Form Analysis: Albion Park September 25

RACE 1 

MANIFEST THE BILLI (1) has gradually improved each start and is seemingly beginning to get safer in his gait. He put in his best run yet last start when being forced to sit without cover and battling on gamely for a close second at this track and trip. If he continues to improve as he has each run this time in he is going to be hard to beat in this race. 

MAROON BELLS (4) was narrowly beaten last start after leading at this track and trip by Illusory Feat. Should be close to the speed again in this race and is likely to be fighting out the finish again if she can secure a similar run. 

NATTY PAGGER (11) was a winner four starts ago when closing best to score at this track. He generally begins quickly and safely from the stand start and has a very good association with Mathew Neilson who takes the drive again in this race. 

JUSTABITLIKESULLY (3) was able to secure a good run leaders back last start and wasn’t beaten far by Ourpetabilt and Manifest The Billi. He is well handicapped again and with a safe getaway should be fighting out the finish. 

SELECTIONS: MANIFEST THE BILLI (1), MAROON BELLS (4), NATTY PAGGER (11), JUSTABITLIKESULLY (3)

SUGGESTED BET:  MANIFEST THE BILLI (1) to win.

RACE 2 

BIGGER THE BETTOR (5) led early after showing good gate speed. He rolled along a solid tempo was able to score an impressive win. He looks to have found another race where he might be able to work across and lead in this race and if he can find the front he’s likely to prove hard to beat. 

TREMENDOUS SENSATION (6) was able to work to the lead last start and scored a good win leading all the way. She draws widest this time and may get a long way back in the run and be relying on a genuine early tempo. 

JOANS RISING STAR (4) has run third her last two outings. She ran third last start after sitting on the pegs when beaten by Credulous and Rock Supreme over the 2138. Stepping back to the 1660 should be suitable but she does draw somewhat awkwardly in this race. 

LITTLE HOOFANANNY (2) contested a strong race taken out by Epic Ernie last start at this track. She ran 8^th but was beaten just 10 metres. Should secure a good run in this race from the draw.

SELECTIONS: BIGGER THE BETTOR (5), TREMENDOUS SENSATION (6), JOANS RISING STAR (4), LITTLE HOOFANANNY (2)

SUGGESTED BET: BIGGER THE BETTOR (5) to win.

RACE 3

RALLY AROUND (6) was a winner two starts ago at Redcliffe when closing best to score. He then got back last start and couldn’t get into it when running fifth. He is likely to be forced to work at some stage in this race given his wide barrier.
 
IM BUSTED (7) hit the line powerfully late last start when running into second at this track behind Wicked Beauty. He is likely to get a long way back from the wide gate relying on there being a genuine tempo to bring him into this race. 

JUST PINNY (9) got shuffled a long way back in the run last start in a race taken out by Racana. Should get a good run through in the early stages of this race and if the race is run to suit having derived benefit from that outing last start he should be right in the finish. 

LOSTANDFOUND (8) was a winner three starts ago when leading all the way. He draws awkwardly inside the back row and will need luck at the right time to get into the finish.

SELECTIONS: RALLY AROUND (6), IM BUSTED (7), JUST PINNY (9), LOSTANDFOUND (8)

SUGGESTED BET: JUST PINNY (9) each way.

RACE 4 

THE BLUE WREN (2) has good early speed and should be able to zip across to the lead in this race before having options. She was racing well prior to her latest two starts when running three consecutive second placings. Her best is good enough for a race of this nature. 

GIDUP CAPTAIN (6) was able to run on best to score over Signor Jujon at Redcliffe after racing off the speed. He should secure a good run off the speed again in this race and if the race is run to suit he should be getting into it late again. 

WILLIEWA LIGHTNING (5) is down in grade off some of his better efforts. He was a winner five starts ago at Redcliffe when able to lead all the way. He has options in this race and should be thereabouts again.

MAJOR GENERALJUJON (8) as an older horse he seems to be best when not forced to do too much early work in his races which he appears to get the opportunity to do in this race. He can be running into it late if the gaps appear at the right time. 

SELECTIONS: THE BLUE WREN (2), GIDUP CAPTAIN (6), WILLIEWA LIGHTNING (5), MAJOR GENERALJUJON (8) 

SUGGESTED BET: GIDUP CAPTAIN (6) to win. 

RACE 5

JUSTROLLINGAROUND (6) got a long way back in the run last start and was just doing her best work through the line late. She has goo early speed and might be able to zip across and lead in a race where there doesn’t appear to be a huge amount of early speed.

COPY WRITER (1) was forced to do all the work at Redcliffe last start and was well beaten as a result. She should secure a much better run in this race and can be a big improver in this race on her recent numerical form.

SIGNOR JUJON (2) hit the line strongly last start and was just nabbed late by Gidup Captain who had been racing well leading into the race. He appears likely to secure a good run from a good draw and should be running into it late.

STONES (3) has been racing well. He wasn’t beaten far last start when held up for clear running at a crucial stage at Marburg behind My Ultimate Rudi. 

SELECTIONS: JUSTROLLINGAROUND (6), COPY WRITER (1), SIGNOR JUJON (2), STONES (3)

SUGGESTED BET: JUSTROLLINGAROUND (6) to win.

RACE 6 

CAPTAIN NEMO (1) worked hard last start at this track and distance and was just run down late by Eaglespride who has since won again. He should have the speed to drive through and lead in the early stages a position he has proved successful from numerous times previously throughout his career. Should be hard to beat.

MY ULTIMATE FELIX (8) should get a good run through on the back of Captain Nemo. Has been in excellent form and is looking to complete a hat-trick of wins in this race following one win at Redcliffe and one at this track which have both come in good time.

LENNY LINCOLN (9) was a winner at Redcliffe two starts ago when securing a good run up on speed. He then didn’t have much luck from a wide draw last start and draws much more favourably this time. 

FRANCO MACHO (5) was held up for a clear run at a vital stage last start behind Iron Clad. He is likely to get back early from the awkward draw and should be running on late. 

SELECTIONS: CAPTAIN NEMO (1), MY ULTIMATE FELIX (8), LENNY LINCOLN (9), FRANCO MACHO (5)

SUGGESTED BET: CAPTAIN NEMO (1) to win.

RACE 7

BETTORS MOON (3) has been racing well since joining the stable of Graham Dwyer. She took on Saturday night company on Saturday and wasn’t beaten far finishing fourth from a wide gate. She should be able to lead and is likely to be hard to beat. 

TACTICAL ILLUSION (1) has been racing well driven for her sit sprint capacity in recent starts. She scored a dominant win two starts ago when closing best to score over Francs For Coming. If she can secure a good run in this race just behind the speed she should be in the money again.

JAY TEE TYRON (8) was just run down two starts ago by the in form My Ultimate Felix at this track. He was able to break through for a well deserved win last start when closing over the top late to score. Should be thereabouts again from a good draw. 

MAHINDI (9) led all the way last start beating John Snow and Bettors Moon at this track. She draws to the disadvantage over Bettors Moon this time which is likely to make her task a lot tougher and she will need luck in running at some stage. 

SELECTIONS: BETTORS MOON (3), TACTICAL ILLUSION (1), JAY TEE TYRON (8), MAHINDI (9)

SUGGESTED BET: BETTORS MOON (3) & TACTICAL ILLUSION (1) quinella. 

RACE 8

LITTLE SURFER GIRL (5) scored a good win two starts ago after getting the right run in the race behind the leader at this track over the 1660. She then took on a tougher field last start in a race taken out by Jay Tee Tyron and wasn’t beaten far. She should be able to get forward and be right in the finish the right trip.

ABSOLUTELY STOKED (6) has been in very good form and was able to break through for a win at this track and trip two starts ago racing behind the leader and using the sprint lane to score. She should be able to work forward and race up on speed.

IDEAL DESIRE (11) put in a much better effort last start over the 2040 at Redcliffe when doing a lot of the work and running second. She may be put into the race at some stage and if she can replicate her last start effort she should be in the finish again.

SAINT LOUIS BEAT (10) was making up late ground last start over the 2040 at Redcliffe. If the race is run to suit he can be running into it late. 

SELECTIONS: LITTLE SURFER GIRL (5), ABSOLUTELY STOKED (6), IDEAL DESIRE (11), SAINT LOUIS BEAT (10)

SUGGESTED BET: ABSOLUTELY STOKED (6) to win.