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  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park 20 Mar

Form Analysis: Albion Park 20 Mar

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON - @DASHMAN01

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter.

RACE ONE

MAYBETOTHMAX (9)
has hit the ground running in Qld with 5 top 3 finishes from 5 attempts that has included 3 wins. Last start he worked around the field off a 10m handicap and worked hard I the run when 3rd behind the passing lane winner GIACOMO. He looks to have their measure in this.

SPIRIT WALKER (2) has come through the recent McNeil Series where she was off 20m and finished best of the chasing pack to get within 2.5m of the winner NEEDLE. She was a winner of the 2nd round of heats and from the good gate can look to capitalise.

SELECTIONS: MAYBETOTHMAX (9), SPIRIT WALKER (2), SCORCHED (4), QUIETLY SPOKEN (5)
SUGGESTED BET: MAYBETOTHMAX (9) to win

RACE TWO

JOSSIE JAMES (3) ran home strongly to claim a victory here 4 starts back and has been runner-up in all 3 starts since that. Last time out in a Rising Stars final she settled behind the leader off gate 1 and held 2nd behind THREE OF THE BEST. With running line cover she can sweep over the top.

SOMEPARTYSOMEWHERE (5) returned from a 3 start Sydney campaign and was freshened before his latest outing here last week. Sent straight to the front from gate 4 he took them all the way over the 2138m. Back to the mile he can find the front again and will take some beating.

SELECTIONS: JOSSIE JAMES (3), SOMEPARTYSOMEWHERE (5), THAT’S HOW WEROLL (6), TOMEARA (7)
SUGGESTED BET: JOSSIE JAMES (3) to win

RACE THREE

STATEMENT MADE (1) has returned from a spell in great touch and was a stylish winner last start from gate 5 when pressing forward to find the front and once in control was too strong including a 55.5 closing 800m. This is a tougher test but from the gate he gets his chance to take the step.

ALWAYS MY MATE (11) found the line strongly 4 starts back and grabbed the silver behind BULL MARKET. He followed that with a 2nd behind the flying MAKO BANNER. His latest run was a top effort with excuses when 4m off the winner and with this looking an easier line-up he can challenge.

SELECTIONS: STATEMENT MADE (1), ALWAYS MY MATE (11), ARROKEEFE (9), WITH AUTHORITY (2)
SUGGESTED BET:  Exotics 1-2-9-11

RACE FOUR

REGAL NIGHTSHADE (2)
looked to take them all the way 4 starts back over the 2138m trip when grabbed late behind THE HARLEM HAMMER. He has been beaten at the barriers his past 2 starts including last week when taken back from gate 7. He can pounce on the front here and cash-in.

THE CARINGBAH KID (6) started from gate 1 over the 2138m trip 2 starts back and after holding the front early released the speed before finishing 8m from the winner GET IN THE GROOVE. Forget his last start at Redcliffe and back to AP in this field can issue a challenge.

SELECTIONS: REGAL NIGHTSHADE (2), THE CARINGBAH KID (6), DONTBEFOOLISH (1), DOMESTIC ART (5)
SUGGESTED BET: REGAL NIGHTSHADE (2) to win

RACE FIVE

KOTARE YORK (1) mixes his form but does his best when able to roll along in front and from this gate he gets conditions to suit. His run was solid on Sat night from gate 6 when taken back from gate 6 to find a position and found the line strongly in a sub 56 second panel run from the front. He gets his chance.

MONARKMAC (8) did some early work in pressing forward before receiving cover but faded out late. That followed a tidy effort in claiming company when hitting the line in good order. He should get the cosy trip here and be ready to issue a challenge when the gaps appear.

SELECTIONS: KOTARE YORK (1), MONARKMAC (8), TALLYHO BROMAC (9), JESSICA AMBER (5)
SUGGESTED BET: KOTARE YORK (1) to win

RACE SIX

ROCK WITH SAM (11)
has the 2nd line to overcome here but he looks to have an edge over this field. After 3 runs back from a break the latest run can be ignored when he struck trouble in the run and was pulled up in a Rising Stars Final when working into the race in good style. He should be too good for this field.

BETTOR BE LUCKY (6) will be tightened from 1 run back from a break which was just his 1st run for his 4YO season. He worked his way through his 3YO grades in good style and 3 back was a Rising Stars heat winner defeating TIMMO TIME. His return run was strong when doing plenty of work and he can feature.

SELECTIONS: ROCK WITH SAM (11), BETTOR BE LUCKY (6), BRONZE ECSTASY (1), IM NORMA JEAN (2)
SUGGESTED BET: ROCK WITH SAM (11) to win

RACE SEVEN

MAYWYNS COURAGE (5) showed any amount of talent in his 2YO term but also displayed he knew how to do a few things wrong as well. He has started to put it together this campaign and shoots for the hat-trick here. A strong heat winner from gate 7 when finding the front he can spear out again here and will be fighting them off late.

PHOTOZEN (3) produced an eye-catcher first-up for his 3YO term in the heats of this series when he attacked the line strongly to get within a half-neck of MAYWYNS COURAGE. He showed good gate speed in his 2YO term and with a dip for the front here can settle close to the speed and be ready to pounce.

SELECTIONS: MAYWYNS COURAGE (5), PHOTOZEN (3), COREY WILLIAM (10), SOMWHEREOVARAINBOW (8)
SUGGESTED BET: Flexi trifecta 3-5-8-10