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  4. Form Analysis: Albion Park Mar 6

Form Analysis: Albion Park Mar 6

FORM ANALYSIS BY DARREN CLAYTON - @DASHMAN01

 

Speed maps are based on recent and anticipated racing patterns. For important changes of tactics which may affect the accuracy of this speed map follow @QRICstewards on Twitter.

RACE ONE

BLISSFULINFIDELITY (5)
has only recorded the 1 win this season from 23 attempts, yet he finds the right race to make the most of here. Last start in a Rising Stars heat he was locked away on the pegs and was only 3m from the smart ONLY ONE PROMISE. Not far from CLINTAL DO 3 starts back, he looks to get every chance in this line-up.

LYKA VERSION (1) should take benefit from 2 runs back from a spell and in the small field should be in the perfect position to issue a challenge. Not suite by gate 5 at Redcliffe last start, she will have the early speed to hold the inside advantage.
 
IM ROLLING STONED (2) has claims with the cheap run.

SELECTIONS: BLISSFULINFIDELITY (5), LYKA VERSION (1), IM ROLLING STONED (2)
SUGGESTED BET: BLISSFULINFIDELITY (5) to win

RACE TWO

MAYBETOTHEMAX (10) looks to get into this race nicely under the conditions following 2 wins in his 3 Qld appearances. On Fri he took on an open discretionary where he stepped well from to work to the front before releasing. Once he saw space he sprinted sharply to score. The 30m should be of little concern against this field.

QUIETLY SPOKEN (1) will relish getting back to the front where she can settle closer to the speed as she looks to be much better suited in or near the lead in the run. She chased valiantly in the McNeil Final on Sat night when mid-field behind NEEDLE and will give a good account of herself here.

STEVES STAR (5) Conditions look right here.
JUSTABITCOCO (3) Back to the front look for a much sharper effort.

SELECTIONS: MAYBETOTHEMAX (10), QUIETLY SPOKEN (1), STEVES STAR (5), JUSTABITCOCO (3)
SUGGESTED BET: MAYBETOTHEMAX (10) to win

RACE THREE

RORY MACH (1) has found some form and will look for his 3rd win from his past 4 starts. Last start over this trip he was buried away from inside the 2nd line and sprinted sharply once the gaps opened to arrive for a tidy win. With another cosy trip from the gate here, he can take the closing shot.

WYNBERG TERROR (3) finds the front row after 4 successive runs off the 2nd line which doesn’t suit his pattern. His run in the King of the Claimers final 2 starts back was a solid effort when working in the breeze and with the early speed to fire the first shot, he looks to get his chance.

GUYS BETTOR BET (5) if he can find track position here and look for a swooping finish.
 IMA MORVEN LAD (6) should improve on whatever he achieves here and is a rough hope.

SELECTIONS: RORY MACH (1), WYNBERG TERROR (3), GUYS BETTOR BET (5), IMA MORVEN LAD (6)
SUGGESTED BET:  RORY MACH (1) to win

RACE FOUR

ELENIARK (3)
returned a huge effort when cutting the breeze for the last 1000m after being sent forward in a Rising Stars final and working outside THREE OF THE BEST was beaten a nose in a 54.8 closing 800m. Last starts she went straight to the front and was never in danger in a strong 5m victory. She looks hard to crack from the gate.

ANYCHANCE (7) will be further tightened after his 2nd up run on Sat when opening his band assessment in a strong effort from the 2nd line. Sent forward in the middle stages he worked home strongly to score over the 2138m trip. The wide gate hurts but he is a serious threat.

MANDY KRIDEN (1) doesn’t do her best work off the inside gates, but can place again.
COLD IDEAL (6) has podium claims.

SELECTIONS: ELENIARK (3), ANYCHANCE (7), MANDY KRIDEN (1), COLD IDEAL (6)
SUGGESTED BET: ELENIARK / ANYCHANCE (3/7) quinella

RACE FIVE

RED CHARMER (7) has been slammed with the wide gate, yet she is a quality filly that has the class to overcome it. Easily holding the front in the heat of this series, she was allowed to walk the 1st 1300m and really only had to spring the last 300m. That followed a nose 2nd to LUCKY UNLCUKY from a 2nd line gate. She can issue the challenge.

COREY WILLIAM (4) was struggling to find form this prep and was sent back to Redcliffe where he struck an easy line-up where he beat-up on them and regained some confidence. In the heat run last week he was taken back from gate 6 and was flashing home in the closing stages to arrive for victory. He is right in the fight.

ARK PATROL (9) With the right trail into the contest he can feature.
MAYWYNS COURAGE (12) was much better last start at his 3rd run back from a long break
SELECTIONS: RED CHARMER (7), COREY WILLIAM (4), ARK PATROL (9), MAYWYNS COURAGE (12)
SUGGESTED BET: RED CHARMER (7) to win

RACE SIX

PSYCHEDELIC (5)
should really appreciate this class of race after taking on stronger line-ups than he meets here in recent starts. Forget his run in the Rising Stars final on Sat when he struck trouble when working into the race nicely and was put out of play. He looks to get every chance in this line-up.

THE CARINGBAH KID (1) was a winner 5 starts back when securing the run behind the leader from this same gate. Since that run he has been off the 2nd row twice and then was well covered by the flying MARETTI. With the right trip here he can look to make the closing challenge.

STATEMENT MADE (4) Up to this if forward enough.

SELECTIONS: PSYCHEDELIC (5), THE CARINGBAH KID (1), STATEMENT MADE (4)
SUGGESTED BET: PSYCHEDELIC (5) to win

RACE SEVEN

DRIVE THE DREAM (12) went back early from gate 5 on Sat night and with a 54.9 closing 800m set from the front was always going to struggle to work into the contest. That followed a half-head 2nd to LUCIFERS LEGEND. There looks to be good frontline tempo and pressure to allow her to work home over the top.

RATE HIGHLY (2) was an all the way winner 6 starts back from the three-hole and ran a career best 1.53.1. Since that win he has been no closer than gate 5 and has struggled to display his best. With the benefit of a better gate, look for him to turn it around.

CHAL FIRE (6) made a mess of the start here 3 starts back yet put up a massive run in defeat after losing a stack of ground. His 2 runs out of the draw since that have been handy efforts and despite a wider gate again, he can be issuing a challenge in this.

SELECTIONS: DRIVE THE DREAM (12), RATE HIGHLY (2), CHAL FIRE (6), A GOOD CHANCE (3)
SUGGESTED BET: DRIVE THE DREAM (12) to win