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  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park 9 Feb

Form Analysis: Albion Park 9 Feb

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter. 

RACE ONE

ELENIARK (6)
returned from a freshen here on Tues and was strong to the line to get within 2m of victory, her condition just fading in the closing stages. She is a talented mare that was looking for a hat-trick in that run and despite the wide gate she should be too classy here.

MACHIN OUT (1) was 1st up from a break without a trial here 10 days back and should take good benefit from that run. Starting from gate 3 he settled with running line cover to hit the line in good order. From the ace he will get the cosy ride and take the last shot.

SELECTIONS: ELENIARK (6), MACHIN OUT (1), JANGO FETT (2)
SUGGESTED BET: ELENIARK (6) to win

RACE TWO

THREE OF THE BEST (3) has been freshened since a beaten fav when 4th to ELENIARK back in mid-December. Handing over the front in that race he didn’t get the cleanest shot when 9m in arrears. He can press forward to be 1st to the pegs that will open the options and he should be too good.

GET IN THE GROOVE (5) returns from a 6 month break and comes into this with a tidy trial to warm up for her return. Last seen when beaten 3m behind the talented MATTGREGOR, that followed a 3rd behind the smart mare DELIGHTFUL MEMPHIS. Should improve on her achievement in this.

SELECTIONS: THREE OF THE BEST (3), GET IN THE GROOVE (5), POMPIDOU (4), WEE JIMMY (1)
SUGGESTED BET: THREE OF THE BEST (3) to win

RACE THREE

STATEMENT PLEASE (8) has been runner-up in 3 of 5 appearances this season and last start was beaten 1m behind ARK PATROL after releasing the lead from gate 1. As the sole 2nd line runner she can get away from the pegs early if needed and in this line-up she looks to get every chance.

GRIZZLY MONTANA (1) was taken back from gate 6 last start and went luck hunting along the inside. Finding gaps he was closing out strongly to get within 3m of the winner QUEEN ZENOBIA. With the gate advantage he has podium claims.

SELECTIONS: STATEMENT PLEASE (8), GRIZZLY MONTANA (1), DAPPER BESSIE (2), MAHALO (5)
SUGGESTED BET: STATEMENT PLEASE (8) to win

RACE FOUR

ALWAYS MY MATE (6)
started from this gate 5 runs back over this trip and was attacking the line hard to go past them for a strong win. Since that win he has started over the mile each time, the latest in Sat night company when too far back. Out to the 2138m in this look for him finishing over the top.

FEEL THE FAITH (3) has been in good touch since returning from a break with a 3m 4th to MAJESTIC MAJOR followed by a 3m 2nd to FIREBBY when finishing hard. From the gate she can settle handy and will be right in the fight.

SELECTIONS: ALWAYS MY MATE (6), FEEL THE FAITH (3), SWEET AS CANDY (1), MAGOOGAN (2)
SUGGESTED BET: ALWAYS MY MATE (6) to win

RACE FIVE

GOVINNI (2) had no problem in holding the front from gate 1 last start and once in control was never in danger. A similar winner from gate 5 here 3 starts back he can go straight to the front in this and if he can sneak a stanza they will be hard pressed running him down.

ROCKONBYE (1) finished best to arrive in time for a 2m victory over this trip 4 starts back. Her past 2 runs have been full of merit when making late ground and from the gate will be poised and ready to strike.

SELECTIONS: GOVINNI (2), ROCKONBYE (1), IMA TOP TYCOON (9), TOMEARA (7)
SUGGESTED BET: GOVINNI (2) to win

RACE SIX

LISA LINCOLN (4)
has run into some handy ones since arriving in Qld and has been runner-up to both COLT THIRTY ONE and FAME ASSURED in her past 3 starts. Sent forward from the 2nd line last start she worked hard which didn’t suit. Fired off the arm here she can go to the front and dictate.

ONLY ONE PROMISE (1) was forced to work hard in the run last start when forcing his way to the front over the 2138m trip but couldn’t repel AQUA MISS to finish 3m away. He hit the line well when 4th to FAME ASSURED 2 starts back and will be in the mix.
 

SELECTIONS:  LISA LINCOLN (4), ONLY ONE PROMISE (1), LUCKY UNLUCKY (2), TORQUE FEELS GOOD (8)
SUGGESTED BET: LISA LINCOLN (4) to win

RACE SEVEN

FLOYD MAYWEATHER (3) has been in the money at each of his past 3 starts including a last start 3rd to OUR MELS DREAM in the claiming challenge final. In the heats of that series he was a passing lane 2nd to GOTTA GLOW and can land the first blow to find the pegs here which avails the options.

GOTTA GLOW (9) was claimed out of the final last start and lines up here for the Chantal Turpin barn. Shooting for a hat-trick in the final she rolled forward early and forced her way to the front before being grabbed late. Sent forward again here she will be fighting hard.

SELECTIONS: FLOYD MAYWEATHER (3), GOTTA GLOW (9), OUR MELS DREAM (7), BUY CHEVRON DIRECT (10)
SUGGESTED BET: FLOYD MAYWEATHER (3) to win

RACE EIGHT

EXCEPTIONAL MACH (5)
has found his touch again with wins at 3 of his past 4 and shoots for a three-peat here. He was never in danger over the 2138m trip last start and steps back to the mile here where he can spear out top find the pegs and look to go wire to wire.

MAJOR KIWI (3) lands a tidy gate for the 1st time in his past 5 starts where he has been closing out in good style but unable to land the knock-out blow. He worked home nicely last start behind OUR MELS DREAM and from the gate can be closer to the action to issue a challenge.

SELECTIONS: EXCEPTIONAL MACH (5), MAJOR KIWI (3), RAESAWINNER (11), STIRLING WILLIAM (7)
SUGGESTED BET: EXCEPTIONAL MACH (5) to win