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  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park Dec 6

Form Analysis: Albion Park Dec 6

RACE ONE

HEADWIN (2)
was a Marburg winner 3 starts back when sent to the front from gate 4 and once in control he had them all chasing in scoring a big win. Beaten by gate 6 at Redcliffe at his next start, he met a much stronger line-up last start and from gate 2 gets every chance to take them all the way.

FUTURE FUN (11) will strip fitter following his return to the track last start when 1st up from a spell. Taken back from gate 6 at Redcliffe he hit the line strongly to get within 5m of the winner MY ULTIMATE JOE. Another tough gate hurts but he can be charging late again.

GIGANTIC JASPER (8) will need luck in the run but if able to force his away into open space he is a hope of chiming into the minors. Rundown after leading from gate 6 last start the cosy trip is a plus.

COWGIRLCHICK (9) was only 5m from the winner last start at Marburg after being buried away 3 back on the pegs and never really getting a crack. She has podium claims from the 2nd line.

SELECTIONS: HEADWIN (2), FUTURE FUN (11), GIGANTIC JASPER (8), COWGIRLCHICK (9)
SUGGESTED BET: HEADWIN (2) to win

RACE TWO

TRAIN WRECK (9) will be further tightened following his latest start when 3rd up from a long break. Starting from gate 4 over the 1780m trip he was hitting the line strongly wide off the track to get within 3m of the winner WEE JIMMY. This is no harder and with the added fitness can land the win.

CHEYENNE WARRIOR (3) was snagged back last start from gate 3 and ended up a long way back in the run with IM NORMA JEAN dictating from the front. From the gate he can look to press forward to settle closer to the front and from there will be well positioned to challenge.

ROYAL TAZ (12) has no favours as an ODM runner in the full field but this race is one of the easiest he has seen in some time. Making an early error last start, if he can sort his manners he is threat.

MODERN THOUGHT (6) is winless in over 12 months and while that doesn’t look set to change here, she is a place hope. With good early speed she can slide across to find position and hold on.

SELECTIONS: TRAIN WRECK (9), CHEYENNE WARRIOR (3), ROYAL TAZ (12), MODERN THOUGHT (6)
SUGGESTED BET: TRAIN WRECK (9) to win

RACE THREE

IMPETUOSO (3) started in red figures over the Redcliffe 1780m trip 4 starts back and from gate 2 went straight to the front to take control and cruise home to a comfortable 19m victory. No closer than gate 5 in 3 starts since that victory he gets his chance to pounce on the pegs and dictate.

JUST TOMMY (5) has now started twice in Qld following a 12 month break between his career debut in Vic. His 1st up 2nd was a nice effort in much tougher company and then last start was forced to work extra hard from the 2nd line at Marburg. With added experience and fitness he can challenge.

NON PASSARE (1) went to the front from gate 2 last start at Redcliffe and after setting the tempo was run-down in the closing stages. With a cosy trip he can look to fill the minors.
GOTOTHEMOON (8) will need a slice of luck from the inside a position that he has shown to not be entirely comfortable in. He can do some work in his races and if able to find space has place hopes.

SELECTIONS: IMPETUOSO (3), JUST TOMMY (5), NON PASSARE (1), GOTOTHEMOON (8)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE FOUR

ARK PATROL (8)
will need some factors to work in his favour, but with the right scenario can look to make the closing shot a winning one. He couldn’t make ground in a strong 3rd split from back in the pack when resuming 2 starts back and last start was in a much stronger race. Can claim this.

ULTIMATE RISK (4) was 1st up in Qld last start at Redcliffe when starting in red figures from gate 1 over the 1780m trip. Looking to take them all the way she was gunned down in the closing stages after racing keenly and at one stage over 30m out in front. If she can settle she is a big threat.


MISSINMEMATE (1) looked to lead them up over the mile last start but couldn’t see it out when fading out late. That was a stronger line up and with the options from the gate can chime in.

SIR SEMPER FIDELIS (12) worked to the front from gate 3 last start at Marburg and despite rolling away from the pegs was able to hold on for the prize. The gate hurts but he has exotic hopes.

SELECTIONS: ARK PATROL (8), ULTIMATE RISK (4), MISSINMEMATE (1), SIR SEMPER FIDELIS (12)
SUGGESTED BET: ARK PATROL (8) to win

RACE FIVE

TELL THE FUTURE (6) has won 2 of her past 3 starts since joining Ross Fletcher and despite landing a tricky gate can look to build on her turnaround. Starting from the 2nd line last time out at Redcliffe over the 1780, she found the line strongly to claim a 6m win. This is tougher but she in form.

SHERIFF JUJON (3) will strip fitter from his latest offering when returning from a break with a tidy win from gate 6 at Redcliffe. Taken back early he finished strongly to arrive for a 5.5m victory. He had been racing much stronger opponents last campaign and looms as big danger here.

WRITEABOUTCHELSEA (1) took them all the way from gate 1 over the sprint trip at Redcliffe 5 starts back and has been dealt wide gates in each run since. With good early speed she can look to capitalise.

LETHAL PROMISE (8) should be the beneficiary of a great run in transit here and if able to find space with some momentum can look to surge home. Never far from the action he will be ready to strike.

SELECTIONS: TELL THE FUTURE (6), SHERIFF JUJON (3), WRITEABOUTCHELSEA (1), LETHAL PROMISE (8)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-3-6-8

RACE SIX

IM FREE FALLING (2)
has been runner-up in 3 of his past 5 starts, the past 2 at Redcliffe when run down in the closing stages in each. Last start over the AP mile he was trying to fight them off when grabbed up the passing lane and beaten a half-head. This looks his chance to hold on for the prize.

BLUE MOON RISING (10) has gone winless for over 2 years now however strikes the easiest race he possibly has ever lined up in. He took on a qualifier last start when not far from DANCE FOR GLORY. Despite the gate he is a huge danger and can throw down the challenge.

VINNIE THE POET (1) was a passing lane winner at Redcliffe 4 starts back and from his gate will be coiled and ready to strike in a similar manner. Not suited last start when too far back from gate 5, he will be taking the closing shot here.

COLOMBIAN GOLD (11) weaved a passage to score from gate 6 at Redcliffe 3 starts back and has come up with 2nd line gates in 2 runs since. With the right cart home she has claims for the exotics.

SELECTIONS: IM FREE FALLING (2), BLUE MOON RISING (10), VINNIE THE POET (1), COLOMBIAN GOLD (11)
SUGGESTED BET: IM FREE FALLING / BLUE MOON RISING (2 / 10) Quinella

RACE SEVEN

ADRIFT (12) lands a tricky alley but strikes a race where there should be some good front line tempo that can see him ready to work home late. Too strong for them 2 starts back when circling to the breeze, he was buried in the run last start in a qualifier and found the line strongly to score. Despite the gate he can arrive.

HERITAGE BEACH (1) hast started 3 times now since returning from a long break and shown steady improvement in each. The run 2 back when 2nd up was a nice effort when facing the breeze and finishing 6m from MACH SAM. Too far back last start, from the gate he can give this a shake.

ONE MANS PASS (8) has been costly of late after being a beaten fav in 4 of his past 5 starts. Too far back from gate 5 last start, he should get a cosy trip here and be looking for space in the stretch.

IMA KENNEDY TWO (5) gets in here on a class drop after taking in qualifiers at her past 2 starts. From the gate she can look to slide across to find position and is in the mix here.

SELECTIONS: ADRIFT (12), HERITAGE BEACH (1), ONE MANS PASS (8), IMA KENNEDY TWO (5)
SUGGESTED BET: ADRIFT (12) to win

RACE EIGHT

BELLIGERENCE (9)
should take further benefit from her latest run when 2nd up from a break and since landing in Qld. After not having the cleanest passage when 1st up, she faded out after looking to lead them up last start. With some front line speed and the return to the bigger track, she can turn her fortunes around.

KURAHAUPO GAMBLER (1) will be tightened from his latest outing when returning from a break, although he had trialled three times. Setting the tempo from gate 1 over the Redcliffe 2040m trip, the closing 800m was solid when grabbed late by ADRIFT. He will be trying to fight them off.

MR MEDDLE (8) will be keen on the 1 looking for an all the way win as that will have him primed and ready to take the passing lane shot. He took them all the way to score 2 starts back and was luckless last start. The cosy run will suit.

THE MUSE (10) resumes from a break and was meeting some much stronger opponents when last campaigning. A tough 2nd 2 starts back when cutting the breeze, she will take benefit from the run

SELECTIONS: BELLIGERENCE (9), KURAHAUPO GAMBLER (1), MR MEDDLE (8), THE MUSE (10)
SUGGESTED BET: BELLIGERENCE (9) each-way