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  4. Form Analysis: Redcliffe Sep 19

Form Analysis: Redcliffe Sep 19

RACE ONE

GLENFERRIE DUSTER (2)
has run into some form with wins at 2 of his past 4 with placings in the other 2. Last start he did some early work when having a look for the front and battled on well in a strong closing 800m. He has the speed to be 1st to the pegs and then with options gets the nod.

SPONDOOLEY (1) would have been closer to the winner than the 5m margin here 3 starts back when losing some momentum. Not entirely suited his past 2 when dragging back to find position, he will get the perfect trip here from the inside and will be rattling home when the gaps appear.

MACH SAM (7) is knocking on the door and has some place claims from a tricky gate. He attacked the line strongly last start to get within a half-neck of the winner and can find the podium again here.

TIWANAKU (3) will strip fitter from his latest start when 2nd up in Qld and 1st up off a 6 week break. Finding the front he dictated to score a narrow win. He can have a look early and will be in the mix.

SELECTIONS: GLENFERRIE DUSTER (2), SPONDOOLEY (1), MACH SAM (7), TIWANAKU (3)
SUGGESTED BET: GLENFERRIE DUSTER (2) to win

RACE TWO

LETHAL PROMISE (2) has missed a cheque just twice in 21 appearances at Redcliffe and has been in the money at his past 14 in succession. He worked home strongly from gate 5 last start to get within 1m of the winner. Stoked up to find the front he will take some catching.

ONE MANS PASS (10) found his race here 2 starts back and was duly sent to the post in red figures. Finishing too strongly he recorded a 9m victory. Last start he was taken back from gate 5 and was charging home to get within 2m of the winner. He is right in the fight here and will be sailing home.

GOODTIME STRIDE (9) had been doing a good job without landing the winning blow and then last week she hit the board when winning like a $1.40 shot should. This is within reach and she can feature.

THE FORMULA ONE (3) was running into dead-ends here last week and didn’t get a decent shot at them when within 3m of the winner. Finding position here he won’t be far away.

SELECTIONS: LETHAL PROMISE (2), ONE MANS PASS (10), GOODTIME STRIDE (9), THE FORMULA ONE (3)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 2-3-9-10

RACE THREE

TAP IT IN (8) has placed his past 2, the latest when taking the silver behind GOODTIME STRIDE who had a bit over her opponents and he was able to finish 12m clear of the 3rd placed runner. His run 2 starts back was a solid effort when after working hard and he looks to get his chance here.

DONOMOOR (1) was sent forward from the 2nd line and did some work in the run when holding on for 3rd. Wide off the track at Marburg last start from a tricky gate, he will get the right trip from the ace gate and can look to fill the minors.

COAST WARNING (7) worked home strongly from back in the pack to finish best of the chasers behind the big winner IM TOOT last start. He will need a slice of luck from this gate but has claims.

ZED EXPRESS (5) had the speed to keep them wide from gate 1 here 3 starts back and took them all the way. Not suited from the 2nd line in 2 starts since, he can be an improver back to the front line.

SELECTIONS: TAP IT IN (8),DONOMOOR (1), COAST WARNING (7), ZED EXPRESS (5)
SUGGESTED BET: TAP IT IN (8) to win

RACE FOUR

KURAHAUPO GAMBLER (1)
settled back in the pack from gate 3 last start and was wide off the track when trying to work home in the closing stages. Drawn the widest gate off the frontline in 3 of his previous 4 starts, he will appreciate moving into the ace and with the options can cash-in here.

JESSICA AMBER (7) has been runner-up at her past 2 in differing styles. Looking to take them all the way 2 starts back, the tempo was frenetic and she held on behind KETUT. Last start when taken back from gate 5 she was working home wide out behind COMIGAL. Probing for an opening she can take the shot.

COMIGAL (4) made the most of the ace last week and took them all the way keeping the speed on all the way. That followed a strong finish when 3rd to SAMMYSLUCK and she will be in the mix again.

IMA SEA STORM (5) was sent forward from gate 10 last start and working to the breeze then packed too many guns in scoring a 2m victory. With no favours from the gate a place looks his chance.

SELECTIONS: KURAHAUPO GAMBLER (1), JESSICA AMBER (7), COMIGAL (4), IMA SEA STORM (5)
SUGGESTED BET: KURAHAUPO GAMBLER (1) to win

RACE FIVE

TASCOTT LADY (4) rolled forward to find the breeze from gate 5 and after the hard trip battled away to hold the bronze behind the big winner IM TOOT. That followed a solid effort behind the handy TOOK YOUR TIME after working in the run and against these opponents can issue a challenge.

JAKES ARK (3) released the front from gate 1 last start and chased home to hold the silver when 4m from the winner PAY ME INTEREST. From the gate he can look to find a handy position and can be looking to overturn a 15 month winless streak.

MISS ROB ROY (1) should appreciate this class of opponent after a tidy effort last start from this same gate. Looking to take them all-the-way she faded late. From the gate she can place.

WEASEL (10) made an error at the start here 2 start back which ended his chances. In 2 runs since he hasn’t been hustled early and been given time to balance up. He can chime into the exotics in this.

SELECTIONS: TASCOTT LADY (4), JAKES ARK (3), MISS ROB ROY (1), WEASEL (10)
SUGGESTED BET: TASCOTT LADY (4) to win

RACE SIX

KIWI SOLDIER (7)
is only lightly raced and should be fitter again from his latest start. Settling in the pocket trail from gate 2 last start he chased home to claim the silver when within 4m of the winner. Following out a smart beginner, he will be coiled and ready to take his shot in the stretch.

WHATA STRIDE (1) released the front from this alley 3 starts back and with the cosy trip went within a half-head of the winner up the passing lane. Not suited at her next start she can look to hold the early advantage here and with limited pressure to her outside will be trying to break her maiden.

CONTRARY COURAGE (3) was sent forward from the 2nd line last start and did some work in the run when holding on for 3rd behind the smart ONE OFF. Her previous 2 were nice runs from the 2nd line and she is right in the mix here.

VIC HUNTER (8) wasn’t suited from gate 5 last start when snagged back to the rear and trying to make up ground. He can find position here and can be an improver.

SELECTIONS: KIWI SOLDIER (7), WHATA STRIDE (1), CONTRARY COURAGE (3), VIC HUNTER (8)
SUGGESTED BET: KIWI SOLDIER (7) to win

RACE SEVEN

LYNNSANITY (5) makes his Qld debut here for Darrel Graham and arrives a solid last start winner at Penrith when spearing out to lead before taking a trail and finishing best to score in good time. With good early speed he can get forward and make a winning start.
 
MIRACLESDOAPPEN (1) was a 4m winner here 3 starts back when able to find the front from gate2 and dictate terms in front. Probing for an opening last start when buried away on the pegs, she gets her chance from the front and can bring up her 50th career start in style.


BROADWATER (6) will be better suited from a wider gate after his effort was good last start when beaten 1m after racing in the pocket trail. A good winner from in front 2 back he will throw down a strong challenge here.

TRAVELNFAST (7) struck some trouble in the run last start from behind the leader and did well to be within 7m of the winner. With a cosy trip here she will be ready to take the closing shot.

SELECTIONS: LYNNSANITY (5), MIRACLESDOAPPEN (1), BROADWATER (6), TRAVELNFAST (7)
SUGGESTED BET: Flexi trifecta 1-5-6-7

RACE EIGHT

MIRACLE RISING (6)
was impressive at his Aus debut at AP on Fri under mobile conditions. Taken back from gate 5 he was charging home and finished over the top to score a stylish win. The 40m looks within reach here and provided he handles the triangle he looks hard to hold out.

MY DAD ANGUS (1) will strip fitter from his latest start under mobile conditions which was a real eye-catcher. Making a mess of the start and dropping out, he made up a stack of ground to grab 4th behind the in-form PATSDELIGHT. With a safe step from the front he can give some cheek.

DAY TOURER (5) went too hard in front from the mobile last start and faded out. In the money at his previous 3 in succession, he can get forward here and finish in the money.

MISTER GUNSEN (7) has been racing the FFA ranks and his latest effort was strong when only 7m from the winner MAYBETOTHEMAX. Despite going winless in his past 9 starts, he was a strong winner here defeating OUR OVERANOVA during the Carnival and can challenge despite the impost.

SELECTIONS: MIRACLE RISING (6), MY DAD ANGUS (1), DAY TOURER (5), MISTER GUNSEN (7)
SUGGESTED BET: MIRACLE RISING (6) to win