was making his Qld debut last start over the Redcliffe sprint trip when starting fav from gate 5. Rolling forward to the breeze he was in for the fight in a strong mile when beaten a half-head. From the gate he can get forward and will be once again duking it out.

IM FREE FALLING (9) is in superb touch and added his 1st AP victory last start making it 3 wins in his past 5 outings. He will need some luck from the gate but will be storming home in the closing stages.

THATS HOW WEROLL (2) was taken back early last start from gate 6 and hit the line strongly from well back. Only 2m from COURAGEOUS LEO 3 starts back he will be right in the action here.

SELECTIONS: MAMMALS MAGIC (1), TAYLOR HOOD (4), IM FREE FALLING (9), THATS HOW WEROLL (2)
SUGGESTED BET: MAMMALS MAGIC (1) to win

RACE FIVE

MONTANA CHIEF (1) took the pocket trail from this gate and trip 3 starts back and using the passing lane went within a half-head of victory. He found the line in good order at his next outing from the 2nd line and his effort had merit from the 2nd line at Tamworth last start. With the options he looks hard to stop.

CC JONES (8) was in for the fight last start when cutting the breeze outside LISA LINCOLN and was best of the chasing pack when 9m in arrears. A winner from gate 10 here 3 starts back when finishing best, he can get a great trip here and be coiled and ready to strike.

REGAL NIGHTSHADE (4) ended a run of outs here last start over the mile when finding the pegs and after a steady time from the 1200 to the 400 had enough to hold on. This is tougher but he can be thereabouts.

WHERES THE SPIRIT (6) finished best from the running line at Redcliffe 2 starts back when 2nd up from a break. He fought on well last start when 3m from the winner and he can feature again.

SELECTIONS: MONTANA CHIEF (1), CC JONES (8), REGAL NIGHTSHADE (4), WHERES THE SPIRIT (6)
SUGGESTED BET: MONTANA CHIEF (1) to win

RACE SIX

BLINGITTOTHEMAX (7)
has no favours from the wide alley yet he might just have enough of an edge over his opponents to overcome the outside paint. He closed off hard in a Rising Stars heat 2 starts back to run TENNYSON BROMAC to a neck and was a touch unlucky in the final. He is up to this.

WEE JIMMY (1) has placed his past 2 starts from wide gates when working home wide off the track in each. 2 starts back over the 2138m trip he tracked home in good order when moving up 3 wide at the 600m and finishing 6m away. With all the favours from the gate he gets his chance to cash-in.

BANGKOK BRAVADO (10) found his race at Redcliffe 3 starts back and sent to the post in red figures was able to arrive for the prize. He did his share of work last start behind the smart TOM ME GUN and is in the mix.

ONE OFF (6) went back from gate 5 last start and couldn’t make up any late ground behind IM FREE FALLING. That followed an easy win when well placed in a mile event here and he can chime in late.

SELECTIONS: BLINGITTOTHEMAX (7), WEE JIMMY (1), BANGKOK BRAVADO (10), ONE OFF (6)
SUGGESTED BET: BLINGITTOTHEMAX (7) to win

RACE SEVEN

ALPHA STYX (2) took on a 2nd division qualifier last start and from the 2nd line was closing out strongly wide off the track to grab the bronze behind MR MEDDLE when beaten 5m. He faded off the start prior after an early speed battle and with the good gate looks to get his chance.
 
RIVERLEIGH ROCKET (3) has started twice since returning from a spell for a pair of duck eggs. Both those have been when drawn off the 2nd line and with the return to the front line and with good early speed a sharper effort can be expected.

MACHEASY (8) will need a slice of luck from tis alley but will have the early option to get away from the pegs if need be. He chased hard last start and if able to find the right run in transit can challenge.

TASSINI (5) has been placed at her past 2 starts with both coming from gate 6. Last start she worked home in good order behind LISA LINCOLN and can be thereabouts once again.

SELECTIONS: ALPHA STYX (2), RIVERLEIGH ROCKET (3), MACHEASY (8), TASSINI (5)
SUGGESTED BET: ALPHA STYX (2) to win

RACE EIGHT

MACHITELLI (6)
has had 3 runs back from a break and been runner-up in 2 of those over the mile. Settling in the pocket trail at her return when starting from gate 1 she chased gamely when 2m from the winner MORROCH BAY. Chasing behind the smart PARAVANI last start, she can overcome the gate.

CHERRYS THE BEST (8) has been runner-up at her past 2 starts and as the sole 2nd line runner will get early options if needed to work into space. Working hard in the breeze at her past 2 outings at Redcliffe she has been beaten at red figures in both and will be fighting hard again here.
HIPSTAR (5) started from gate 5 last start and after snagging back early was hitting the line in good order behind OUR DELIGHT. He attacked the line hard here 2 starts back and will swoop hard here.

SEA HAWKE (7) has no favours from this alley but he comes into this with a strong win over the 2138m trip after finding himself in the breeze at the mile he slowly rolled forward and was out of trouble to score. Has claims.

SELECTIONS: MACHITELLI (6), CHERRYS THE BEST (8), HIPSTAR (5), SEA HAWKE (7)
SUGGESTED BET: MACHITELLI (6) to win

RACE NINE

SCHIPPERS (2)
has raced at Redcliffe her past 3 starts and been placed in 2 of those from the tapes. 2 starts back she stepped cleanly before releasing and chased valiantly for 3rd behind the clear-out winner MISS INVASION. From the front tape she can look to step cleanly and open her account in a tricky contest.

HIGH CLOUD LASS (4) is generally safe from the tapes and last start at Marburg from the 10m was quickly up outside the leader applying pressure but with no lead faded after the tough run. Only beaten 6m behind JUSTABITCOCO 3 starts back, if she can bring her manners she can overturn a long winless stretch.

DAY TOURER (8) worked hard in the breeze last start and held on for the bronze behind MISS INVASION. That followed a strong finish when 2nd at Redcliffe 2 starts back and he is in the mix.

GO AHEAD MAKEMYDAY (7) was best of the chasers last start over the mobile 2040m trip t Redcliffe. Still yet to break his AP duck after 44 attempts, he gets a chance to change that here.

SELECTIONS: SCHIPPERS (2), HIGH CLOUD LASS (4), DAY TOURER (8), GO AHEAD MAKEMYDAY (7)
SUGGESTED BET: