1. Home
  2. News & Guides
  3. March 2018
  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park Mar 16

Form Analysis: Albion Park Mar 16

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON - @DASHMAN01

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter.

RACE ONE

NORTHERN MUSCLE (8)
returned from a spell to target the McNeil Series and was able to place 3rd in each of the heats when working hard in the run on each occasion. In the final he was back in the pack and with nothing making ground from the rear. This line-up suits and he can bounce back.

ASTRAL RULER (6) was well held in each of the heats of the McNeil when settling on the pegs mid-field in each. His latest start was a tidy effort when making some late ground when 4th to ZAIRE DIVA and with the right run has some claims in this.

NORAHS FLING (1) found her race here 2 starts back over this trip when stepping cleanly and then once in control held them off to score a tidy win. Last start she sat in the pocket trail but couldn’t finish in the closing stages. She can be better here.

LANSBURY (5) settled back in the pack from a 30m impost 2 starts back when beaten 8m behind NORAHS FLING. Last start she was hitting the line strongly along the inside to grab the bronze and with even luck in transit she will be finishing hard.

SELECTIONS: NORTHERN MUSCLE (8), ASTRAL RULER (6), NORAHS FLING (1), LANSBURY (5)
SUGGESTED BET: NORTHERN MUSCLE (8) to win

RACE TWO

GOT THE GOODS (3) settled in the pocket trail last week and chased hard to hold 2nd behind MAYWYNS COURAGE. That followed a nice effort when forced to breeze throughout. He can look to force the issue here and if able to find the pegs will take plenty of stopping.

DARBY BRIGHTS (2) will strip fitter from her return to the track at Redcliffe last week at her 1st run for her 3YO term. Away from an inside 2nd line gate early she moved around to face the breeze and was fighting hard to hold the silver behind THE FRAME. From the improved gate she can strike.

NAUGHTYINHEAVEN (1) can be forgiven for her run on Tues when making an error in the run. Mixing her form with some errors and bad gates, she will get the chance here to follow the speed and issue a closing challenge and can land a minor placing.

MAJOR GENERALJUJON (4) held the front from this gate last start and looked to take them all the way. Setting an even tempo he was grabbed in the stretch to finish 3rd behind MAYWYNS COURAGE. Sliding across for cover he can press for a top 4 finish.

SELECTIONS: GOT THE GOODS (3), DARBY BRIGHTS (2), NAUGHTYINHEAVEN (1), MAJOR GENERALJUJON (4)
SUGGESTED BET: GOT THE GOODS (3) to win

RACE THREE

LOCKTON ART (1) has been in the money at 2 of her past 3 starts at Redcliffe and comes to AP landing her best gate for some time. Last start she went back looking for position and was rattling home in the closing stages. With the improved gate and in a field struggling for form she can salute.

HE GETS IT (8) had running line cover 3 starts back when sent to the post as fav and hit the line for the silver behind KYMS BOY. His run last week was fair in the circumstances and with this the easiest line-up he has faced for some time he will just need some luck to overcome a long winless streak.

THE GUN ROCKSTAR (10) will be fitter again for his latest outing which was just his 2nd run after a long break. Returning with a tidy 4th to THAT’S HOW WEROLL his last start behind BET IM SPECIAL was fair and with even luck from the 2nd line can issue a strong challenge.

BEAUTY BOUND (4) was solid when doing some early work in a Rising Stars heat behind ONLY ONE PROMISE and was luckless in the final and carried a flat tyre. Her 4 runs since arriving in Qld have been good and she is right in the mix here.

SELECTIONS: LOCKTON ART (1), HE GETS IT (8), THE GUN ROCKSTAR (10), BEAUTY BOUND (4)
SUGGESTED BET: Flexi Trifecta 1-4-8-10

RACE FOUR

RARING TO GO (2)
found a suitable target here 5 starts back and from gate 2 was able to lead throughout over the 1660m trip. Working to the pegs last start he released the flying MARETTI over this trip and was best of the chasers to finish 2nd. First to the pegs here he looks to get his chance.

ELMAUR JOY (3) sped across from gate 4 to lead them up and was never in danger to score an all-the-way win at Redcliffe 2 starts back. Last start she was working home wide out which didn’t suit. She can look to find early position and has claims in this field from the gate.

WEE JIMMY (1) should appreciate this type of race from the gate and can look to settle with the cosy trip and be ready to issue a closing challenge. He worked too hard early last start and will be better suited here.

FIRE UP FRANCO (9) resumes from a spell but has been to the trials 4 times to prepare for the return. He has been mixing his manners at the trials, however he did return a nice effort on Feb 27 when running the talented MATTGREGOR to a half-neck. He stays under notice in this.

SELECTIONS: RARING TO GO (2), ELMAUR JOY (3), WEE JIMMY (1), FIRE UP FRANCO (9)
SUGGESTED BET: RARING TO GO (2) to win

RACE FIVE

ELENIARK (10) shoots for the hat-trick after a pair of all the way wins over both the sprint and middle distance trips. Her mile win was strong and was never in danger when closing out in a slick 55.3 for the last 800m. Really starting to display her talent front she can prove too strong.

THREE OF THE BEST (5) has met ELENIARK twice in his past 5 starts and the record sits at 1 a-piece. Winning Rising Stars finals in 2 of his past 3 starts, he has led throughout in both. All being equal here he looks likely to work hard which may not be his go but he can’t be dismissed.

BET IM SPECIAL (2) has been in great form this season and been top 3 in 9 of 11 outings with 5 of those being victories. In 3 runs back from a short break he has score 2 wins, the latest a classy effort when working forward from the 2nd line to face the breeze. 1st to the pegs here he will take stopping.

MANDY KRIDEN (4) was a winner 5 starts back when coming with a well-timed run from back in the pack to score. Since that win she has managed to place at her past 3 in succession, 2 of those behind ELENIARK. Settling with cover look for the grey mare swooping late again.

SELECTIONS: ELENIARK (10), THREE OF THE BEST (5), BET IM SPECIAL (2), MANDY KRIDEN (4)
SUGGESTED BET: ELENIARK (10) to win

RACE SIX

HARD TO HEAR (9)
placed in successive 2nd division qualifiers when racing in the pocket trail in each. His next 2 starts were off 2nd line gates in strong races and last start was attacking the line strongly when 2nd to BET IM SPECIAL. Despite the 2nd line he looks to get every chance to breakthrough.

MY AJAYE (3) looked to take them all the way from gate 1 here 3 starts back when setting a steady tempo and grabbed late up the passing lane. He found a suitable target in restricted company to win at his next run when sent forward to take control. From the gate he can challenge. (Also starting Redcliffe Wed night).

IM ROLLLING STONED (1) eased in behind the early leader last start and from the pocket trail held on to claim the silver. She is racing in good touch and from the ace gate will get a perfect trail and has place claims.

JULIA MAC (10) has placed at her past 3 starts all at Redcliffe, the latest when beaten the shortest possible margin. 2 starts back she closed out strongly from the 2nd line. She has podium claims and will be finishing strongly.

SELECTIONS: HARD TO HEAR (9), MY AJAYE (3), IM ROLLLING STONED (1), JULIA MAC (10)
SUGGESTED BET: HARD TO HEAR (9) to win