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Form Analysis: Redcliffe Sep 16

16 September 2021

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RACE TWO

MISTY CREEK (3) has been kept fresh since his last outing when tackling a strong 2YO event at headquarters when only 8m from MY ULTIMATE BAXTER. Buried in the Triad Final the start previous, he is a winner here on The Triangle and has the early speed to look to dictate to the older horses.

DOWNTOWN LUCCA (2) was eased as the barrier released them over the AP mile last start and from back in the pack was making some late ground to finish midfield. Wide off the track the start prior at Marburg, an improved gate is a plus here and he can be first to the pegs to make his challenge.

FAIREACHDAINN (4) was runner-up here 3 starts back when trying to launch a closing raid behind CAPTAIN THUNDERBOLT. Asked to do it tough at her next start, she can be thereabouts here.

SIGNOR JUJON (5) was wide off the track las start in a full field over the 2138m and did not really warm up. Back to The Triangle where his record is smart can see him improve.

SELECTIONS: MISTY CREEK (3), DOWNTOWN LUCCA (2), FAIREACHDAINN (4), SIGNOR JUJON (5)
SUGGESTED BET: MISTY CREEK (3) to win

RACE THREE

HARRY CROFT (5)
was a winner here 3 starts back when rolling forward to sit parked and proving too strong in claiming victory by a neck. Finding the line in nice order last time out from gate 5 when easing before finishing 5m from SEELSTERS SONG, he finds the race to overcome the wide gate.

ONE HELLAVA PARTY (2) was beaten for speed in the early stages last start to settle in the pocket trail early before moving to the 1x1 with a lap to travel. Trying to make a closing play when 2m in arrears of the winner CINDAROCKINRELLA, he can settle close enough to challenge.

THE LAST DRAGON (6) pressed on with it last start over the AP mile and finding the front then hoisted the white flag a long way from home. Back to Redcliffe will help and he can atone.

TRACES OF TARA (3) has early speed when used off the arm and can look to fire the first shot here. Down the line her past 4 where she has been off the 2nd line on each occasion, a return to the front is a big plus.


SELECTIONS: HARRY CROFT (5), ONE HELLAVA PARTY (2), THE LAST DRAGON (6), TRACES OF TARA (3)
SUGGESTED BET: HARRY CROFT (5) to win

RACE FOUR

CINDAROCKINRELLA (6)
has hit the board in all 4 starts here at Redcliffe that includes a pair of wins. Eased from gate 4 over the AP mile last start, she was strong to the line in eating into the deficit over the concluding stages. Descending on them to arrive here 2 starts back, she can arrive off the speed again.

MELTON LUCKY (3) sat parked last start at Marburg but could not see it out when fading in the closing stages. Only 4m away when working hard the start prior, he was buried in the run from inside the 2nd line here 3 starts back when picking off some late metres to grab 3rd. He can make a challenge here.

STUDLEIGH WILL (4) tried to take them all the way last start at Marburg but was unable to finish them off when finishing with the silver. Placed in 2 of 4 since resuming from a spell, he can feature.

LIVING FREE (9) grabbed the bronze from the pocket trail 2 starts back when 8m in arrears of the winner and last start at Marburg was luckless when looking for space. He can chime in here.

SELECTIONS: CINDAROCKINRELLA (6), MELTON LUCKY (3), STUDLEIGH WILL (4), LIVING FREE (9)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE FIVE

RANCHO MAN (3) was nit suited last start over the middle trip at The Creek when sent forward to sit parked. Making a mid-race move to take control here 2 starts back and then only grabbed right on the wire when beaten a half-neck, he can fire the early bullets here and look to break a Redcliffe duck after 30 starts.

MISTER DECORUM (1) did not have much go his way last start at Marburg when wide off the track looking for position before being forced to retreat. Buried from inside the 2nd line over the AP mile 2 starts back, the gate is a plus and with the early options can throw down a challenge.

TORQUE IN CONTROL (7) was required to work in the early stages last time out before receiving cover and finishing midfield behind SHEZ GOT BLING. Powering home over the top here 3 starts back, she will be probing.

HESLUVABLE (8) found the 1x1 trail last start at Marburg and with the easy trip was able to finish over the top for a smart win. He can be chiming into the action in this.

SELECTIONS: RANCHO MAN (3), MISTER DECORUM (1), TORQUE IN CONTROL (7), HESLUVABLE (8)
SUGGESTED BET: Exotics 1-3-7-8

RACE SIX

CLARENDEN DAZZLER (7)
will be needing some factors in his favour from this gate, but if they do go his way, can claim the prize. Sectionally strong last start when charging home over the AP mile, it followed an all the way win at Marburg from gate 1. He will be probing and ready to take the snipers shot.

AYE AYE CAPTAIN (3) only has the 1 run here at The Triangle to his name when finishing unplaced. Racing stronger opponents in recent outings than what he will face here, last start he was beaten by a wide gate when finishing midfield. Wide off the track 2 starts back when closing smartly, he can throw it down here.

WHATA ROLLER (2) could not finish them off from the front last start over the 2138m at The Creek after taking control before fading over the closing stages. Only a lip away here 2 starts back, he can bounce back here.

MAGGIE (4) resumes from a spell and will be having her first race appearance here at Redcliffe. Last seen back in April when not far from the handy CHAMONIX, she has blown out some cobwebs with a tidy trial on this track to prepare.

SELECTIONS: CLARENDEN DAZZLER (7), AYE AYE CAPTAIN (3), WHATA ROLLER (2), MAGGIE (4)
SUGGESTED BET: CLARENDEN DAZZLER (7) to win

 

RACE SEVEN

SPORTY AZZ (8)
eased at the start last time out over the AP sprint trip and then from back in the pack did not have the smoothest passage yet was still able to run some tidy splits. Sectionally strong the start prior, he can press through to find position and look to open his Qld account.

BLISSFULDAY (9) will now be trained by his owner and driver Paige Bevan and has a tidy record here at the track where he has 6 wins and 6 minors. Wide off the track last start when finding the line in smart order for 3rd at Albion Park, he can look to throw down the challenge here.

GELDOF (3) is approaching 12 months since he last landed victory and while his numbers don’t show too much, he can find the right position in the run to look to turn it around.

HAMMERTIME HARLEY (2) is still searching for her first Qld victory, having placed in 2 of her 5 here at Redcliffe. 6m from the winner last start from the pocket trail, she has the early speed to be in the right spot to feature.

SELECTIONS:
SPORTY AZZ (8), BLISSFULDAY (9), GELDOF (3), HAMMERTIME HARLEY (2)
SUGGESTED BET: SPORTY AZZ (8) to win

 

RACE EIGHT

CLASSIE AMERICAN (5)
did not have the speed to hold them wide last start over the AP mile and from the pocket trail chased all the way for the bronze as the leader THERESACHANCE took them all the way. Only 6m away from NURBURGRING the start prior, this is a huge class drop and he should get every chance to capitalise.

MISS VICTORIA (9) has been a runner-up twice and a winner three times in her seven starts here at Redcliffe. Locked away in a mare’s qualifier 2 starts back after being beaten for early speed, she was able to chare home for the bronze. The wide gate stings here, but she can still challenge.

TORO DELAGO (8) was a winner 3 starts back over the 1730m at Bathurst from the 2nd line. Having his first start here in Qld last time when working home wide out, if he can handle The Triangle at his first attempt, he can make a play here.

IL MAXIMUS (7) will need a slice of luck at some stage as he searches for some clear air. Wide off the track last start over the AP 2138m trip, he can be probing to make a play here.

SELECTIONS: CLASSIE AMERICAN (5), MISS VICTORIA (9), TORO DELAGO (8), IL MAXIMUS (7)
SUGGESTED BET:

 

RACE NINE

ROLL WITH ROCKY (1)
was content to sit parked last start over the sprint trip at headquarters and despite the tough trip was in for the fight when grafting out a determined 3rd when only a half-head in arrears. Yet to land a win here at Redcliffe, he lands the gate to hold them wide and take them all the way.

MEGA STAR (7) was a winner over the 2138m last time out when sent to the front in a mid-race attack that proved the winning move. Gunned down in the closing stages here 3 starts back when looking to take them all the way, he will be coiled and ready to strike when the gaps open.

THERESACHANCE (3) had the early hustle to take control from gate 2 over the mile last time out at AP and from the front was able to lay out a new PB win in 54 flat. He can take an early shot here.

SPORT MENTAL (2) was buried away against the poles last start from inside the 2nd line before sprinting hard when the gap opened to grab 2nd when only beaten a neck. Placed in 3 of 4 here at Redcliffe, she can feature.

SELECTIONS: ROLL WITH ROCKY (1), MEGA STAR (7), THERESACHANCE (3), SPORT MENTAL (2)
SUGGESTED BET:

RACE TEN

COBBITY CASTLE (5)
tackled a tough race last start where she was sent to the breeze in the middle stages and sitting parked outside the ultra-smart 2YO LEAP TO FAME was able to hold on for the bronze. That ended a streak of 4 consecutive wins and despite the sticky gate can restart the win sequence.

MAFFIOSO GIRL (2) took control in the early stages from gate 1 at Marburg 3 starts back and from the front was able to take them all the way. Gunned down last start when setting a slick tempo in front over the AP mile, a return to the tighter track can see her challenge for the prize.

SPECIAL MEANING (1) was a beaten fav last time out from gate 5 when finishing 8m in arrears. Hitting the line smarty here 3 starts back to pinch the bronze from gate 6, the inside gate is a plus.

LETS BLAZE (3) worked home in nice order from the 2nd line here 3 starts back to claim a narrow victory. Not suited off the 2nd line last start over the AP mile, he can be chiming in here.

SELECTIONS: COBBITY CASTLE (5), MAFFIOSO GIRL (2), SPECIAL MEANING (1), LETS BLAZE (3)
SUGGESTED BET: COBBITY CASTLE (5) to win