Form Analysis: Redcliffe November 22

RACE 1 

ALTA WILLIAM (7) has been racing in strong company in NSW having run a good placing last start over the 2300 in good time behind Itjoe. He should get a good run through on the back of a gate speed horse in My Ultimate Carter and gets every chance from there. 

MY ULTIMATE CARTER (1) has been racing well without much luck. He finally draws a better gate and can look to make the most of that. He is yet to lead this year and has run well from that position in the past so should prove hard to run down.

BRONSKI ZULU (9) has returned to form in recent outings scoring a good win five starts ago shooting through up the inside to score once the gap appeared. He should be able to secure a reasonable run in this race off a back row draw and can be running on late. 

CONGO LINE (6) wasn’t suited last start in a slowly run race when drawing on the back row and getting back in the run. He looks likely to get back in the run again in this race and will be looking to run into it late. 

SELECTIONS: ALTA WILLIAM (7), MY ULTIMATE CARTER (1), BRONSKI ZULU (9), CONGO LINE (6)

SUGGESTED BET: MY ULTIMATE CARTER (1) & ALTA WILLIAM (7) Quinella.

RACE 2 

WITHDISTINCTION (1) has good gate speed and should be able to drive through and lead up this race. He rated fast time at Canberra two starts ago when leading all the way before not having things go his way last start when being caught wide and over racing in the race. Can bounce back in this race.

RESILIENT (2) was able to zip across early before taking a sit on Bold Medley Jujon and holding off My Ultimate Mario for second. He draws favourably in this race and should be able to secure a good run. 

MIGHTY JOLT (4) was well beaten behind a quality horse in Bold Medley Jujon in tough conditions last start. He draws awkwardly in this race and may get back or be forced to do work at some stage which could make it tricky.

HELLO I TEA (7) should he able to get a good run through on the back of the likely leader Withdistinction. He has poor recent numerical form but hasn’t had a lot of luck when its come to draws and appears to have been dealt a much more favourable draw in this race.

SELECTIONS: WITHDISTINCTION (1), RESILIENT (2), MIGHTY JOLT (4), HELLO I TEA (7)

SUGGESTED BET: WITHDISTINCTION (1) to win.

RACE 3

BETTERTHANCASH (2) is a high speed horse that was recently able to upset one of the best horses in the country in Swayzee. He should secure a good run from the gate and wasn’t beaten far last time out in a 1.48 mile rate. 

MYDADSAID (1) has excellent early speed and may look to drive through and lead this race in the early stages. He led and dominated running fast time two starts ago before heading for a break and trialling well prior to returning from a spell. He then drew poorly outside the front row in the Be Good Johnny Sprint and was well beaten. He looks hard to beat in this race. 

ROCKET CITY (3) has good gate speed but does draw awkwardly outside of two gate speed horses which may see him forced to work in the early stages. He has been incredibly impressive since joining the stable of Donny Smith and continued his good form when returning last start to lead all the way and beat Catseye Beach.

ARODA (8) scored a good FFA victory three starts ago when starting from a wide draw. He looks likely to get a good run through in the early stages of the race and should be close enough in the run if the race is run to suit.

SELECTIONS: BETTERTHANCASH (2), MYDADSAID (1), ROCKET CITY (3), ARODA (8)

SUGGESTED BET: MYDADSAID (1) each way.

RACE 4 

TINDER SURPRISE (10) has been taking on stronger races in NSW and lands in the stable of Narissa Elkins. His latest outing he was able to run third behind Royal Division and Franco Tyson which looks strong form for a race of this nature.

HOT ROD HARRY (8) has always been a horse that has shown good ability while struggling to put it all together. He should get a good run through on the back of Denver Colorado who is likely to attempt to hold a forward position. He can be running into it late if the race is run to suit.

MACH ASSASSIN (9) was able to run fourth last start at this track when appearing to secure a good run. He may have derived benefit from that outing and should secure a good run in the race without having to do too much early work.

DENVER COLARADO (2) was able to secure the ideal run on the leaders back last time out and proved too good there. He may be able to lead in this race but seemingly steps up in class and will need to have been better for the last start outing.

SELECTIONS: TINDER SURPRISE (10), HOT ROD HARRY (8), MACH ASSASSIN (9), DENVER COLARADO (2)

SUGGESTED BET: TINDER SURPRISE (10) to win.

RACE 5

CALL IT BLING (5) ran well in the heat of this series when narrowly beaten by Adah Koko who was able to control things and lead all the way. He draws wide this time which doesn’t look ideally suitable. He may be forced to work early but should still run well. 

ADAH KOKO (1) was able to lead all the way in her latest two starts beating Call It Bling in the heat of this series who is likely to be one of her biggest dangers again in this race. She has the gate speed to dictate early and should be hard to run down.

MOONSHINE MILLY (6) has shown good ability in his career so far while doing plenty wrong. He appeared to put things together when sitting without cover and running well to figure in the placings. If he can continue to bring his best manners he should be in the finish again.

MAGIC JUJON (3) should be able to press forward and find a prominent position in this race. She has been racing well and was able to score a good win in the heat over Highnmighty who she was able to secure the perfect leaders back trail behind.

SELECTIONS: CALL IT BLING (5), ADAH KOKO (1), MOONSHINE MILLY (6), MAGIC JUJON (3)

SUGGESTED BET: MOONSHINE MILLY (6) to win.

RACE 6 

DISTRICT ATTORNEY (3) returned to form in a recent stand start trial when sweeping over the top to score a dominant victory. He is a speedy horse that is likely to be sat up and saved for one run at them late and should be very hard to hold out again at the track he was once able to run down Leap To Fame.

SEND IT (2) has drawn favourably and may be able to press forward and hold a prominent position. He has been best in recent times in stand starts where he generally begins fast. He can figure with the right run.

DEUS EX (1) has good gate speed and has options in the early stages. He trialled up fairly and is likely to have derived benefit from that trial. He should be thereabouts.

MANILA PLAYBOY (7) seems to be well short of his best since returning from a spell having put in three seemingly fairly plain runs by his standards. He may have been better for those outings but will need to recapture some of his better form to figure in this race. 

SELECTIONS: DISTRICT ATTORNEY (3), SEND IT (2), DEUS EX (1), MANILA PLAYBOY (7)

SUGGESTED BET: DISTRICT ATTORNEY (3) to win.

RACE 7

BASILISK BOB (6) won well last start when leading all of the way in a heat of this series. He draws widest this time but does have the key draw advantage on his main rivals and can look to hold that by pressing forward in the early stages. Looks hardest to beat.

HELL IM SMOOTH (11) was forced to do the work last start at this track a lot of the way and just came up short when beaten by Zac Daniels. Given the very moderate tempo the breeze position may not have been as detrimental to his chances as it usually is and he does draw outside the back row in this race which looks to make it tough.

CEDAR CREEK FALLS (8) ran on well into second behind Basilisk Bob. She should get a good run through in this race and if the race is run to suit she can be in the money again. 

ZAC DANIELS (7) was a good winner last start when holding off Hell Im Smooth who is likely to go around one of the better supported runners in this race. He draws awkwardly this time inside the back row and will need luck to get into the race. 

SELECTIONS: BASILISK BOB (6), CEDAR CREEK FALLS (8), ZAC DANIELS (7)

SUGGESTED BET: BASILISK BOB (6) to win.

RACE 8

WORKS FOR ME (2) has been racing in good form without having been able to break through for a win in recent starts. She isn’t a horse blessed with much gate speed which often sees her left to do the work in races. She should secure a good run from the draw in this race and is going to be hard to beat in this race. 

BROOKFIELDS BEAUTY (1) comes into this race fourth up from a spell and is likely to have derived a lot of benefit from her recent outings. She elected to zip off the gate last start and wasn’t beaten far in fast time behind Zahra Lou. She looks suited from an ideal draw.

BETTORS MOON (5) was forced to do the work last start outside the leader and battled on well for second behind Miss Froufrou who was able to return to form. This race looks tougher and she looks set to do the work again which may sees her face a tough task. 

IDEAL ASSASSIN (3) has brilliant gate speed and may look to zip across in the early stages of this race. She has been racing well and if she is able to secure the right run she should be thereabouts.

SELECTIONS: WORKS FOR ME (2), BROOKFIELDS BEAUTY (1), BETTORS MOON (5), IDEAL ASSASSIN (3)

SUGGESTED BET: WORKS FOR ME (2) to win.

RACE 9

GOLDEN FIRE (1) has very good early speed and should be able to drive through and lead before having options from there. She scored an impressive recent win when finding the leaders back and shooting up the sprint lane past Sweet Mia to score.

WINDY HILL TARA (2) should be able to secure a good run in this race from a good draw. She has options at the start with no back row runners and should be close enough. She ran well last start when finishing fifth behind Golden Fire in a strong mares race. 

SERGIOS ROCKET (3) ran well behind Sinabun last start when getting back and running on late at Albion Park. She should be able to secure a good run in the small field and can be running into it late again.

SWEET AGENDA (4) has good early speed and may elect to press forward in the early stages. If she finds the fence in a race of this nature she will run a competitive race, if she is left without cover she may struggle to figure.

SELECTIONS: GOLDEN FIRE (1), WINDY HILL TARA (2), SERGIOS ROCKET (3), SWEET AGENDA (4)

SUGGESTED BET: WINDY HILL TARA (2) to place.