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  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park Feb 2

Form Analysis: Albion Park Feb 2

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON 

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter. 

RACE ONE

SURFACE TO AIR (2)
was a commanding winner here 4 starts back when pressing to the front and keeping the tempo on all the way and posting a 37m victory. Run-down when looking to repeat that at his next start, his chances rest on a mid-race breather and provided he can, than he is up to this.

ROCKONBYE (3) should be able to secure a nice run in transit here and be ready to peel off cover and be looking for the last shot. 3 starts back she did that and closed out in good order to arrive in time. A 2m 2nd to CHARMS ON A ROLL with the last shot has her ready to swoop late here.

SELECTIONS: SURFACE TO AIR (2), ROCKONBYE (3), COVERT BEAUTY (5), TOMEARA (8)
SUGGESTED BET: SURFACE TO AIR (2) to win

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RACE TWO

EXCEPTIONAL MACH (1) has 2 wins in his past 3 starts with the miss when run-down after leading them up in the King of the Claimers Final. Last start off gate 1 over the mile he had no problems holding the front and closed out strongly in a 27.7 panel. He will be leading them up and looks hard to run-down.

RAESAWINNER (8) went back from gate 4 last start and saved for 1 run came with a dazzling sprint in a small field to arrive in time for half-head victory. He is drawn to get the cosy trip here and will be ready to take his shot when the passing lane presents to issue his slick sprint.

SELECTIONS: EXCEPTIONAL MACH (1), RAESAWINNER (8), BIO MARINUS (4), COMPLY OR DIE (5)
SUGGESTED BET: EXCEPTIONAL MACH (1) to win

RACE THREE

GOVINNI (1) speared out from gate 5 here 2 starts back and once in front controlled the tempo and held on to win by a head. Last start in an Aspirational he found top from gate 2 but the early burn told and he faded. From gate 1 and the absence of any mid-race pressure he can go wire to wire.

BACK PAGE NEWS (8) has placed in 5 of 8 runs since returning from a spell and lands the gate to get the cosy trip. 2 starts back at Redcliffe when sent forward from gate 4 he did some work to find the front and grabbed late to go under by a half-neck. He will be poised for the last shot at the leader.

SELECTIONS: GOVINNI (1), BACK PAGE NEWS (8), THE NEXT STAR (3), LIVING GRAND (7)
SUGGESTED BET: GOVINNI (1) to win

RACE FOUR

ONLY ONE PROMISE (2)
is a smart customer and was far from disgraced last start when 8m from FAME ASSURED in slick time after starting from the 6 hole and making good late ground. That had followed 3 successive victories and from this gate he can force his way to the front and look to dictate.

STYLISH FEELING (1) returned a tidy effort 3 starts back at her 1st run since changing barns and was 3.5m from the Derby winner COLT THIRTY ONE. She followed that with a tough run when 3rd to ONLY ONE PROMISE. With the benefit of the ace draw, she will get the perfect trip and be ready to take the closing shot.

SELECTIONS: ONLY ONE PROMISE (2), STYLISH FEELING (1), AQUA MISS (8), ARK TEAMO (4)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-2-4-8

RACE FIVE

ERNIE BARASSO (5) should be fitter following 2 runs back from a freshen and despite his numbers being poor, he strikes an open race that will suit. Taken back from gate 5 last start at Redcliffe he was only 9m from the winner CALCAVADO . With early speed he can be sent forward to take control and will be gripping on.

RARING TO GO (2) strikes his best chance in some time and has been meeting stronger types than he faces off against here. Here on Tues he was taken back from gate 6 and once he was too far back he was going to struggle. Only 2.5m from SAMMYS A KRIDEN 5 runs back he gets every chance here.

SELECTIONS: ERNIE BARASSO (5), RARING TO GO (2), SIR SEMPER FIDELIS (7), JIMMY NGA (1)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE SIX

FIRE ONE (2)
comes into this on a class drop after taking on a Rising Stars series at her past 2 starts. Starting from gate 7 in the heat she went back early and then ran home well to be 8m from the winner. In the final she burned early but was no match for them. This looks ideal and she can go straight to the front to dictate.

BRONZE ECSTASY (1) claimed the bronze 3 starts back in an Aspirational consolation when 7m from the winner after settling in the running line. He wasn’t suited off the 2nd line last start and from the gate here will get the perfect trail and be ready to take the last shot.

SELECTIONS: FIRE ONE (2), BRONZE ECSTASY (1), PURE MADNESS (3), HE GETS IT (5)
SUGGESTED BET: FIRE ONE (2) to win

RACE SEVEN

QUEEN ZENOBIA (3) looked to take them all the way from gate 1 over this trip 2 starts back and was fighting on when beaten 5m. Last start from inside the 2nd line she may have finished a touch closer than she did if seeing space sooner behind AQUA MISS. With good early speed she can go to the front and looks to get every chance.

FEEL THE REIGN (7) has placed in 5 of 7 since returning for his 3YO term and is honing in what appears an elusive win thus far. His run last start was strong when working outside AQUA MISS off gate 5 and was beaten a half-head and a neck his previous 2. A win is well within reach.

SELECTIONS: QUEEN ZENOBIA (3), FEEL THE REIGN (7), JUSTALITTLE TORQUE (1), GRIZZLY MONTANA (6)
SUGGESTED BET: QUEEN ZENOBIA / FEEL THE REIGN (3/7) Quinella

RACE EIGHT

ARK PATROL (6)
will take further benefit from his latest start which was his 2nd run back from a break in an interrupted 3YO season. Finding the front from gate 2 at Redcliffe he had too much class to record an easy victory. He can be sent forward to take control here and looks hard to stop again.

STATEMENT PLEASE (1) has placed in 2 of 4 starts this prep and lands the perfect gate to get the cosy trip and finish strongly. 2 starts back she went within a neck of the smart RED CHARMER and won’t be far away here.

SELECTIONS: ARK PATROL (6), STATEMENT PLEASE (1), NAUGHTYINHEAVEN (2), HEADWIN (7)
SUGGESTED BET: ARK PATROL (6) to win