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  4. Form Analysis: Redcliffe Aug 16

Form Analysis: Redcliffe Aug 16

RACE ONE

FORTES IN FIDES (2) dug in for the fight at Marburg 2 starts back after facing the breeze and followed that with a run full of merit after making an error in the run to the first turn. This is his best gate for some time and he gets every chance in this line-up.

DONOMOOR (4) cut the breeze at Marburg last start and was in for the fight when holding 2nd behind the all-the-way winner LIVING FREE.  He worked home in good order here 2 starts back from the 2nd line and can be in the mix here.

DALLAS COWGIRL (3) has started 4 times now following a 12 month break and should be approaching a fitness peak. 3rd here 2 starts back she can settle handy and has place claims.

ZED EXPRESS (9) did early work last start and the opted for running line cover when chasing home behind MINI MIRACLE. He has been meeting some better types and with even luck can feature.

SELECTIONS: FORTES IN FIDES (2), DONOMOOR (4), DALLAS COWGIRL (3), ZED EXPRESS (9)
SUGGESTED BET: FORTES IN FIDES (2) to win

RACE TWO

GOTOTHEMOON (1) got it all wrong last start and was banished to the trials. Earning his ticket back through the process he can appreciate the improved gate after being no closer than gate 6 at his past 5 starts. In an open contest he can look to take his shot.

MISS ROB ROY (7) will be sweating on the 1 looking to dictate and if that scenario eventuates will be ready to take the closing shot. This will be easier than her last start when down the line behind THE FLOYD at AP and the cosy trip helps.

CHEYENNE WARRIOR (8) found the line in good style last start from gate 8 in finishing 10m from the winner FRANKS FORTUNE. With even luck in transit a forward showing can be expected.

PURE MADNESS (2) has started 4 times back from a break and her latest start was the most encouraging of those. Looking to take them all the way she was grabbed late and can take an early shot again in this.

SELECTIONS: GOTOTHEMOON (1), MISS ROB ROY (7), CHEYENNE WARRIOR (8) PURE MADNESS (2)
SUGGESTED BET: CHEYENNE WARRIOR (8) each-way

RACE THREE

SNAKES N LADDERS (1) has been meeting stronger opponents than what he faces here and with the benefit of the gate is going to be right in the action. Buried away from this gate last start he was flashing home late to grab 3rd to REGAL NIGHTSHADE. With a sharp finish he can be ready to strike.

STYLISH FEELING (7) will need a slice of luck from this gate but with the right luck can be ready to take a closing shot. She flashed home from well back here 3 starts back to grab the silver and again last start was hitting the line well after snagging back from gate 6. The cosy trip suits.

UNASSUMING CHAMP (2) was attacking the line strongly last start and was within 2m of the winner MINI MIRACLE. An all the way winner here 3 starts back from gate 1 he will be gripping on.

DONT BE JEALOUS (5) was forced to do her chare of work in the run last start and battled on gamely in holding 4th. Her run here 3 starts back was a top effort when fighting hard and she can chime in to the exotics.

SELECTIONS: SNAKES N LADDERS (1), STYLISH FEELING (7), UNASSUMING CHAMP (2), DONT BE JEALOUS (5)
SUGGESTED BET: SNAKES N LADDERS (1) to win

RACE FOUR

THE FORMULA ONE (8) has been freshened since his last outing when finishing mid-field behind KATNISS. Starting fav here 3 starts back from gate 6 he was forced to work in the run when beaten into 2nd. He strikes an open contest here and with even luck can take his chance.

FAMOUS SHOES (1) has not been suited from wide gates at his past 2 starts and finished well back. Assess his chances on his run 4 starts back when looking to lead throughout from gate 2 at AP and with the benefit of the gate can be an improver when lighting the lamps.

GOTTA GO RALPHIE (5) is approaching a 12 month winless streak and will be 2nd up here. Fading off after restraining from gate 4 last start he can be sharper this time around.

LUCKY NED PEPPER (7) found the pocket trail from gate 2 at Marburg 2 starts back and with the soft trip held on to claim the bronze. His latest effort was solid behind REGAL NIGHTSHADE and with the right run will be coiled and ready to strike.

SELECTIONS: THE FORMULA ONE (8), FAMOUS SHOES (1), GOTTA GO RALPHIE (5), LUCKY NED PEPPER (7)
SUGGESTED BET: Flexi trifecta 1-5-7-8

RACE FIVE

THE NEXT STAR (9) was a winner here 3 starts back when sent forward from gate 5 over the 2040m trip and with the soft run then finished best along the passing lane to score. She followed that with a tidy effort when wide off the track and with front-line tempo can finish over the top.

PRECIOUS CULLEN (5) has wins at 3 of his past 4 starts with his latest victory a top effort after doing plenty of work when wide out and pressing forward looking for position. His win here 3 starts back was a nice effort when pressing forward from gate 4 and he can throw down a big challenge in this.

OUR CHAMPION (1) ran home strongly here 2 starts back after being shuffled right out of the action and then last start didn’t have the cleanest passage. From the gate he can be ready to strike.

FALCON VISTA (10) was 2nd across the line her last week after securing the pocket trail but was promoted after the ‘winner’ was disqualified. With even luck in transit he can feature.

SELECTIONS: THE NEXT STAR (9), PRECIOUS CULLEN (5), OUR CHAMPION (1), FALCON VISTA (10)
SUGGESTED BET: THE NEXT STAR (9) to win

RACE SIX

MAHALO (2) was sent forward from the 2nd line here last week and with a bit of crafty steering was able to angle into the pocket trail which proved the winning move. Only 2m from MACH TORQUE over the AP mile 2 starts back, she lands the gate to take every advantage.

INCITER (9) worked hard in the run at Marburg 2 starts back and the effort told in finishing 2nd from the 2nm line gate. Controlling from the front last start he took them all the way to score. The gate hurts his chances but he can still make a difference here.

LATIN BEATS (3) was working home wide off the track last start and finished best to arrive for a head victory. That followed a tidy effort behind REDDY FIRE and with the good alley she can feature.

DAPPER (1) gets his chance after some sub-par efforts in recent weeks. Buried away 2 starts back he was 7m from the winner DOWNAN OUT and with the cosy trip can feature.

SELECTIONS: MAHALO (2), INCITER (9), LATIN BEATS (3), DAPPER (1)
SUGGESTED BET: MAHALO (2) to win

RACE SEVEN

GRINYDONTCHA (2) has started 4 time since returning from a spell with the past 3 no closer than gate 5. At her return run from this gate she was hitting the line strongly to be within 2m of the winner SPLASH OF GOLD.  She can look to settle handy here and gets her chance in an open race.

UNDERTHEKILT (1) looked to take them all the way at AP last start from gate 1. Getting keen in front he couldn’t see it out when mid-field behind THE FLOYD. This is an easier assignment and from the gate will take them deep into the stretch.

FRANKS FORTUNE (5) turned around a string of ordinary performances last start when able to find the pocket trail and then take the passing lane shot to score. With the confidence of that win he can feature here.

SCOTT TOM (7) was buried away on the markers from a 2nd line gate last start and chased home to fill the F4. He will enjoy a cosy trip here and can chime into the exotics again.

SELECTIONS: GRINYDONTCHA (2), UNDERTHEKILT (1), FRANKS FORTUNE (5), SCOTT TOM (7)
SUGGESTED BET: GRINYDONTCHA / UNDERTHEKILT (1/2) Quinella

RACE EIGHT

IM FREE FALLING (3) was a winner here 5 starts back when rolling to the front from gate 2 and taking control. 3rd here 2 starts back after flashing home strongly behind COURAGEOUS LEO, he can look to take the early shot and if finding the pegs will take plenty of catching.

THE GUN ROCKSTAR (2) will be hustling looking to protect the inside running in the early stages. Forced to race tough in the breeze last start, his run at AP 2 starts back was a tidy effort when 6m to VETTEL after opting for the trail. He is right in the fight.

SHADOW PASS (4) changes stables and will be lining up for Donny Smith for the first time. Only beaten a head here 3 starts back after looking to take them all the way, he can go close.

JAX NAVARO (5) was 2nd up from a long break 2 starts back and from gate 1 took the pocket trail to finish best along the passing lane to score. The gate makes it tricky but he can feature.

SELECTIONS: IM FREE FALLING (3), THE GUN ROCKSTAR (2), SHADOW PASS (4), JAX NAVARO (5)
SUGGESTED BET: IM FREE FALLING (3) to win

RACE NINE

IOWNATURBO (7) will need plenty of luck from this gate and will be sweating on the 1 looking for an all-the-way win. Buried to 3 back last start she was charging in the closing stages to get within 8m of the winner JANUARY. Coiled and ready to strike look for her swooping late.

THUNDER MAC (1) shoots for the hat-trick after wins at AP and here on the triangle. Both wins have come after securing peg-line position and enjoying the cosy trip. With the options from the gate he looks to be a huge threat.

COURAGEOUS LEO (5) has the wide gate to overcome, but this race looks well within reach. Last start from gate 10 he powered home to score by a head margin. He is a huge threat in this.

CALCAVADO (6) chalked up another minor last start to keep his amazing season ticking over. He found the line strongly last start when 2m from POMPIDOU and will be right in the action again in this.
 
SELECTIONS: IOWNATURBO (7), THUNDER MAC (1), COURAGEOUS LEO (5), CALCAVADO (6)
SUGGESTED BET: IOWNATURBO (7) to win